Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate
Abstract
Understanding changes in precipitation variability is essential for a complete explanation of the hydrologic cycle’s response to warming and its impacts. While changes in mean and extreme precipitation have been studied intensively, precipitation variability has received less attention, despite its theoretical and practical importance. Here, we show that precipitation variability in most climate models increases over a majority of global land area in response to warming (66% of land has a robust increase in variability of seasonal-mean precipitation). Comparing recent decades to RCP8.5 projections for the end of the 21st century, we find that in the global, multi-model mean, precipitation variability increases 3–4% K–1 globally, 4–5% K–1 over land and 2–4% K–1 over ocean, and is remarkably robust on a range of timescales from daily to decadal. Precipitation variability increases by at least as much as mean precipitation and less than moisture and extreme precipitation for most models, regions, and timescales. We interpret this as being related to an increase in moisture which is partially mitigated by weakening circulation. In conclusion, we show that changes in observed daily variability in station data are consistent with increased variability.
- Authors:
-
[1];
[2];
- National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO (United States)
- National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO (United States); ETH Zurich, Zurich (Switzerland)
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1500119
- Grant/Contract Number:
- FC02-97ER62402
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Scientific Reports
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 7; Journal Issue: 1; Journal ID: ISSN 2045-2322
- Publisher:
- Nature Publishing Group
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Citation Formats
Pendergrass, Angeline G., Knutti, Reto, Lehner, Flavio, Deser, Clara, and Sanderson, Benjamin M. Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate. United States: N. p., 2017.
Web. doi:10.1038/s41598-017-17966-y.
Pendergrass, Angeline G., Knutti, Reto, Lehner, Flavio, Deser, Clara, & Sanderson, Benjamin M. Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate. United States. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-17966-y
Pendergrass, Angeline G., Knutti, Reto, Lehner, Flavio, Deser, Clara, and Sanderson, Benjamin M. Thu .
"Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate". United States. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-17966-y. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1500119.
@article{osti_1500119,
title = {Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate},
author = {Pendergrass, Angeline G. and Knutti, Reto and Lehner, Flavio and Deser, Clara and Sanderson, Benjamin M.},
abstractNote = {Understanding changes in precipitation variability is essential for a complete explanation of the hydrologic cycle’s response to warming and its impacts. While changes in mean and extreme precipitation have been studied intensively, precipitation variability has received less attention, despite its theoretical and practical importance. Here, we show that precipitation variability in most climate models increases over a majority of global land area in response to warming (66% of land has a robust increase in variability of seasonal-mean precipitation). Comparing recent decades to RCP8.5 projections for the end of the 21st century, we find that in the global, multi-model mean, precipitation variability increases 3–4% K–1 globally, 4–5% K–1 over land and 2–4% K–1 over ocean, and is remarkably robust on a range of timescales from daily to decadal. Precipitation variability increases by at least as much as mean precipitation and less than moisture and extreme precipitation for most models, regions, and timescales. We interpret this as being related to an increase in moisture which is partially mitigated by weakening circulation. In conclusion, we show that changes in observed daily variability in station data are consistent with increased variability.},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-017-17966-y},
journal = {Scientific Reports},
number = 1,
volume = 7,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Dec 21 00:00:00 EST 2017},
month = {Thu Dec 21 00:00:00 EST 2017}
}
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record
Other availability
Search WorldCat to find libraries that may hold this journal
Cited by: 273 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science
Web of Science
Figures / Tables:
Figure 1: Spatially aggregated precipitation variability change. Land area fraction experiencing a given change in the interannual standard deviation of seasonal-mean precipitation over extra-tropical land in (a) summer and (b) winter, and tropical land in (c) JJA and (d) DJF at individual grid points from 1976–2005 to 2071–2100 forced bymore »
All figures and tables
(5 total)
Save to My Library
You must Sign In or Create an Account in order to save documents to your library.
Works referenced in this record:
Investigating soil moisture–climate interactions in a changing climate: A review
journal, May 2010
- Seneviratne, Sonia I.; Corti, Thierry; Davin, Edouard L.
- Earth-Science Reviews, Vol. 99, Issue 3-4
CO 2 -Induced Changes in Interannual Temperature and Precipitation Variability in 19 CMIP2 Experiments
journal, September 2002
- Räisänen, Jouni
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 15, Issue 17
Projected increases in daily to decadal variability of Asian-Australian monsoon rainfall: Asian-Australian Monsoon Variability
journal, June 2017
- Brown, Josephine R.; Moise, Aurel F.; Colman, Robert A.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 44, Issue 11
Widespread increases in low-frequency variability of precipitation over the past century
journal, August 1996
- Tsonis, A. A.
- Nature, Vol. 382, Issue 6593
Investigating soil moisture–climate interactions in a changing climate: A review
text, January 2010
- Seneviratne, Sonia I.; Corti, Thierry; Davin, Edouard L.
- Elsevier
Emergence of multiple ocean ecosystem drivers in a large ensemble suite with an Earth system model
text, January 2015
- Rodgers, Keith B.; Lin, J.; Frölicher, Thomas L.
- ETH Zurich
Infrastructure mitigates the sensitivity of child growth to local agriculture and rainfall in Nepal and Uganda
journal, January 2017
- Shively, Gerald E.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 114, Issue 5
Interaction of climatic variability with climatic change
journal, September 2004
- Hunt, B. G.; Elliott, T. I.
- Atmosphere-Ocean, Vol. 42, Issue 3
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
journal, April 2012
- Taylor, Karl E.; Stouffer, Ronald J.; Meehl, Gerald A.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 93, Issue 4
Time-Mean Response over the Tropical Pacific to Increased C0 2 in a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model
journal, September 1995
- Knutson, Thomas R.; Manabe, Syukuro
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 8, Issue 9
Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data: Indices for monitoring changes in extremes
journal, October 2011
- Zhang, Xuebin; Alexander, Lisa; Hegerl, Gabriele C.
- Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, Vol. 2, Issue 6
Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes
journal, November 2013
- Fischer, E. M.; Beyerle, U.; Knutti, R.
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 3, Issue 12
No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns
journal, July 2013
- Huntingford, Chris; Jones, Philip D.; Livina, Valerie N.
- Nature, Vol. 500, Issue 7462
Emergence of multiple ocean ecosystem drivers in a large ensemble suite with an Earth system model
journal, January 2015
- Rodgers, K. B.; Lin, J.; Frölicher, T. L.
- Biogeosciences, Vol. 12, Issue 11
Impact of increasing CO2 on monthly-to-annual precipitation extremes: analysis of the CMIP2 experiments
journal, January 2005
- Räisänen, Jouni
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 24, Issue 2-3
The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change
journal, April 2010
- Hawkins, Ed; Sutton, Rowan
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 37, Issue 1-2
Global Warming and the Weakening of the Tropical Circulation
journal, September 2007
- Vecchi, Gabriel A.; Soden, Brian J.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 20, Issue 17
Time-Varying Response of ENSO-Induced Tropical Pacific Rainfall to Global Warming in CMIP5 Models. Part I: Multimodel Ensemble Results
journal, August 2016
- Huang, Ping
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 29, Issue 16
Robust twenty-first-century projections of El Niño and related precipitation variability
journal, October 2013
- Power, Scott; Delage, François; Chung, Christine
- Nature, Vol. 502, Issue 7472
Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes
journal, November 2013
- Fischer, E. M.; Beyerle, U.; Knutti, R.
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 3, Issue 12
The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change
journal, April 2010
- Hawkins, Ed; Sutton, Rowan
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 37, Issue 1-2
South Asian Summer Monsoon Variability in a Model with Doubled Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration
journal, May 1993
- Meehl, G. A.; Washington, W. M.
- Science, Vol. 260, Issue 5111
Climate variability and crop production in Tanzania
journal, April 2011
- Rowhani, Pedram; Lobell, David B.; Linderman, Marc
- Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Vol. 151, Issue 4
Mechanisms of change in ENSO-induced tropical Pacific rainfall variability in a warming climate
journal, October 2015
- Huang, Ping; Xie, Shang-Ping
- Nature Geoscience, Vol. 8, Issue 12
United States' Interannual Precipitation Variability Over the Past Century: Is Variability Increasing as Predicted By Models?
journal, July 2010
- Svoma, Bohumil M.; Balling, Robert C.
- Physical Geography, Vol. 31, Issue 4
Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data: Indices for monitoring changes in extremes
journal, October 2011
- Zhang, Xuebin; Alexander, Lisa; Hegerl, Gabriele C.
- Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, Vol. 2, Issue 6
Impact of increasing CO2 on monthly-to-annual precipitation extremes: analysis of the CMIP2 experiments
journal, January 2005
- Räisänen, Jouni
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 24, Issue 2-3
When tails wag the decision: The role of distributional tails on climate impacts on decision-relevant time-scales
preprint, January 2017
- Garner, Gregory G.; Keller, Klaus
- arXiv
Nonlinear precipitation response to El Niño and global warming in the Indo-Pacific
journal, August 2013
- Chung, Christine T. Y.; Power, Scott B.; Arblaster, Julie M.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 42, Issue 7-8
Mechanisms of Stratospheric and Tropospheric Circulation Response to Projected Arctic Sea Ice Loss
journal, October 2015
- Sun, Lantao; Deser, Clara; Tomas, Robert A.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 28, Issue 19
Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle
journal, September 2002
- Allen, Myles R.; Ingram, William J.
- Nature, Vol. 419, Issue 6903
Global Historical Climatology Network - Daily (GHCN-Daily), Version 3
dataset, January 2012
- Menne, Matthew J.; Durre, Imke; Korzeniewski, Bryant
- NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
Future risk of record-breaking summer temperatures and its mitigation
journal, February 2016
- Lehner, Flavio; Deser, Clara; Sanderson, Benjamin M.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 146, Issue 3-4
The physical basis for increases in precipitation extremes in simulations of 21st-century climate change
journal, August 2009
- O'Gorman, P. A.; Schneider, T.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 106, Issue 35
Improvements to NOAA’s Historical Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis (1880–2006)
journal, May 2008
- Smith, Thomas M.; Reynolds, Richard W.; Peterson, Thomas C.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 21, Issue 10
Investigating soil moisture–climate interactions in a changing climate: A review
journal, May 2010
- Seneviratne, Sonia I.; Corti, Thierry; Davin, Edouard L.
- Earth-Science Reviews, Vol. 99, Issue 3-4
Analysis of daily variability of precipitation in a nested regional climate model: comparison with observations and doubled CO2 results
journal, April 1995
- Mearns, L.
- Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 10, Issue 1-4
Widespread increases in low-frequency variability of precipitation over the past century
journal, August 1996
- Tsonis, A. A.
- Nature, Vol. 382, Issue 6593
Arctic amplification decreases temperature variance in northern mid- to high-latitudes
journal, June 2014
- Screen, James A.
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 4, Issue 7
Relative Contributions of Mean-State Shifts and ENSO-Driven Variability to Precipitation Changes in a Warming Climate
journal, December 2015
- Bonfils, Céline J. W.; Santer, Benjamin D.; Phillips, Thomas J.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 28, Issue 24
No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns
journal, July 2013
- Huntingford, Chris; Jones, Philip D.; Livina, Valerie N.
- Nature, Vol. 500, Issue 7462
Interaction of climatic variability with climatic change
journal, September 2004
- Hunt, B. G.; Elliott, T. I.
- Atmosphere-Ocean, Vol. 42, Issue 3
Changes of Variability in Response to Increasing Greenhouse Gases. Part II: Hydrology
journal, November 2009
- Wetherald, Richard T.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 22, Issue 22
An Overview of the Global Historical Climatology Network-Daily Database
journal, July 2012
- Menne, Matthew J.; Durre, Imke; Vose, Russell S.
- Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, Vol. 29, Issue 7
Nonlinear ENSO Warming Suppression (NEWS)
journal, June 2017
- Kohyama, Tsubasa; Hartmann, Dennis L.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 30, Issue 11
Climate variability and crop production in Tanzania
journal, April 2011
- Rowhani, Pedram; Lobell, David B.; Linderman, Marc
- Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Vol. 151, Issue 4
Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle
journal, September 2002
- Allen, Myles R.; Ingram, William J.
- Nature, Vol. 419, Issue 6903
Transient Response of a Global Ocean-Atmosphere Model to a Doubling of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
journal, May 1990
- Manabe, Syukuro; Bryan, Kirk; Spelman, Michael J.
- Journal of Physical Oceanography, Vol. 20, Issue 5
Streamflow response of Belgian catchments to IPCC climate change scenarios
journal, September 1998
- Gellens, D.; Roulin, E.
- Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 210, Issue 1-4
Nonlinear precipitation response to El Niño and global warming in the Indo-Pacific
journal, August 2013
- Chung, Christine T. Y.; Power, Scott B.; Arblaster, Julie M.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 42, Issue 7-8
The Seasonal Atmospheric Response to Projected Arctic Sea Ice Loss in the Late Twenty-First Century
journal, January 2010
- Deser, Clara; Tomas, Robert; Alexander, Michael
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 23, Issue 2
The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble Project: A Community Resource for Studying Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Climate Variability
journal, August 2015
- Kay, J. E.; Deser, C.; Phillips, A.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 96, Issue 8
Robust Responses of the Hydrological Cycle to Global Warming
journal, November 2006
- Held, Isaac M.; Soden, Brian J.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, Issue 21
Mechanisms for projected future changes in south Asian monsoon precipitation
journal, December 2003
- Meehl, G. A.; Arblaster, J. M.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 21, Issue 7-8
The Rain Is Askew: Two Idealized Models Relating Vertical Velocity and Precipitation Distributions in a Warming World
journal, September 2016
- Pendergrass, Angeline G.; Gerber, Edwin P.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 29, Issue 18
Changes in Interannual Variability and Decadal Potential Predictability under Global Warming
journal, June 2009
- Boer, G. J.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 22, Issue 11
Does Global Warming Cause Intensified Interannual Hydroclimate Variability?
journal, May 2012
- Seager, Richard; Naik, Naomi; Vogel, Laura
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 25, Issue 9
South Asian Summer Monsoon Variability in a Model with Doubled Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration
journal, May 1993
- Meehl, G. A.; Washington, W. M.
- Science, Vol. 260, Issue 5111
NOAA's Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis
journal, November 2012
- Vose, Russell S.; Arndt, Derek; Banzon, Viva F.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 93, Issue 11
Robust twenty-first-century projections of El Niño and related precipitation variability
journal, October 2013
- Power, Scott; Delage, François; Chung, Christine
- Nature, Vol. 502, Issue 7472
Does Global Warming Cause Intensified Interannual Hydroclimate Variability?
text, January 2012
- Seager, Richard; Naik, Naomi H.; Vogel, Laura
- Columbia University
Emergence of multiple ocean ecosystem drivers in a large ensemble suite with an earth system model
journal, January 2014
- Rodgers, K. B.; Lin, J.; Frölicher, T. L.
- Biogeosciences Discussions, Vol. 11, Issue 12
The Climate Response to Stratospheric Sulfate Injections and Implications for Addressing Climate Emergencies
journal, May 2012
- McCusker, Kelly E.; Battisti, David S.; Bitz, Cecilia M.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 25, Issue 9
Quantifying the Role of Internal Climate Variability in Future Climate Trends
journal, August 2015
- Thompson, David W. J.; Barnes, Elizabeth A.; Deser, Clara
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 28, Issue 16
Emergence of multiple ocean ecosystem drivers in a large ensemble suite with an Earth system model
journal, January 2015
- Rodgers, K. B.; Lin, J.; Frölicher, T. L.
- Biogeosciences, Vol. 12, Issue 11
Robust increases in midlatitude static stability in simulations of global warming
journal, January 2006
- Frierson, Dargan M. W.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 33, Issue 24
Mechanisms for projected future changes in south Asian monsoon precipitation
journal, December 2003
- Meehl, G. A.; Arblaster, J. M.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 21, Issue 7-8
Change in climate variability in the 21st century
journal, February 1989
- Rind, D.; Goldberg, R.; Ruedy, R.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 14, Issue 1
Changes in the Extremes of the Climate Simulated by CCC GCM2 under CO 2 Doubling
journal, September 1998
- Zwiers, Francis W.; Kharin, Viatcheslav V.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 11, Issue 9
Infrastructure mitigates the sensitivity of child growth to local agriculture and rainfall in Nepal and Uganda
journal, January 2017
- Shively, Gerald E.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 114, Issue 5
Works referencing / citing this record:
Precipitation amount and event size interact to reduce ecosystem functioning during dry years in a mesic grassland
journal, August 2019
- Felton, Andrew J.; Slette, Ingrid J.; Smith, Melinda D.
- Global Change Biology, Vol. 26, Issue 2
Multimodel ensemble projection of meteorological drought scenarios and connection with climate based on spectral analysis
journal, December 2019
- Aryal, Yog; Zhu, Jianting
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 40, Issue 7
Projected Change and Variability Assessment of Indian Summer Monsoon Precipitation in South Asia CORDEX Domain Under High-Emission Pathway
journal, November 2019
- Rai, P. K.; Singh, G. P.; Dash, S. K.
- Pure and Applied Geophysics, Vol. 177, Issue 7
Multiscale characteristics of Jing-Jin-Ji’s seasonal precipitation and their teleconnection with large-scale climate indices
journal, October 2018
- Jiang, Rengui; Wang, Yinping; Xie, Jiancang
- Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Vol. 137, Issue 1-2
Future Projections of Global Pluvial and Drought Event Characteristics
journal, November 2018
- Martin, E. R.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 45, Issue 21
East Asian summer rainfall projection and uncertainty under a global warming scenario
journal, February 2020
- Liu, Yunyun; Li, Yi; Ding, Yihui
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 40, Issue 11
Observed Impacts of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Wildfire in California
journal, August 2019
- Williams, A. Park; Abatzoglou, John T.; Gershunov, Alexander
- Earth's Future, Vol. 7, Issue 8
Precipitation regime change in Western North America: The role of Atmospheric Rivers
journal, July 2019
- Gershunov, Alexander; Shulgina, Tamara; Clemesha, Rachel E. S.
- Scientific Reports, Vol. 9, Issue 1
Amplified tropical Pacific rainfall variability related to background SST warming
journal, January 2020
- Sun, Ning; Zhou, Tianjun; Chen, Xiaolong
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 54, Issue 3-4
Quantifying projected changes in runoff variability and flow regimes of the Fraser River Basin, British Columbia
journal, January 2019
- Islam, Siraj Ul; Curry, Charles L.; Déry, Stephen J.
- Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 23, Issue 2
Attributing the U.S. Southwest's Recent Shift Into Drier Conditions
journal, June 2018
- Lehner, Flavio; Deser, Clara; Simpson, Isla R.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 45, Issue 12
Characteristics of internal variability on summer rainfall in Northeast Asia in a changing climate
journal, December 2019
- Hyun, Seung-Hwon; Yeh, Sang-Wook
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 54, Issue 1-2
Drought, Heat, and the Carbon Cycle: a Review
text, January 2018
- Sippel, Sebastian; Reichstein, Markus; Ma, Xuanlong
- ETH Zurich
Environmental Conditions, Ignition Type, and Air Quality Impacts of Wildfires in the Southeastern and Western United States
journal, October 2018
- Brey, Steven J.; Barnes, Elizabeth A.; Pierce, Jeffrey R.
- Earth's Future, Vol. 6, Issue 10
Competitive Interactions of Flowering Rush (Butomus umbellatus L.) Cytotypes in Submersed and Emergent Experimental Aquatic Plant Communities
journal, January 2020
- Harms, Nathan E.
- Diversity, Vol. 12, Issue 1
Reduced tree growth in the semiarid United States due to asymmetric responses to intensifying precipitation extremes
journal, October 2019
- Dannenberg, Matthew P.; Wise, Erika K.; Smith, William K.
- Science Advances, Vol. 5, Issue 10
Climatic Changes and Their Relation to Weather Types in a Transboundary Mountainous Region in Central Europe
journal, June 2018
- Hoy, Andreas; Feske, Nils; Štěpánek, Petr
- Sustainability, Vol. 10, Issue 6
Drought, Heat, and the Carbon Cycle: a Review
journal, June 2018
- Sippel, Sebastian; Reichstein, Markus; Ma, Xuanlong
- Current Climate Change Reports, Vol. 4, Issue 3
The highest monthly precipitation in the area of the Ukrainian and the Polish Carpathian Mountains in the period from 1984 to 2013
journal, June 2019
- Kholiavchuk, Dariia; Cebulska, Marta
- Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Vol. 138, Issue 3-4
Future Changes of Subseasonal Precipitation Variability in North America During Winter Under Global Warming
journal, November 2018
- Dong, Lu; Leung, L. Ruby; Song, Fengfei
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 45, Issue 22
Does global warming amplify interannual climate variability?
journal, June 2018
- He, Chao; Li, Tim
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 52, Issue 5-6
Environmental Conditions, Ignition Type, and Air Quality Impacts of Wildfires in the Southeastern and Western United States
journal, October 2018
- Brey, Steven J.; Barnes, Elizabeth A.; Pierce, Jeffrey R.
- Earth's Future, Vol. 6, Issue 10
Strong future increases in Arctic precipitation variability linked to poleward moisture transport
journal, February 2020
- Bintanja, R.; van der Wiel, K.; van der Linden, E. C.
- Science Advances, Vol. 6, Issue 7
Influence of Sea Surface Temperature on Simulated Future Change in Extreme Rainfall in the Asia-Pacific
journal, July 2019
- Watterson, Ian G.
- Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 56, Issue 3
Climate-mediated changes to grassland structure determine habitat suitability for the critically endangered plains-wanderer (Pedionomus torquatus)
text, January 2019
- Antos, Mark; Schultz, Nick L.
- Taylor & Francis
Scalability of future climate changes across Japan examined with large-ensemble simulations at + 1.5 K, +2 K, and + 4 K global warming levels
journal, June 2020
- Nosaka, Masaya; Ishii, Masayoshi; Shiogama, Hideo
- Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, Vol. 7, Issue 1
Warming Alters Hydrologic Heterogeneity: Simulated Climate Sensitivity of Hydrology‐Based Microrefugia in the Snow‐to‐Rain Transition Zone
journal, March 2019
- Marshall, A. M.; Link, T. E.; Abatzoglou, J. T.
- Water Resources Research, Vol. 55, Issue 3
Projected changes in extreme precipitation events over various subdivisions of India using RegCM4
journal, October 2019
- Rai, P. K.; Singh, G. P.; Dash, S. K.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 54, Issue 1-2
The response of precipitation characteristics to global warming from climate projections
journal, January 2019
- Giorgi, Filippo; Raffaele, Francesca; Coppola, Erika
- Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 10, Issue 1
High‐Frequency Intermittency in Observed and Model‐Simulated Precipitation
journal, November 2018
- Covey, Curt; Doutriaux, Charles; Gleckler, Peter J.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 45, Issue 22
Projected Changes in Interannual Variability of Peak Snowpack Amount and Timing in the Western United States
journal, August 2019
- Marshall, Adrienne M.; Abatzoglou, John T.; Link, Timothy E.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 15
Increased Fall Precipitation in the Southeastern United States Driven by Higher‐Intensity, Frontal Precipitation
journal, July 2019
- Bishop, Daniel A.; Williams, A. Park; Seager, Richard
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 14
Nonlinear Response of Extreme Precipitation to Warming in CESM1
journal, September 2019
- Pendergrass, A. G.; Coleman, D. B.; Deser, C.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 17-18
Can We Constrain Uncertainty in Hydrologic Cycle Projections?
journal, April 2019
- Prein, Andreas F.; Pendergrass, Angeline G.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 7
Irrigation Water Demand: Price Elasticities and Climatic Determinants in the Great Lakes Region
journal, November 2019
- Kornelis, Ari; Norris, Patricia
- Agricultural and Resource Economics Review
Will climate change affect sugar beet establishment of the 21st century? Insights from a simulation study using a crop emergence model
journal, May 2019
- Lamichhane, Jay Ram; Constantin, Julie; Aubertot, Jean-Noël
- Field Crops Research, Vol. 238
Why extreme rains are gaining strength as the climate warms
journal, November 2018
- Witze, Alexandra
- Nature, Vol. 563, Issue 7732
Multi-RCM near-term projections of summer climate extremes over East Asia
journal, September 2018
- Park, Changyong; Min, Seung-Ki
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 52, Issue 7-8
Developmental phenotypic plasticity helps bridge stochastic weather events associated with climate change
journal, May 2018
- Burggren, Warren
- The Journal of Experimental Biology, Vol. 221, Issue 9
An ecosystem-wide reproductive failure with more snow in the Arctic
journal, October 2019
- Schmidt, Niels Martin; Reneerkens, Jeroen; Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg
- PLOS Biology, Vol. 17, Issue 10
Study of the impact of climate change on precipitation in Paris area using method based on iterative multiscale dynamic time warping (IMS-DTW)
preprint, January 2019
- Dilmi, Mohamed Djallel; Barthès, Laurent; Mallet, Cécile
- arXiv
Toward a Resilient Global Society: Air, Sea Level, Earthquakes, and Weather
journal, August 2019
- Anenberg, Susan C.; Dutton, Andrea; Goulet, Christine A.
- Earth's Future, Vol. 7, Issue 8
Loss of dominant caterpillar genera in a protected tropical forest
journal, January 2020
- Salcido, Danielle M.; Forister, Matthew L.; Garcia Lopez, Humberto
- Scientific Reports, Vol. 10, Issue 1
Increasing exposure of energy infrastructure to compound hazards: cascading wildfires and extreme rainfall
journal, October 2019
- Moftakhari, Hamed; AghaKouchak, Amir
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 14, Issue 10
Climate Change, Land Use/Land Cover Change, and Population Growth as Drivers of Groundwater Depletion in the Central Valleys, Oaxaca, Mexico
journal, May 2019
- Ojeda Olivares, Edwin Antonio; Sandoval Torres, Sadoth; Belmonte Jiménez, Salvador Isidro
- Remote Sensing, Vol. 11, Issue 11
Projected increases and shifts in rain-on-snow flood risk over western North America
journal, August 2018
- Musselman, Keith N.; Lehner, Flavio; Ikeda, Kyoko
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 8, Issue 9
Will Landscape Fire Increase in the Future? A Systems Approach to Climate, Fire, Fuel, and Human Drivers
journal, February 2019
- Riley, Karin L.; Williams, A. Park; Urbanski, Shawn P.
- Current Pollution Reports, Vol. 5, Issue 2
Climate-mediated changes to grassland structure determine habitat suitability for the critically endangered plains-wanderer ( Pedionomus torquatus )
journal, July 2019
- Antos, Mark; Schultz, Nick L.
- Emu - Austral Ornithology, Vol. 120, Issue 1
Precipitation regime change in Western North America: The role of Atmospheric Rivers
journal, July 2019
- Gershunov, Alexander; Shulgina, Tamara; Clemesha, Rachel E. S.
- Scientific Reports, Vol. 9, Issue 1
Climate Change Impact on Water Resources in the Awash Basin, Ethiopia
journal, November 2018
- Taye, Meron; Dyer, Ellen; Hirpa, Feyera
- Water, Vol. 10, Issue 11
A multi-model, multi-scenario, and multi-domain analysis of regional climate projections for the Mediterranean
journal, November 2019
- Zittis, George; Hadjinicolaou, Panos; Klangidou, Marina
- Regional Environmental Change, Vol. 19, Issue 8
Strengthened scientific support for the Endangerment Finding for atmospheric greenhouse gases
journal, December 2018
- Duffy, Philip B.; Field, Christopher B.; Diffenbaugh, Noah S.
- Science, Vol. 363, Issue 6427
Attribution of Global Soil Moisture Drying to Human Activities: A Quantitative Viewpoint
journal, March 2019
- Gu, Xihui; Zhang, Qiang; Li, Jianfeng
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 5
Climate-mediated changes to grassland structure determine habitat suitability for the critically endangered plains-wanderer (Pedionomus torquatus)
text, January 2019
- Antos, Mark; Schultz, Nick L.
- Taylor & Francis
Figures / Tables found in this record:
Figures/Tables have been extracted from DOE-funded journal article accepted manuscripts.