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Title: Model study of the greenhouse effects due to increasing atmospheric CH/sub 4/, N/sub 2/O, CF/sub 2/Cl/sub 2/, and CFCl/sub 3/

Journal Article · · J. Geophys. Res.; (United States)
OSTI ID:6833846

The authors use the two-dimensional (altitude-latitude) radiative-dynamical model of Wang et al. (1984) to investigate the effects on vertical and meridional temperatures of increases of atmospheric methane, nitrous oxide, and chlorofluorocarbons. The model couples are the meridional and vertical temperature structure through energy balance between radiative flux and vertical and meridional heat transports. They show that the thermal radiation flux perturbations, i.e., the driving force for the subsequent climate change, caused by increases of these trace gases and carbon dioxide, are different in nature. The two-dimensional model simulates much more realistic temperature and humidity distributions than does a one-dimensional model. For a doubling of the atmospheric CO/sub 2/ concentration of 330 parts per million by volume, the two-dimensional model computes a global surface warming of 3.7 K with larger high-latitude amplification, which is in good agreement with results obtained from general circulation models. For the study of the surface warming due to increases of trace gases, it is found that the one-dimensional model using a 6.5 K km/sup -1/ critical lapse rate for convective adjustment appears to calculate a much larger surface warming than the two-dimensional model. On the other hand, the one-dimensional model using the moist adiabatic critical lapse rate, although it can not simulate adequately the present tropospheric temperature structure, calculates surface warming effects in close agreement with those of two-dimensional model results. Although the calculations depend largely on the adopted scenarios for future increases, the results from the two-dimensional model nevertheless reveal that, on the time scale of decades, the trace gases could potentially augment the surface warming due to carbon dioxide increase by more than 60%.

Research Organization:
Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc., Cambridge, MA
DOE Contract Number:
AC02-81ER60023
OSTI ID:
6833846
Journal Information:
J. Geophys. Res.; (United States), Vol. 90:D7
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English