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Title: Short-Termed Integrated Forecasting System: 1993 Model documentation report

The purpose of this report is to define the Short-Term Integrated Forecasting System (STIFS) and describe its basic properties. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) of the US Energy Department (DOE) developed the STIFS model to generate short-term (up to 8 quarters), monthly forecasts of US supplies, demands, imports exports, stocks, and prices of various forms of energy. The models that constitute STIFS generate forecasts for a wide range of possible scenarios, including the following ones done routinely on a quarterly basis: A base (mid) world oil price and medium economic growth. A low world oil price and high economic growth. A high world oil price and low economic growth. This report is written for persons who want to know how short-term energy markets forecasts are produced by EIA. The report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public.
Publication Date:
OSTI Identifier:
10166298
Report Number(s):
DOE/EIA--M041(93)
ON: DE93015479; NC: NONE
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Resource Relation:
Other Information: PBD: May 1993
Research Org:
USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC (United States). Office of Energy Markets and End Use
Sponsoring Org:
USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY; ENERGY; FORECASTING; ENERGY MODELS; DOCUMENTATION; SUPPLY AND DEMAND; PRODUCTION; PETROLEUM PRODUCTS; ELECTRIC POWER; COAL; NATURAL GAS; US ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION; PRICES; SALES; IMPORTS; FUEL CONSUMPTION; RESIDENTIAL SECTOR; COMMERCIAL SECTOR; TRANSPORTATION SECTOR 292000; 294000; 296000; 298000; SUPPLY, DEMAND, AND FORECASTING; FOSSIL FUELS; ELECTRIC POWER; CONSUMPTION AND UTILIZATION