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Title: Forecastability as a Design Criterion in Wind Resource Assessment: Preprint

This paper proposes a methodology to include the wind power forecasting ability, or 'forecastability,' of a site as a design criterion in wind resource assessment and wind power plant design stages. The Unrestricted Wind Farm Layout Optimization (UWFLO) methodology is adopted to maximize the capacity factor of a wind power plant. The 1-hour-ahead persistence wind power forecasting method is used to characterize the forecastability of a potential wind power plant, thereby partially quantifying the integration cost. A trade-off between the maximum capacity factor and the forecastability is investigated.
Authors:
;
Publication Date:
OSTI Identifier:
1127285
Report Number(s):
NREL/CP-5D00-61398
DOE Contract Number:
AC36-08GO28308
Resource Type:
Conference
Resource Relation:
Conference: To be presented at the 8th International Conference on Foundations of Computer-Aided Process Design, 13-17 July 2014, Cle Elum, Washington
Research Org:
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO.
Sponsoring Org:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Wind and Water Power Technologies Office
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
17 WIND ENERGY WIND PLANT DESIGN; WIND FORECASTING; LAYOUT OPTIMIZATION; TURBINE SELECTION; WIND RESOURCE ASSESSMENT; GRID INTEGRATION; Wind Energy