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Title: Model bias in simulating major chemical components of PM2.5 in China

Abstract

High concentrations of PM2.5 (particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 µm) in China have caused severe visibility degradation. Accurate simulations of PM2.5 and its chemical components are essential for evaluating the effectiveness of pollution control strategies and the health and climate impacts of air pollution. In this study, we compared the GEOS-Chem model simulations with comprehensive datasets for organic aerosol (OA), sulfate, nitrate, and ammonium in China. Model results are evaluated spatially and temporally against observations. The new OA scheme with a simplified secondary organic aerosol (SOA) parameterization significantly improves the OA simulations in polluted urban areas, highlighting the important contributions of anthropogenic SOA from semivolatile and intermediate-volatility organic compounds. The model underestimates sulfate and overestimates nitrate for most of the sites throughout the year. More significant underestimation of sulfate occurs in winter, while the overestimation of nitrate is extremely large in summer. The model is unable to capture some of the main features in the diurnal pattern of the PM2.5 chemical components, suggesting inaccuracies in the presented processes. Potential model adjustments that may lead to a better representation of the boundary layer height, the precursor emissions, hydroxyl radical concentrations, the heterogeneous formation of sulfate and nitrate,more » and the wet deposition of nitric acid and nitrate have been tested in the sensitivity analysis. The results show that uncertainties in chemistry perhaps dominate the model biases. The proper implementation of heterogeneous sulfate formation and the good estimates of the concentrations of sulfur dioxide, hydroxyl radical, and aerosol liquid water are essential for the improvement of the sulfate simulation. The update of the heterogeneous uptake coefficient of nitrogen dioxide significantly reduces the modeled concentrations of nitrate. However, the large overestimation of nitrate concentrations remains in summer for all tested cases. The possible bias in the chemical production and the wet deposition of nitrate cannot fully explain the model overestimation of nitrate, suggesting issues related to the atmospheric removal of nitric acid and nitrate. A better understanding of the atmospheric nitrogen budget, in particular, the role of the photolysis of particulate nitrate, is needed for future model developments. Moreover, the results suggest that the remaining underestimation of OA in the model is associated with the underrepresented production of SOA.« less

Authors:
 [1];  [1];  [1];  [1]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [3]; ORCiD logo [4]; ORCiD logo [5];  [6];  [1]; ORCiD logo [7];  [1];  [1];  [1]; ORCiD logo [1];  [1]
  1. Peking Univ., Beijing (China). State Key Joint Lab. of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control
  2. Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), Beijing (China). State Key Lab. of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry
  3. Univ. of Edinburgh (United Kingdom)
  4. Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
  5. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing (China). State Key Lab. of Severe Weather
  6. Tsinghua Univ., Beijing (China). Ministry of Education Key Lab. for Earth System Modeling
  7. Peking Univ., Beijing (China). State Key Joint Lab. of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control; Forschungzentrum Juelich GmbH, Juelich (Germany)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE; National Key Research and Development Program of China; National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC); Natural Environment Research Council
OSTI Identifier:
1713333
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-153072
Journal ID: ISSN 1680-7324
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC05-76RL01830; 2017YFC0209802; 51861135102; 91544107; 41875165; NE/N006879/1; 15Y02ESPCP; 16Y01ESPCP
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (Online)
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (Online); Journal Volume: 20; Journal Issue: 20; Journal ID: ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher:
European Geosciences Union
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CHEMISTRY

Citation Formats

Miao, Ruqian, Chen, Qi, Zheng, Yan, Cheng, Xi, Sun, Yele, Palmer, Paul I., Shrivastava, Manish, Guo, Jianping, Zhang, Qiang, Liu, Yuhan, Tan, Zhaofeng, Ma, Xuefei, Chen, Shiyi, Zeng, Limin, Lu, Keding, and Zhang, Yuanhang. Model bias in simulating major chemical components of PM2.5 in China. United States: N. p., 2020. Web. doi:10.5194/acp-20-12265-2020.
Miao, Ruqian, Chen, Qi, Zheng, Yan, Cheng, Xi, Sun, Yele, Palmer, Paul I., Shrivastava, Manish, Guo, Jianping, Zhang, Qiang, Liu, Yuhan, Tan, Zhaofeng, Ma, Xuefei, Chen, Shiyi, Zeng, Limin, Lu, Keding, & Zhang, Yuanhang. Model bias in simulating major chemical components of PM2.5 in China. United States. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-12265-2020
Miao, Ruqian, Chen, Qi, Zheng, Yan, Cheng, Xi, Sun, Yele, Palmer, Paul I., Shrivastava, Manish, Guo, Jianping, Zhang, Qiang, Liu, Yuhan, Tan, Zhaofeng, Ma, Xuefei, Chen, Shiyi, Zeng, Limin, Lu, Keding, and Zhang, Yuanhang. Wed . "Model bias in simulating major chemical components of PM2.5 in China". United States. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-12265-2020. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1713333.
@article{osti_1713333,
title = {Model bias in simulating major chemical components of PM2.5 in China},
author = {Miao, Ruqian and Chen, Qi and Zheng, Yan and Cheng, Xi and Sun, Yele and Palmer, Paul I. and Shrivastava, Manish and Guo, Jianping and Zhang, Qiang and Liu, Yuhan and Tan, Zhaofeng and Ma, Xuefei and Chen, Shiyi and Zeng, Limin and Lu, Keding and Zhang, Yuanhang},
abstractNote = {High concentrations of PM2.5 (particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 µm) in China have caused severe visibility degradation. Accurate simulations of PM2.5 and its chemical components are essential for evaluating the effectiveness of pollution control strategies and the health and climate impacts of air pollution. In this study, we compared the GEOS-Chem model simulations with comprehensive datasets for organic aerosol (OA), sulfate, nitrate, and ammonium in China. Model results are evaluated spatially and temporally against observations. The new OA scheme with a simplified secondary organic aerosol (SOA) parameterization significantly improves the OA simulations in polluted urban areas, highlighting the important contributions of anthropogenic SOA from semivolatile and intermediate-volatility organic compounds. The model underestimates sulfate and overestimates nitrate for most of the sites throughout the year. More significant underestimation of sulfate occurs in winter, while the overestimation of nitrate is extremely large in summer. The model is unable to capture some of the main features in the diurnal pattern of the PM2.5 chemical components, suggesting inaccuracies in the presented processes. Potential model adjustments that may lead to a better representation of the boundary layer height, the precursor emissions, hydroxyl radical concentrations, the heterogeneous formation of sulfate and nitrate, and the wet deposition of nitric acid and nitrate have been tested in the sensitivity analysis. The results show that uncertainties in chemistry perhaps dominate the model biases. The proper implementation of heterogeneous sulfate formation and the good estimates of the concentrations of sulfur dioxide, hydroxyl radical, and aerosol liquid water are essential for the improvement of the sulfate simulation. The update of the heterogeneous uptake coefficient of nitrogen dioxide significantly reduces the modeled concentrations of nitrate. However, the large overestimation of nitrate concentrations remains in summer for all tested cases. The possible bias in the chemical production and the wet deposition of nitrate cannot fully explain the model overestimation of nitrate, suggesting issues related to the atmospheric removal of nitric acid and nitrate. A better understanding of the atmospheric nitrogen budget, in particular, the role of the photolysis of particulate nitrate, is needed for future model developments. Moreover, the results suggest that the remaining underestimation of OA in the model is associated with the underrepresented production of SOA.},
doi = {10.5194/acp-20-12265-2020},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (Online)},
number = 20,
volume = 20,
place = {United States},
year = {Wed Oct 28 00:00:00 EDT 2020},
month = {Wed Oct 28 00:00:00 EDT 2020}
}

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Chemical and microphysical characterization of ambient aerosols with the aerodyne aerosol mass spectrometer
journal, January 2007

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Model evaluation and intercomparison of surface-level ozone and relevant species in East Asia in the context of MICS-Asia Phase III – Part 1: Overview
journal, January 2019


Persistent sulfate formation from London Fog to Chinese haze
journal, November 2016

  • Wang, Gehui; Zhang, Renyi; Gomez, Mario E.
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Variations of ground-level O 3 and its precursors in Beijing in summertime between 2005 and 2011
journal, January 2014


Wintertime photochemistry in Beijing: observations of ROx radical concentrations in the North China Plain during the BEST-ONE campaign
journal, January 2018

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  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-12391-2018

Steps towards a mechanistic model of global soil nitric oxide emissions: implementation and space based-constraints
journal, January 2012

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  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 12, Issue 16
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Modelling secondary organic aerosols in China
journal, November 2017

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MIX: a mosaic Asian anthropogenic emission inventory under the international collaboration framework of the MICS-Asia and HTAP
journal, January 2017

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Wet and dry deposition of atmospheric nitrogen at ten sites in Northern China
journal, January 2012

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Exploring atmospheric free-radical chemistry in China: the self-cleansing capacity and the formation of secondary air pollution
journal, July 2018

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Simulations of sulfate–nitrate–ammonium (SNA) aerosols during the extreme haze events over northern China in October 2014
journal, January 2016


The contribution of outdoor air pollution sources to premature mortality on a global scale
journal, September 2015


Global inorganic nitrate production mechanisms: comparison of a global model with nitrate isotope observations
journal, January 2020

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Quantification of SO 2 Oxidation on Interfacial Surfaces of Acidic Micro-Droplets: Implication for Ambient Sulfate Formation
journal, July 2018

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Agricultural ammonia emissions in China: reconciling bottom-up and top-down estimates
journal, January 2018

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Trends of non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHC) emissions in Beijing during 2002–2013
journal, January 2015


One-year simulation of ozone and particulate matter in China using WRF/CMAQ modeling system
journal, January 2016


Constraints on Aerosol Nitrate Photolysis as a Potential Source of HONO and NO x
journal, November 2018

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Spatial–temporal patterns of inorganic nitrogen air concentrations and deposition in eastern China
journal, January 2018


Exploring the vertical profile of atmospheric organic aerosol: comparing 17 aircraft field campaigns with a global model
journal, January 2011


Parameterization of N 2 O 5 reaction probabilities on the surface of particles containing ammonium, sulfate, and nitrate
journal, January 2008

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Anthropogenic emission inventories in China: a review
journal, November 2017

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MICS-Asia III: multi-model comparison and evaluation of aerosol over East Asia
journal, January 2019