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Title: Estimating exploration potential in mature producing area, Northwest shelf of Delaware basin, New Mexico

Journal Article · · AAPG Bull. (See CODEN: AAPGB); (United States)
OSTI ID:6406897

The case history presented here describes an investigation of the Northwest shelf of the Delaware basin carried out in 1979 for estimating the potential of finding new reserves and a follow-up study to measure predictions against results. A total of 191 new-field wildcats had been drilled during 1974-1979 in the study area. An analysis of target zones and success ratios showed that the best chances of drilling a successful test were in the San Andres (Permian) and SilurianDevonian. However, cumulative frequency plots of existing fields in these two intervals showed that the chance of finding a field larger than 1 million bbl (159,000 mT) in either of these zones was relatively low. As a result of the 1979 analysis, three prospective areas representing 8% of the total study area were high graded, or rated as having a higher potential than other parts of the study area. The 1980-1983 drilling results show that the original high-graded areas contain 52% of the 21 successful San Andres tests and the only discovery in the SilurianDevonian. However, as predicted by the analysis, all of these discoveries appear to be small.

Research Organization:
ARCO Alaska Inc., Anchorage, AK
OSTI ID:
6406897
Journal Information:
AAPG Bull. (See CODEN: AAPGB); (United States), Vol. 69:11
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English