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Title: Impacts of Short-Term Solar Power Forecasts in System Operations

Solar generation is experiencing an exponential growth in power systems worldwide and, along with wind power, is posing new challenges to power system operations. Those challenges are characterized by an increase of system variability and uncertainty across many time scales: from days, down to hours, minutes, and seconds. Much of the research in the area has focused on the effect of solar forecasting across hours or days. This paper presents a methodology to capture the effect of short-term forecasting strategies and analyzes the economic and reliability implications of utilizing a simple, yet effective forecasting method for solar PV in intra-day operations.
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Conference: Presented at the 2016 IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition (T&D), 3-5 May 2016, Dallas, Texas
Piscataway, NJ: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Research Org:
National Renewable Energy Lab. (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Sponsoring Org:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)
Country of Publication:
United States
14 SOLAR ENERGY; 24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION; solar; forecasting; reliability; power system economics; security constrained unit commitment; security constrained economic dispatch