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Title: Incorporation of Hopkins variable wind model into a population-dose fallout code. Master's thesis

Abstract

Hopkins variable wind fallout model is used to predict the dose and population insult across the United States from a nuclear attack. The dose calculation is performed by two programs written in Fortran V for a CYBER 845 computer. Hopkins hotline locator program was modified to reduce its run time, and it is used to locate the fallout hotline as trace particles are translated to the ground in a spatially varying wind field. The second program analytically smears fallout activity along the hotline. To reduce run time and to match the population model, the dose program uses a computational grid of one degree latitude by one degree longitude. A difference of cumulative normal functions gives the average dose across a grid cell. An analytical method was developed to treat multiple bursts against an area target as one cloud. For the winds of 0000 Universal Time on 16 January 1982, a hypothetical attack against twenty-five air bases and six Minuteman missile fields results in 26.9 million fallout deaths. This calculation used 407 seconds of computer time.

Authors:
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Air Force Inst. of Tech., Wright-Patterson AFB, OH (USA). School of Engineering
OSTI Identifier:
5448559
Report Number(s):
AD-A-154465/9/XAB
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; 45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEFENSE; FALLOUT; RADIATION DOSES; NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS; COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION; FORTRAN; TARGETS; WIND; DOSES; EXPLOSIONS; PROGRAMMING LANGUAGES; SIMULATION; 500300* - Environment, Atmospheric- Radioactive Materials Monitoring & Transport- (-1989); 450202 - Explosions & Explosives- Nuclear- Weaponry- (-1989)

Citation Formats

Ledger, J W. Incorporation of Hopkins variable wind model into a population-dose fallout code. Master's thesis. United States: N. p., 1985. Web.
Ledger, J W. Incorporation of Hopkins variable wind model into a population-dose fallout code. Master's thesis. United States.
Ledger, J W. 1985. "Incorporation of Hopkins variable wind model into a population-dose fallout code. Master's thesis". United States.
@article{osti_5448559,
title = {Incorporation of Hopkins variable wind model into a population-dose fallout code. Master's thesis},
author = {Ledger, J W},
abstractNote = {Hopkins variable wind fallout model is used to predict the dose and population insult across the United States from a nuclear attack. The dose calculation is performed by two programs written in Fortran V for a CYBER 845 computer. Hopkins hotline locator program was modified to reduce its run time, and it is used to locate the fallout hotline as trace particles are translated to the ground in a spatially varying wind field. The second program analytically smears fallout activity along the hotline. To reduce run time and to match the population model, the dose program uses a computational grid of one degree latitude by one degree longitude. A difference of cumulative normal functions gives the average dose across a grid cell. An analytical method was developed to treat multiple bursts against an area target as one cloud. For the winds of 0000 Universal Time on 16 January 1982, a hypothetical attack against twenty-five air bases and six Minuteman missile fields results in 26.9 million fallout deaths. This calculation used 407 seconds of computer time.},
doi = {},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/5448559}, journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Fri Mar 01 00:00:00 EST 1985},
month = {Fri Mar 01 00:00:00 EST 1985}
}

Technical Report:
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