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Title: Limitations of polynomial chaos expansions in the Bayesian solution of inverse problems

Journal Article · · Journal of Computational Physics
 [1];  [1];  [2];  [1]
  1. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (United States)
  2. Department of Mathematics, University of Kansas (United States)

Polynomial chaos expansions are used to reduce the computational cost in the Bayesian solutions of inverse problems by creating a surrogate posterior that can be evaluated inexpensively. We show, by analysis and example, that when the data contain significant information beyond what is assumed in the prior, the surrogate posterior can be very different from the posterior, and the resulting estimates become inaccurate. One can improve the accuracy by adaptively increasing the order of the polynomial chaos, but the cost may increase too fast for this to be cost effective compared to Monte Carlo sampling without a surrogate posterior.

OSTI ID:
22382181
Journal Information:
Journal of Computational Physics, Vol. 282; Other Information: Copyright (c) 2014 Elsevier Science B.V., Amsterdam, The Netherlands, All rights reserved.; Country of input: International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA); ISSN 0021-9991
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (3)

Traveling-Standing Water Waves and Microseisms text January 2013
Implicit particle filters for data assimilation preprint January 2010
Uncertainty quantification and weak approximation of an elliptic inverse problem preprint January 2011

Cited By (3)

Joint state-parameter estimation of a nonlinear stochastic energy balance model from sparse noisy data journal January 2019
Joint state-parameter estimation of a nonlinear stochastic energy balance model from sparse noisy data text January 2019
Magnetometric resistivity tomography using chaos polynomial expansion journal February 2020

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