DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Potential Impacts of Transportation and Building Electrification on the Grid: A Review of Electrification Projections and their Effects on Grid Infrastructure, Operation, and Planning

Abstract

This paper highlights the main impacts of transportation and building electrification on electricity grid infrastructure, operations, and planning. We focus on which electric technologies are expected to grow, how electrification will impact electricity demand and grid activities, and which solutions might improve the integration of these technologies. Recent industry reports show increasing projections of electrification technologies in the coming decades. Studies show that increased demand from electrification will likely require grid capacity expansion and make grid operations and planning more challenging; however, multiple non-wires solutions exist to ensure integration is efficient and cost-effective. Electrification of space heating and especially transportation is expected to have the largest impact on electricity demand in the near future. Uncontrolled electric vehicle charging poses a significant challenge to grid operations, but control strategies create an opportunity for improved efficiency. Other insights include a high level of uncertainty in electrification adoption and potential benefits of combining electrification technologies with renewable generation and energy storage.

Authors:
 [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1]
  1. National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE)
OSTI Identifier:
1576484
Report Number(s):
NREL/JA-5D00-74360
Journal ID: ISSN 2196-3010
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC36-08GO28308
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 6; Journal ID: ISSN 2196-3010
Publisher:
Springer
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY; transportation electrification; building electrification; market projections; grid impacts; electric vehicles; air source heat pumps

Citation Formats

Blonsky, Michael, Nagarajan, Adarsh, Ghosh, Shibani, McKenna, Killian K, Veda, Santosh, and Kroposki, Benjamin D. Potential Impacts of Transportation and Building Electrification on the Grid: A Review of Electrification Projections and their Effects on Grid Infrastructure, Operation, and Planning. United States: N. p., 2019. Web. doi:10.1007/s40518-019-00140-5.
Blonsky, Michael, Nagarajan, Adarsh, Ghosh, Shibani, McKenna, Killian K, Veda, Santosh, & Kroposki, Benjamin D. Potential Impacts of Transportation and Building Electrification on the Grid: A Review of Electrification Projections and their Effects on Grid Infrastructure, Operation, and Planning. United States. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40518-019-00140-5
Blonsky, Michael, Nagarajan, Adarsh, Ghosh, Shibani, McKenna, Killian K, Veda, Santosh, and Kroposki, Benjamin D. Wed . "Potential Impacts of Transportation and Building Electrification on the Grid: A Review of Electrification Projections and their Effects on Grid Infrastructure, Operation, and Planning". United States. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40518-019-00140-5. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1576484.
@article{osti_1576484,
title = {Potential Impacts of Transportation and Building Electrification on the Grid: A Review of Electrification Projections and their Effects on Grid Infrastructure, Operation, and Planning},
author = {Blonsky, Michael and Nagarajan, Adarsh and Ghosh, Shibani and McKenna, Killian K and Veda, Santosh and Kroposki, Benjamin D},
abstractNote = {This paper highlights the main impacts of transportation and building electrification on electricity grid infrastructure, operations, and planning. We focus on which electric technologies are expected to grow, how electrification will impact electricity demand and grid activities, and which solutions might improve the integration of these technologies. Recent industry reports show increasing projections of electrification technologies in the coming decades. Studies show that increased demand from electrification will likely require grid capacity expansion and make grid operations and planning more challenging; however, multiple non-wires solutions exist to ensure integration is efficient and cost-effective. Electrification of space heating and especially transportation is expected to have the largest impact on electricity demand in the near future. Uncontrolled electric vehicle charging poses a significant challenge to grid operations, but control strategies create an opportunity for improved efficiency. Other insights include a high level of uncertainty in electrification adoption and potential benefits of combining electrification technologies with renewable generation and energy storage.},
doi = {10.1007/s40518-019-00140-5},
journal = {Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports},
number = ,
volume = 6,
place = {United States},
year = {Wed Nov 13 00:00:00 EST 2019},
month = {Wed Nov 13 00:00:00 EST 2019}
}

Works referenced in this record:

The addition of heat pump electricity load profiles to GB electricity demand: Evidence from a heat pump field trial
journal, October 2017


Aggregate Flexibility of Thermostatically Controlled Loads
journal, January 2015

  • Hao, He; Sanandaji, Borhan M.; Poolla, Kameshwar
  • IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 30, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS.2014.2328865

Smart Meters and Smart Devices in Buildings: a Review of Recent Progress and Influence on Electricity Use and Peak Demand
journal, January 2017

  • Cetin, Kristen S.; O’Neill, Zheng
  • Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports, Vol. 4, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1007/s40518-017-0063-7

Recent Developments in HVAC System Control and Building Demand Management
journal, January 2017

  • Sun, Yongjun; Huang, Gongsheng
  • Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports, Vol. 4, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1007/s40518-017-0064-6

Overview of Lithium-Ion Grid-Scale Energy Storage Systems
journal, August 2017

  • Arteaga, Juan; Zareipour, Hamidreza; Thangadurai, Venkataraman
  • Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports, Vol. 4, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1007/s40518-017-0086-0

Assessment of electric vehicles concerning impacts, charging infrastructure with unidirectional and bidirectional chargers, and power flow comparisons
journal, April 2018

  • Habib, Salman; Khan, Muhammad Mansoor; Abbas, Farukh
  • International Journal of Energy Research, Vol. 42, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.1002/er.4033

Overview of State Policies for Energy Efficiency in Buildings
journal, January 2018


Demand side management: Benefits and challenges
journal, December 2008


Foresee: A user-centric home energy management system for energy efficiency and demand response
journal, November 2017


Uncertainty Modeling of Distributed Energy Resources: Techniques and Challenges
journal, April 2019

  • Zhang, Ying; Wang, Jianhui; Li, Zhengshuo
  • Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports, Vol. 6, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1007/s40518-019-00129-0

Joint voltage and frequency regulation by EV charging scheduling in the distribution network
conference, February 2018

  • Zhang, Ao; Sun, Bo; Liu, Tian
  • 2018 IEEE Power & Energy Society Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference (ISGT)
  • DOI: 10.1109/ISGT.2018.8403363

Achieving Deep Reduction in California CO2 Emissions via Renewable Resource Integration, Electrification, and Smart Grid Deployment
conference, November 2016

  • Ebrahimi, Siavash; Brouwer, Jack
  • ASME 2016 Power Conference collocated with the ASME 2016 10th International Conference on Energy Sustainability and the ASME 2016 14th International Conference on Fuel Cell Science, Engineering and Technology
  • DOI: 10.1115/POWER2016-59457

Mitigating the impact of personal vehicle electrification: A power generation perspective
journal, July 2018


California end-use electrification impacts on carbon neutrality and clean air
journal, March 2018


Detailed simulation of electrical demands due to nationwide adoption of heat pumps, taking account of renewable generation and mitigation
journal, March 2016

  • McManus, Marcelle C.; Pudjianto, Danny; Cooper, Samuel J. G.
  • IET Renewable Power Generation, Vol. 10, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1049/iet-rpg.2015.0127

Stochastic impact assessment of the heating and transportation systems electrification on LV grids
conference, October 2014

  • de Cerio Mendaza, Iker Diaz; Bak-Jensen, Birgitte; Chen, Zhe
  • 2014 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference Europe (ISGT-Europe), IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies, Europe
  • DOI: 10.1109/ISGTEurope.2014.7028812

Assessing demand response with heat pumps for efficient grid operation in smart grids
journal, December 2015


Which Flexibility Options Facilitate the Integration of Intermittent Renewable Energy Sources in Electricity Systems?
journal, January 2018

  • Zöphel, Christoph; Schreiber, Steffi; Müller, Theresa
  • Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports, Vol. 5, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1007/s40518-018-0092-x

Impact of uncoordinated plug-in electric vehicle charging on residential power demand
journal, January 2018


An area-based modelling approach for planning heating electrification
journal, August 2019


Smart control for minimizing distribution network reinforcement cost due to electrification
journal, January 2013


A Comprehensive Study of Implemented International Standards, Technical Challenges, Impacts and Prospects for Electric Vehicles
journal, January 2018


Distribution System Planning and Innovation for Distributed Energy Futures
journal, April 2015

  • Martinot, Eric; Kristov, Lorenzo; Erickson, J. David
  • Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports, Vol. 2, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1007/s40518-015-0027-8

Probabilistic modeling and assessment of the impact of electric heat pumps on low voltage distribution networks
journal, August 2014


Assessment of plug-in electric vehicles charging impacts on residential low voltage distribution grid in Hungary
conference, April 2018

  • Ramadan, Hassanien; Ali, Abdelfatah; Farkas, Csaba
  • 2018 6th International Istanbul Smart Grids and Cities Congress and Fair (ICSG)
  • DOI: 10.1109/SGCF.2018.8408952

Examining power grid's capacity to meet transportation electrification demand
conference, July 2012

  • Darabi, Z.; Ferdowsi, M.
  • 2012 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting. New Energy Horizons - Opportunities and Challenges, 2012 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting
  • DOI: 10.1109/PESGM.2012.6345204