Forecastability as a Design Criterion in Wind Resource Assessment: Preprint
This paper proposes a methodology to include the wind power forecasting ability, or 'forecastability,' of a site as a design criterion in wind resource assessment and wind power plant design stages. The Unrestricted Wind Farm Layout Optimization (UWFLO) methodology is adopted to maximize the capacity factor of a wind power plant. The 1-hour-ahead persistence wind power forecasting method is used to characterize the forecastability of a potential wind power plant, thereby partially quantifying the integration cost. A trade-off between the maximum capacity factor and the forecastability is investigated.
- Publication Date:
- OSTI Identifier:
- Report Number(s):
- DOE Contract Number:
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- Resource Relation:
- Conference: To be presented at the 8th International Conference on Foundations of Computer-Aided Process Design, 13-17 July 2014, Cle Elum, Washington
- Research Org:
- National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO.
- Sponsoring Org:
- USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Wind and Water Power Technologies Office
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- 17 WIND ENERGY WIND PLANT DESIGN; WIND FORECASTING; LAYOUT OPTIMIZATION; TURBINE SELECTION; WIND RESOURCE ASSESSMENT; GRID INTEGRATION; Wind Energy
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