skip to main content

Title: Stochastic Forecasting of Algae Blooms in Lakes

We consider a general framework to predict the development of harmful algal blooms (HABs) in a lake driven by uncertain parameters. To quantify the concentration uncertainty of those algae groups via their joint probabilistic density function (PDF), we explore an approach based on the Fokker-Planck equation. Our result is presented in an example where abundant nutrients contribute to the proliferation of cyanobacteria and other minor algae groups.
Authors:
; ;
Publication Date:
OSTI Identifier:
1239495
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-92718
KJ0401000
DOE Contract Number:
AC05-76RL01830
Resource Type:
Book
Resource Relation:
Related Information: Modelling and Simulation in Fluid Dynamics in Porous Media. Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, 28:99-108
Publisher:
JA Ferreira, et al; Springer, New York, NY, United States(US).
Research Org:
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (US)
Sponsoring Org:
USDOE
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
eco-biology, uncertainty quantification, fokker-planck