Emergent Relationships Among Sea Ice, Longwave Radiation, and the Beaufort High Circulation Exposed Through Parameter Uncertainty Analysis
Abstract
Using a perturbed parameter ensemble of a coupled climate model, emerging relationships are identified between sea ice area, net surface longwave radiation, and the atmospheric circulation over the Beaufort gyre. There is a strong positive correlation between sea ice area and the net longwave radiation over the ocean-ice surface during the melting season and a negative correlation during the freezing season. The mechanisms responsible for the longwave radiation balance at the surface are mainly driven by sea ice variations in the freezing season and by clouds in the melting season. A strong positive (negative) correlation is also found between the fall (summer) total sea ice area in the Arctic and the sea level pressure over the Beaufort High region. It is argued that as sea ice coverage is lost, static stability losses are severe in fall, resulting in enhanced evaporation, vertical motions, and weakening of the general large-scale anticyclonic circulation of the Beaufort High.
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Office of Science (SC). Biological and Environmental Research (BER) (SC-23)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1616422
- Report Number(s):
- LA-UR-19-20905
Journal ID: ISSN 2169-9275
- Grant/Contract Number:
- 89233218CNA000001
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Geophysical Research. Oceans
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 124; Journal Issue: 12; Journal ID: ISSN 2169-9275
- Publisher:
- American Geophysical Union
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; Earth Sciences; emergent constraint; sea ice; Beaufort High; coupled climate model; longwave radiation; sensitivity analysis
Citation Formats
Urrego Blanco, Jorge Rolando, Hunke, Elizabeth Clare, and Urban, Nathan Mark. Emergent Relationships Among Sea Ice, Longwave Radiation, and the Beaufort High Circulation Exposed Through Parameter Uncertainty Analysis. United States: N. p., 2019.
Web. doi:10.1029/2019JC014979.
Urrego Blanco, Jorge Rolando, Hunke, Elizabeth Clare, & Urban, Nathan Mark. Emergent Relationships Among Sea Ice, Longwave Radiation, and the Beaufort High Circulation Exposed Through Parameter Uncertainty Analysis. United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JC014979
Urrego Blanco, Jorge Rolando, Hunke, Elizabeth Clare, and Urban, Nathan Mark. Tue .
"Emergent Relationships Among Sea Ice, Longwave Radiation, and the Beaufort High Circulation Exposed Through Parameter Uncertainty Analysis". United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JC014979. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1616422.
@article{osti_1616422,
title = {Emergent Relationships Among Sea Ice, Longwave Radiation, and the Beaufort High Circulation Exposed Through Parameter Uncertainty Analysis},
author = {Urrego Blanco, Jorge Rolando and Hunke, Elizabeth Clare and Urban, Nathan Mark},
abstractNote = {Using a perturbed parameter ensemble of a coupled climate model, emerging relationships are identified between sea ice area, net surface longwave radiation, and the atmospheric circulation over the Beaufort gyre. There is a strong positive correlation between sea ice area and the net longwave radiation over the ocean-ice surface during the melting season and a negative correlation during the freezing season. The mechanisms responsible for the longwave radiation balance at the surface are mainly driven by sea ice variations in the freezing season and by clouds in the melting season. A strong positive (negative) correlation is also found between the fall (summer) total sea ice area in the Arctic and the sea level pressure over the Beaufort High region. It is argued that as sea ice coverage is lost, static stability losses are severe in fall, resulting in enhanced evaporation, vertical motions, and weakening of the general large-scale anticyclonic circulation of the Beaufort High.},
doi = {10.1029/2019JC014979},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research. Oceans},
number = 12,
volume = 124,
place = {United States},
year = {Tue Dec 24 00:00:00 EST 2019},
month = {Tue Dec 24 00:00:00 EST 2019}
}
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Table 1: Set of E3SMv0‐HiLAT Model Parameters, Their Default, Minimum, and Maximum Values Used in the Experimental Design in This Study
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