Stochastic Forecasting of Algae Blooms in Lakes
We consider a general framework to predict the development of harmful algal blooms (HABs) in a lake driven by uncertain parameters. To quantify the concentration uncertainty of those algae groups via their joint probabilistic density function (PDF), we explore an approach based on the Fokker-Planck equation. Our result is presented in an example where abundant nutrients contribute to the proliferation of cyanobacteria and other minor algae groups.
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- Related Information: Modelling and Simulation in Fluid Dynamics in Porous Media. Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, 28:99-108
- JA Ferreira, et al; Springer, New York, NY, United States(US).
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- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (US)
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- United States
- eco-biology, uncertainty quantification, fokker-planck