Comparison With Global Soil Radiocarbon Observations Indicates Needed Carbon Cycle Improvements in the E3SM Land Model
Abstract
We evaluated global soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks and turnover time predictions from a global land model (ELMv1-ECA) integrated in an Earth System Model (E3SM) by comparing them with observed soil bulk and Δ14C values around the world. We analyzed observed and simulated SOC stocks and Δ14C values using machine learning methods at the Earth System Model grid cell scale (~200 km). In grid cells with sufficient observations, the model provided reasonable estimates of soil carbon stocks across soil depth and Δ14C values near the surface but underestimated Δ14C at depth. Among many explanatory variables, soil albedo index, soil order, plant function type, air temperature, and SOC content were major factors affecting predicted SOC Δ14C values. The influences of soil albedo index, soil order, and air temperature were primarily important in the shallow subsurface (≤30 cm). We also performed sensitivity studies using different vertical root distributions and decomposition turnover times and compared to observed SOC stock and Δ14C profiles. The analyses support the role of vegetation in affecting soil carbon turnover, particularly in deep soil, possibly through supplying fresh carbon and degrading physical-chemical protection of SOC via root activities. Allowing for grid cell-specific rooting and decomposition rates substantially reduced discrepancies between observedmore »
- Authors:
-
- Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States). Climate and Ecosystem Sciences Div.
- Univ. of California, Irvine, CA (United States). Dept. of Earth System Sciences
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Office of Science (SC)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1572816
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1510558
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC02-05CH11231; AC02‐05CH11231
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Geophysical Research. Biogeosciences
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 124; Journal Issue: 5; Journal ID: ISSN 2169-8953
- Publisher:
- American Geophysical Union
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 58 GEOSCIENCES; Earth System Models; advanced land modeling; soil organic carbon; radiocarbon; statistical analysis; machine learning
Citation Formats
Chen, Jinsong, Zhu, Qing, Riley, William J., He, Yujie, Randerson, James T., and Trumbore, Susan. Comparison With Global Soil Radiocarbon Observations Indicates Needed Carbon Cycle Improvements in the E3SM Land Model. United States: N. p., 2019.
Web. doi:10.1029/2018jg004795.
Chen, Jinsong, Zhu, Qing, Riley, William J., He, Yujie, Randerson, James T., & Trumbore, Susan. Comparison With Global Soil Radiocarbon Observations Indicates Needed Carbon Cycle Improvements in the E3SM Land Model. United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jg004795
Chen, Jinsong, Zhu, Qing, Riley, William J., He, Yujie, Randerson, James T., and Trumbore, Susan. Mon .
"Comparison With Global Soil Radiocarbon Observations Indicates Needed Carbon Cycle Improvements in the E3SM Land Model". United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jg004795. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1572816.
@article{osti_1572816,
title = {Comparison With Global Soil Radiocarbon Observations Indicates Needed Carbon Cycle Improvements in the E3SM Land Model},
author = {Chen, Jinsong and Zhu, Qing and Riley, William J. and He, Yujie and Randerson, James T. and Trumbore, Susan},
abstractNote = {We evaluated global soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks and turnover time predictions from a global land model (ELMv1-ECA) integrated in an Earth System Model (E3SM) by comparing them with observed soil bulk and Δ14C values around the world. We analyzed observed and simulated SOC stocks and Δ14C values using machine learning methods at the Earth System Model grid cell scale (~200 km). In grid cells with sufficient observations, the model provided reasonable estimates of soil carbon stocks across soil depth and Δ14C values near the surface but underestimated Δ14C at depth. Among many explanatory variables, soil albedo index, soil order, plant function type, air temperature, and SOC content were major factors affecting predicted SOC Δ14C values. The influences of soil albedo index, soil order, and air temperature were primarily important in the shallow subsurface (≤30 cm). We also performed sensitivity studies using different vertical root distributions and decomposition turnover times and compared to observed SOC stock and Δ14C profiles. The analyses support the role of vegetation in affecting soil carbon turnover, particularly in deep soil, possibly through supplying fresh carbon and degrading physical-chemical protection of SOC via root activities. Allowing for grid cell-specific rooting and decomposition rates substantially reduced discrepancies between observed and predicted Δ14C values and SOC content. Furthermore, our results highlight the need for more explicit representation of roots, microbes, and soil physical protection in land models.},
doi = {10.1029/2018jg004795},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research. Biogeosciences},
number = 5,
volume = 124,
place = {United States},
year = {Mon Apr 08 00:00:00 EDT 2019},
month = {Mon Apr 08 00:00:00 EDT 2019}
}
Web of Science
Works referenced in this record:
Deep soil carbon dynamics are driven more by soil type than by climate: a worldwide meta-analysis of radiocarbon profiles
journal, October 2015
- Mathieu, Jordane A.; Hatté, Christine; Balesdent, Jérôme
- Global Change Biology, Vol. 21, Issue 11
Multiple soil nutrient competition between plants, microbes, and mineral surfaces: model development, parameterization, and example applications in several tropical forests
journal, January 2016
- Zhu, Q.; Riley, W. J.; Tang, J.
- Biogeosciences, Vol. 13, Issue 1
Long residence times of rapidly decomposable soil organic matter: application of a multi-phase, multi-component, and vertically resolved model (BAMS1) to soil carbon dynamics
journal, January 2014
- Riley, W. J.; Maggi, F.; Kleber, M.
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 7, Issue 4
Weaker land–climate feedbacks from nutrient uptake during photosynthesis-inactive periods
journal, October 2018
- Riley, W. J.; Zhu, Q.; Tang, J. Y.
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 8, Issue 11
Scaling impacts on environmental controls and spatial heterogeneity of soil organic carbon stocks
journal, January 2015
- Mishra, U.; Riley, W. J.
- Biogeosciences, Vol. 12, Issue 13
Multiple soil nutrient competition between plants, microbes, and mineral surfaces: model development, parameterization, and example applications in several tropical forests
journal, January 2015
- Zhu, Q.; Riley, W. J.; Tang, J.
- Biogeosciences Discussions, Vol. 12, Issue 5
Carbon accumulation in Finland's forests 1922–2004 – an estimate obtained by combination of forest inventory data with modelling of biomass, litter and soil
journal, October 2006
- Liski, Jari; Lehtonen, Aleksi; Palosuo, Taru
- Annals of Forest Science, Vol. 63, Issue 7
The turnover of organic carbon in subsoils. Part 2. Modelling carbon turnover
journal, April 2008
- Jenkinson, D. S.; Coleman, K.
- European Journal of Soil Science, Vol. 59, Issue 2
AtMYB61, an R2R3-MYB Transcription Factor Controlling Stomatal Aperture in Arabidopsis thaliana
journal, July 2005
- Liang, Yun-Kuan; Dubos, Christian; Dodd, Ian C.
- Current Biology, Vol. 15, Issue 13
An Introduction to the Bootstrap
book, January 1993
- Efron, Bradley; Tibshirani, Robert J.
- Chapman and Hall/CRC
Variations in soil carbon sequestration and their determinants along a precipitation gradient in seasonally dry tropical forest ecosystems
journal, February 2016
- Campo, Julio; Merino, Agustín
- Global Change Biology, Vol. 22, Issue 5
Assessing future nitrogen deposition and carbon cycle feedback using a multimodel approach: Analysis of nitrogen deposition
journal, January 2005
- Lamarque, J. -F.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 110, Issue D19
Scale-Dependent Performance of CMIP5 Earth System Models in Simulating Terrestrial Vegetation Carbon
journal, July 2015
- Jiang, Lifen; Yan, Yaner; Hararuk, Oleksandra
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 28, Issue 13
A model-data intercomparison of CO 2 exchange across North America: Results from the North American Carbon Program site synthesis
journal, January 2010
- Schwalm, Christopher R.; Williams, Christopher A.; Schaefer, Kevin
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 115
Global covariation of carbon turnover times with climate in terrestrial ecosystems
journal, September 2014
- Carvalhais, Nuno; Forkel, Matthias; Khomik, Myroslava
- Nature, Vol. 514, Issue 7521
Persistence of soil organic matter as an ecosystem property
journal, October 2011
- Schmidt, Michael W. I.; Torn, Margaret S.; Abiven, Samuel
- Nature, Vol. 478, Issue 7367
Contribution of sorption, DOC transport and microbial interactions to the 14C age of a soil organic carbon profile: Insights from a calibrated process model
journal, September 2015
- Ahrens, Bernhard; Braakhekke, Maarten C.; Guggenberger, Georg
- Soil Biology and Biochemistry, Vol. 88
Taxonomic and Environmental Variation of Metabolite Profiles in Marine Dinoflagellates of the Genus Symbiodinium
journal, February 2015
- Klueter, Anke; Crandall, Jesse; Archer, Frederick
- Metabolites, Vol. 5, Issue 1
Mineral properties, microbes, transport, and plant-input profiles control vertical distribution and age of soil carbon stocks
journal, April 2017
- Dwivedi, D.; Riley, W. J.; Torn, M. S.
- Soil Biology and Biochemistry, Vol. 107
The relationship of leaf photosynthetic traits - V cmax and J max - to leaf nitrogen, leaf phosphorus, and specific leaf area: a meta-analysis and modeling study
journal, July 2014
- Walker, Anthony P.; Beckerman, Andrew P.; Gu, Lianhong
- Ecology and Evolution, Vol. 4, Issue 16
A new theory of plant-microbe nutrient competition resolves inconsistencies between observations and model predictions
journal, March 2017
- Zhu, Qing; Riley, William J.; Tang, Jinyun
- Ecological Applications, Vol. 27, Issue 3
The Elements of Statistical Learning
book, January 2009
- Hastie, Trevor; Tibshirani, Robert; Friedman, Jerome
- Springer Series in Statistics
Radiative forcing due to anthropogenic vegetation change based on MODIS surface albedo data
journal, January 2005
- Myhre, Gunnar; Kvalevåg, Maria M.; Schaaf, Crystal B.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 32, Issue 21
Mineral control of soil organic carbon storage and turnover
journal, September 1997
- Torn, Margaret S.; Trumbore, Susan E.; Chadwick, Oliver A.
- Nature, Vol. 389, Issue 6647
Uncertainties in CMIP5 Climate Projections due to Carbon Cycle Feedbacks
journal, January 2014
- Friedlingstein, Pierre; Meinshausen, Malte; Arora, Vivek K.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 27, Issue 2
IntCal13 and Marine13 Radiocarbon Age Calibration Curves 0–50,000 Years cal BP
journal, January 2013
- Reimer, Paula J.; Bard, Edouard; Bayliss, Alex
- Radiocarbon, Vol. 55, Issue 4
Investigating the climate impacts of global land cover change in the community climate system model
journal, January 2010
- Lawrence, Peter J.; Chase, Thomas N.
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 30, Issue 13
Toward more realistic projections of soil carbon dynamics by Earth system models: SOIL CARBON MODELING
journal, January 2016
- Luo, Yiqi; Ahlström, Anders; Allison, Steven D.
- Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 30, Issue 1
Representing leaf and root physiological traits in CLM improves global carbon and nitrogen cycling predictions: LEAF AND ROOT TRAITS IN CLM
journal, May 2016
- Ghimire, Bardan; Riley, William J.; Koven, Charles D.
- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol. 8, Issue 2
A global budget for fine root biomass, surface area, and nutrient contents
journal, July 1997
- Jackson, R. B.; Mooney, H. A.; Schulze, E. - D.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 94, Issue 14
C and N turnover in structurally intact soils of different texture
journal, June 2003
- Thomsen, Ingrid K.; Schjønning, Per; Olesen, Jørgen E.
- Soil Biology and Biochemistry, Vol. 35, Issue 6
Representing a new MODIS consistent land surface in the Community Land Model (CLM 3.0)
journal, January 2007
- Lawrence, Peter J.; Chase, Thomas N.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 112, Issue G1
Global distribution of atmospheric phosphorus sources, concentrations and deposition rates, and anthropogenic impacts: GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC PHOSPHORUS
journal, December 2008
- Mahowald, Natalie; Jickells, Timothy D.; Baker, Alex R.
- Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 22, Issue 4
Observations and modeling of biomass and soil organic matter dynamics for the grassland biome worldwide
journal, December 1993
- Parton, W. J.; Scurlock, J. M. O.; Ojima, D. S.
- Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 7, Issue 4
The effect of vertically resolved soil biogeochemistry and alternate soil C and N models on C dynamics of CLM4
journal, January 2013
- Koven, C. D.; Riley, W. J.; Subin, Z. M.
- Biogeosciences, Vol. 10, Issue 11
Radiocarbon constraints imply reduced carbon uptake by soils during the 21st century
journal, September 2016
- He, Y.; Trumbore, S. E.; Torn, M. S.
- Science, Vol. 353, Issue 6306
The Effects of Remotely Sensed Plant Functional Type and Leaf Area Index on Simulations of Boreal Forest Surface Fluxes by the NCAR Land Surface Model
journal, October 2000
- Oleson, Keith W.; Bonan, Gordon B.
- Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 1, Issue 5
A model of biogeochemical cycles of carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus including symbiotic nitrogen fixation and phosphatase production: A BIOGEOCHEMICAL MODEL OF C, N, AND P
journal, March 2007
- Wang, Y. -P.; Houlton, B. Z.; Field, C. B.
- Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 21, Issue 1
Extension and integration of atmospheric carbon dioxide data into a globally consistent measurement record
journal, January 1995
- Masarie, Kenneth A.; Tans, Pieter P.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 100, Issue D6
How accurately can soil organic carbon stocks and stock changes be quantified by soil inventories?
journal, January 2011
- Schrumpf, M.; Schulze, E. D.; Kaiser, K.
- Biogeosciences, Vol. 8, Issue 5
The decadal state of the terrestrial carbon cycle: Global retrievals of terrestrial carbon allocation, pools, and residence times
journal, January 2016
- Bloom, A. Anthony; Exbrayat, Jean-François; van der Velde, Ivar R.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 113, Issue 5
Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climatic observations - the CRU TS3.10 Dataset: UPDATED HIGH-RESOLUTION GRIDS OF MONTHLY CLIMATIC OBSERVATIONS
journal, May 2013
- Harris, I.; Jones, P. D.; Osborn, T. J.
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 34, Issue 3
A total quasi-steady-state formulation of substrate uptake kinetics in complex networks and an example application to microbial litter decomposition
journal, January 2013
- Tang, J. Y.; Riley, W. J.
- Biogeosciences, Vol. 10, Issue 12
SoilGrids1km — Global Soil Information Based on Automated Mapping
journal, August 2014
- Hengl, Tomislav; de Jesus, Jorge Mendes; MacMillan, Robert A.
- PLoS ONE, Vol. 9, Issue 8
Toward an allocation scheme for global terrestrial carbon models
journal, October 1999
- Friedlingstein, P.; Joel, G.; Field, C. B.
- Global Change Biology, Vol. 5, Issue 7
Sensitivity of modeled NEP to climate forcing and soil at site and regional scales: Implications for upscaling ecosystem models
journal, January 2016
- Mekonnen, Zelalem A.; Grant, Robert F.; Schwalm, Christopher
- Ecological Modelling, Vol. 320
Global Vegetation Root Distribution for Land Modeling
journal, October 2001
- Zeng, Xubin
- Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 2, Issue 5
Statistics for Spatial Data
book, September 1993
- Cressie, Noel A. C.
- Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics
miRNALoc: predicting miRNA subcellular localizations based on principal component scores of physico-chemical properties and pseudo compositions of di-nucleotides
journal, September 2020
- Meher, Prabina Kumar; Satpathy, Subhrajit; Rao, Atmakuri Ramakrishna
- Scientific Reports, Vol. 10, Issue 1
Optimization of probiotic therapeutics using machine learning in an artificial human gastrointestinal tract
journal, January 2021
- Westfall, Susan; Carracci, Francesca; Estill, Molly
- Scientific Reports, Vol. 11, Issue 1
How accurately can soil organic carbon stocks and stock changes be quantified by soil inventories?
journal, January 2011
- Schrumpf, M.; Schulze, E. D.; Kaiser, K.
- Biogeosciences Discussions, Vol. 8, Issue 1
An Introduction to the Bootstrap
book, May 1994
- Efron, Bradley; Tibshirani, R. J.
- Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability
SoilGrids1km — Global Soil Information Based on Automated Mapping
text, January 2014
- Hengl, Tomislav; Mendes De Jesus, Jorge; MacMillan, Robert A.
- Columbia University
The Elements of Statistical Learning
book, January 2009
- Hastie, Trevor; Tibshirani, Robert; Friedman, Jerome
- Springer Series in Statistics
Persistence of soil organic matter as an ecosystem property
text, January 2011
- Schmidt, M. W. I.; Torn, M. S.; Abiven, S.
- Nature Publishing Group
The Elements of Statistical Learning
book, January 2001
- Hastie, Trevor; Friedman, Jerome; Tibshirani, Robert
- Springer Series in Statistics
Works referencing / citing this record:
Including Stable Carbon Isotopes to Evaluate the Dynamics of Soil Carbon in the Land‐Surface Model ORCHIDEE
journal, November 2019
- Camino‐Serrano, Marta; Tifafi, Marwa; Balesdent, Jérôme
- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol. 11, Issue 11
A substantial role of soil erosion in the land carbon sink and its future changes
journal, February 2020
- Tan, Zeli; Leung, L. Ruby; Li, Hong‐Yi
- Global Change Biology, Vol. 26, Issue 4