Stochastic Forecasting of Algae Blooms in Lakes

Book · Thu Jan 03 00:00:00 EST 2013

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-5055-9_6· OSTI ID:1239495

Wang, Peng; Tartakovsky, Daniel M.; Tartakovsky, Alexandre M.

We consider a general framework to predict the development of harmful algal blooms (HABs) in a lake driven by uncertain parameters. To quantify the concentration uncertainty of those algae groups via their joint probabilistic density function (PDF), we explore an approach based on the Fokker-Planck equation. Our result is presented in an example where abundant nutrients contribute to the proliferation of cyanobacteria and other minor algae groups.

• Research Organization: Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE
• DOE Contract Number: AC05-76RL01830
• OSTI ID: 1239495
• Report Number(s): PNNL-SA-92718; KJ0401000
• Resource Relation: Related Information: Modelling and Simulation in Fluid Dynamics in Porous Media. Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, 28:99-108
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

eco-biology
uncertainty quantification
fokker-planck