Activity start time and duration: incorporating regret theory into joint discrete–continuous models

Golshani, Nima; Shabanpour, Ramin; Auld, Joshua; Mohammadian, Abolfazl (Kouros)

doi:10.1080/23249935.2018.1440261

Title: Activity start time and duration: incorporating regret theory into joint discrete–continuous models

Abstract

Activity start time and duration decisions are two key elements of activity-travel behaviour. As an effort towards a more realistic representation of individuals’ decision behaviour, this paper presents a new copula-based joint model of activity start time and duration. In this work, we incorporate the regret theory into the joint modelling framework, which assumes that individuals tend to avoid the situation where non-chosen alternatives outperform the chosen one in one or more attributes. The proposed joint model comprises a hybrid utility-regret model as the discrete component to estimate activity start time and a hazard duration model as the continuous component to estimate activity duration. The comparative analysis of estimation results reveals that the proposed structure is statistically superior to the utility-based joint model and independent models. We also found that applying the regret-based decision rule for variables of travel time and travel time variability significantly improves the model.

Authors:

Golshani, Nima ^[1]; Shabanpour, Ramin ^[1]; Auld, Joshua ^[2]; Mohammadian, Abolfazl ^[3]

Univ. of Illinois, Chicago, IL (United States)
Argonne National Lab. (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)
(Kouros) [Univ. of Illinois, Chicago, IL (United States)

Publication Date:: Thu Feb 22 00:00:00 EST 2018

Research Org.:: Argonne National Lab. (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)

Sponsoring Org.:: USDOE Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) Program; USDOE Office of Science (SC)

OSTI Identifier:: 1465504

Grant/Contract Number:: AC02-06CH11357

Resource Type:: Accepted Manuscript

Journal Name:: Transportmetrica A: Transport Science

Additional Journal Information:: Journal Volume: 14; Journal Issue: 9; Journal ID: ISSN 2324-9935

Publisher:: Informa PLC - Taylor & Francis Group

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

Subject:: 42 ENGINEERING; copula; activity duration; activity start time; discrete-continuous joint model; hybrid utility-regret

Citation Formats


                    Golshani, Nima, Shabanpour, Ramin, Auld, Joshua, and Mohammadian, Abolfazl. Activity start time and duration: incorporating regret theory into joint discrete–continuous models.  United States: N. p., 2018. 
Web.  doi:10.1080/23249935.2018.1440261.

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                    Golshani, Nima, Shabanpour, Ramin, Auld, Joshua, & Mohammadian, Abolfazl. Activity start time and duration: incorporating regret theory into joint discrete–continuous models.  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1080/23249935.2018.1440261

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                    Golshani, Nima, Shabanpour, Ramin, Auld, Joshua, and Mohammadian, Abolfazl. Thu .  
"Activity start time and duration: incorporating regret theory into joint discrete–continuous models".  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1080/23249935.2018.1440261.  https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1465504.

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@article{osti_1465504,

  title        = {Activity start time and duration: incorporating regret theory into joint discrete–continuous models},

  author       = {Golshani, Nima and Shabanpour, Ramin and Auld, Joshua and Mohammadian, Abolfazl},

  abstractNote = {Activity start time and duration decisions are two key elements of activity-travel behaviour. As an effort towards a more realistic representation of individuals’ decision behaviour, this paper presents a new copula-based joint model of activity start time and duration. In this work, we incorporate the regret theory into the joint modelling framework, which assumes that individuals tend to avoid the situation where non-chosen alternatives outperform the chosen one in one or more attributes. The proposed joint model comprises a hybrid utility-regret model as the discrete component to estimate activity start time and a hazard duration model as the continuous component to estimate activity duration. The comparative analysis of estimation results reveals that the proposed structure is statistically superior to the utility-based joint model and independent models. We also found that applying the regret-based decision rule for variables of travel time and travel time variability significantly improves the model.},

  doi          = {10.1080/23249935.2018.1440261},

  journal      = {Transportmetrica A: Transport Science},

  number       = 9,

  volume       = 14,

  place        = {United States},

  year         = {Thu Feb 22 00:00:00 EST 2018},

  month        = {Thu Feb 22 00:00:00 EST 2018}

}

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https://doi.org/10.1080/23249935.2018.1440261

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Cited by: 11 works

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Table 1: Summary statistics of the respondents’ key characteristics

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Works referenced in this record:

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Frignani, Martina Z.; Auld, Joshua; (Kouros) Mohammadian, Abolfazl
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An empirical comparison of travel choice models that capture preferences for compromise alternatives
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Chorus, Caspar G.; Bierlaire, Michel
Transportation, Vol. 40, Issue 3
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On the development of time period and mode choice models for use in large scale modelling forecasting systems
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Hess, Stephane; Daly, Andrew; Rohr, Charlene
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Vol. 41, Issue 9
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Modelling the preference for scheduled and unexpected delays
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Börjesson, Maria
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A copula-based approach to accommodate residential self-selection effects in travel behavior modeling
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Bhat, Chandra R.; Eluru, Naveen
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Born, Kathryn; Yasmin, Shamsunnahar; You, Daehyun
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Accounting for the Theory of Planned Behaviour in departure time choice
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Thorhauge, Mikkel; Haustein, Sonja; Cherchi, Elisabetta
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Modeling experienced accessibility for utility-maximizers and regret-minimizers
journal, November 2011

Chorus, Caspar G.; de Jong, Gerard C.
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Satisfaction and uncertainty in car-sharing decisions: An integration of hybrid choice and random regret-based models
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Kim, Jinhee; Rasouli, Soora; Timmermans, Harry
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A latent class accelerated hazard model of social activity duration
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van den Berg, Pauline; Arentze, Theo; Timmermans, Harry
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Modeling commuting mode choice jointly with work start time and work duration
journal, January 2012

Nurul Habib, Khandker M.
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Vol. 46, Issue 1
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Modelling the joint choice of activity timing and duration
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Ettema, Dick; Bastin, Fabian; Polak, John
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Vol. 41, Issue 9
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How flexible is flexible? Accounting for the effect of rescheduling possibilities in choice of departure time for work trips
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Thorhauge, Mikkel; Cherchi, Elisabetta; Rich, Jeppe
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A model for time of day and mode choice using error components logit
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de Jong, Gerard; Daly, Andrew; Pieters, Marits
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Activity planning processes in the Agent-based Dynamic Activity Planning and Travel Scheduling (ADAPTS) model
journal, October 2012

Auld, Joshua; Mohammadian, Abolfazl(Kouros)
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Vol. 46, Issue 8
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Regret Minimization or Utility Maximization: It Depends on the Attribute
journal, January 2013

Chorus, Caspar G.; Rose, John M.; Hensher, David A.
Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, Vol. 40, Issue 1
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The continuous cross-nested logit model: Formulation and application for departure time choice
journal, June 2010

Lemp, Jason D.; Kockelman, Kara M.; Damien, Paul
Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Vol. 44, Issue 5
DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2010.03.001

The application of the random regret minimization model to drivers’ choice of crash avoidance maneuvers
journal, November 2012

Kaplan, Sigal; Prato, Carlo Giacomo
Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour, Vol. 15, Issue 6
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A latent class accelerated hazard model of activity episode durations
journal, May 2007

Lee, Backjin; Timmermans, Harry J. P.
Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Vol. 41, Issue 4
DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2006.06.004

On Jointly Analyzing the Physical Activity Participation Levels of Individuals in a Family Unit Using a Multivariate Copula Framework
journal, January 2010

Sener, Ipek N.; Eluru, Naveen; Bhat, Chandra R.
Journal of Choice Modelling, Vol. 3, Issue 3
DOI: 10.1016/S1755-5345(13)70012-5

Dynamics of Activity Time-of-Day Choice
journal, January 2017

Shabanpour, Ramin; Golshani, Nima; Auld, Joshua
Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, Vol. 2665, Issue 1
DOI: 10.3141/2665-06

Joint Discrete-Continuous Model of Travel Mode and Departure Time Choices
journal, January 2017

Shabanpour, Ramin; Golshani, Nima; Derrible, Sybil
Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, Vol. 2669, Issue 1
DOI: 10.3141/2669-05

An investigation of commuting trip timing and mode choice in the Greater Toronto Area: Application of a joint discrete-continuous model
journal, August 2009

Nurul Habib, Khandker M.; Day, Nicholas; Miller, Eric J.
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Vol. 43, Issue 7
DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2009.05.001

Efficient frontier of route choice for modeling the equilibrium under travel time variability with heterogeneous traveler preferences
journal, September 2017

Amirgholy, Mahyar; Gonzales, Eric J.
Economics of Transportation, Vol. 11-12
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New insights on random regret minimization models
journal, April 2015

van Cranenburgh, Sander; Guevara, Cristian Angelo; Chorus, Caspar G.
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A copula-based joint multinomial discrete–continuous model of vehicle type choice and miles of travel
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Spissu, Erika; Pinjari, Abdul Rawoof; Pendyala, Ram M.
Transportation, Vol. 36, Issue 4
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Incorporating psycho-physical mapping into random regret choice models: model specifications and empirical performance assessments
journal, March 2016

Jang, Sunghoon; Rasouli, Soora; Timmermans, Harry
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Analysis of travel mode and departure time choice for urban shopping trips
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Bhat, Chandra R.
Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Vol. 32, Issue 6
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Modeling travel mode and timing decisions: Comparison of artificial neural networks and copula-based joint model
journal, January 2018

Golshani, Nima; Shabanpour, Ramin; Mahmoudifard, Seyed Mehdi
Travel Behaviour and Society, Vol. 10
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A Random Regret-Minimization model of travel choice
journal, January 2008

Chorus, Caspar G.; Arentze, Theo A.; Timmermans, Harry J. P.
Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Vol. 42, Issue 1
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Relationships among discretionary activity duration, its travel time spent and activity space indices in the Jakarta Metropolitan Area, Indonesia
journal, June 2016

Dharmowijoyo, Dimas B. E.; Susilo, Yusak O.; Karlström, Anders
Journal of Transport Geography, Vol. 54
DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2016.05.012

Allowing for heterogeneous decision rules in discrete choice models: an approach and four case studies
journal, August 2011

Hess, Stephane; Stathopoulos, Amanda; Daly, Andrew
Transportation, Vol. 39, Issue 3
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Works referencing / citing this record:

An empirical analysis of post-work grocery shopping activity duration using modified accelerated failure time model to differentiate time-dependent and time-independent covariates
journal, November 2018

Wang, Ke; Ye, Xin; Ma, Jie
PLOS ONE, Vol. 13, Issue 11
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0207810

Context-dependent models (CRRM, MuRRM, PRRM, RAM) versus a context-free model (MNL) in transportation studies: a comprehensive comparisons for Swiss and German SP and RP data sets
journal, May 2019

Belgiawan, Prawira Fajarindra; Dubernet, Ilka; Schmid, Basil
Transportmetrica A: Transport Science, Vol. 15, Issue 2
DOI: 10.1080/23249935.2019.1612968

Figures / Tables found in this record:

Table 1 (p. 28)

Table 2 (p. 29)

Table 3: Part 1 (p. 30)

Table 3: Part 2 (p. 31)

Table 4 (p. 32)

Figure 1 (p. 33)

Figure 2 (p. 33)

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Similar Records

Title: Activity start time and duration: incorporating regret theory into joint discrete–continuous models

Abstract

Citation Formats

Figures / Tables:

Urban Travel Route and Activity Choice Survey: Internet-Based Prompted-Recall Activity Travel Survey Using Global Positioning System Data journal, January 2010

A hazard-based duration model of shopping activity with nonparametric baseline specification and nonparametric control for unobserved heterogeneity journal, June 1996

Expanding the applicability of random regret minimization for route choice analysis journal, July 2013

An empirical comparison of travel choice models that capture preferences for compromise alternatives journal, November 2012

On the development of time period and mode choice models for use in large scale modelling forecasting systems journal, November 2007

Modelling the preference for scheduled and unexpected delays journal, January 2009

On the simultaneous associativity ofF(x, y) andx+y−F(x, y) journal, December 1979

Random regret minimization or random utility maximization: an exploratory analysis in the context of automobile fuel choice: RRM or RUM journal, December 2011

A copula-based approach to accommodate residential self-selection effects in travel behavior modeling journal, August 2009

Joint Model of Weekend Discretionary Activity Participation and Episode Duration journal, January 2014

Accounting for the Theory of Planned Behaviour in departure time choice journal, April 2016

Modeling experienced accessibility for utility-maximizers and regret-minimizers journal, November 2011

Satisfaction and uncertainty in car-sharing decisions: An integration of hybrid choice and random regret-based models journal, January 2017

A latent class accelerated hazard model of social activity duration journal, January 2012

Modeling commuting mode choice jointly with work start time and work duration journal, January 2012

Modelling the joint choice of activity timing and duration journal, November 2007

How flexible is flexible? Accounting for the effect of rescheduling possibilities in choice of departure time for work trips journal, April 2016

A model for time of day and mode choice using error components logit journal, May 2003

Activity planning processes in the Agent-based Dynamic Activity Planning and Travel Scheduling (ADAPTS) model journal, October 2012

Regret Minimization or Utility Maximization: It Depends on the Attribute journal, January 2013

The continuous cross-nested logit model: Formulation and application for departure time choice journal, June 2010

The application of the random regret minimization model to drivers’ choice of crash avoidance maneuvers journal, November 2012

A latent class accelerated hazard model of activity episode durations journal, May 2007

On Jointly Analyzing the Physical Activity Participation Levels of Individuals in a Family Unit Using a Multivariate Copula Framework journal, January 2010

Dynamics of Activity Time-of-Day Choice journal, January 2017

Joint Discrete-Continuous Model of Travel Mode and Departure Time Choices journal, January 2017

An investigation of commuting trip timing and mode choice in the Greater Toronto Area: Application of a joint discrete-continuous model journal, August 2009

Efficient frontier of route choice for modeling the equilibrium under travel time variability with heterogeneous traveler preferences journal, September 2017

New insights on random regret minimization models journal, April 2015

A copula-based joint multinomial discrete–continuous model of vehicle type choice and miles of travel journal, April 2009

Incorporating psycho-physical mapping into random regret choice models: model specifications and empirical performance assessments journal, March 2016

Analysis of travel mode and departure time choice for urban shopping trips journal, August 1998

Modeling travel mode and timing decisions: Comparison of artificial neural networks and copula-based joint model journal, January 2018

A Random Regret-Minimization model of travel choice journal, January 2008

Relationships among discretionary activity duration, its travel time spent and activity space indices in the Jakarta Metropolitan Area, Indonesia journal, June 2016

Allowing for heterogeneous decision rules in discrete choice models: an approach and four case studies journal, August 2011

An empirical analysis of post-work grocery shopping activity duration using modified accelerated failure time model to differentiate time-dependent and time-independent covariates journal, November 2018

Context-dependent models (CRRM, MuRRM, PRRM, RAM) versus a context-free model (MNL) in transportation studies: a comprehensive comparisons for Swiss and German SP and RP data sets journal, May 2019

Urban Travel Route and Activity Choice Survey: Internet-Based Prompted-Recall Activity Travel Survey Using Global Positioning System Data
journal, January 2010

A hazard-based duration model of shopping activity with nonparametric baseline specification and nonparametric control for unobserved heterogeneity
journal, June 1996

Expanding the applicability of random regret minimization for route choice analysis
journal, July 2013

An empirical comparison of travel choice models that capture preferences for compromise alternatives
journal, November 2012

On the development of time period and mode choice models for use in large scale modelling forecasting systems
journal, November 2007

Modelling the preference for scheduled and unexpected delays
journal, January 2009

On the simultaneous associativity ofF(x, y) andx+y−F(x, y)
journal, December 1979

Random regret minimization or random utility maximization: an exploratory analysis in the context of automobile fuel choice: RRM or RUM
journal, December 2011

A copula-based approach to accommodate residential self-selection effects in travel behavior modeling
journal, August 2009

Joint Model of Weekend Discretionary Activity Participation and Episode Duration
journal, January 2014

Accounting for the Theory of Planned Behaviour in departure time choice
journal, April 2016

Modeling experienced accessibility for utility-maximizers and regret-minimizers
journal, November 2011

Satisfaction and uncertainty in car-sharing decisions: An integration of hybrid choice and random regret-based models
journal, January 2017

A latent class accelerated hazard model of social activity duration
journal, January 2012

Modeling commuting mode choice jointly with work start time and work duration
journal, January 2012

Modelling the joint choice of activity timing and duration
journal, November 2007

How flexible is flexible? Accounting for the effect of rescheduling possibilities in choice of departure time for work trips
journal, April 2016

A model for time of day and mode choice using error components logit
journal, May 2003

Activity planning processes in the Agent-based Dynamic Activity Planning and Travel Scheduling (ADAPTS) model
journal, October 2012

Regret Minimization or Utility Maximization: It Depends on the Attribute
journal, January 2013

The continuous cross-nested logit model: Formulation and application for departure time choice
journal, June 2010

The application of the random regret minimization model to drivers’ choice of crash avoidance maneuvers
journal, November 2012

A latent class accelerated hazard model of activity episode durations
journal, May 2007

On Jointly Analyzing the Physical Activity Participation Levels of Individuals in a Family Unit Using a Multivariate Copula Framework
journal, January 2010

Dynamics of Activity Time-of-Day Choice
journal, January 2017

Joint Discrete-Continuous Model of Travel Mode and Departure Time Choices
journal, January 2017

An investigation of commuting trip timing and mode choice in the Greater Toronto Area: Application of a joint discrete-continuous model
journal, August 2009

Efficient frontier of route choice for modeling the equilibrium under travel time variability with heterogeneous traveler preferences
journal, September 2017

New insights on random regret minimization models
journal, April 2015

A copula-based joint multinomial discrete–continuous model of vehicle type choice and miles of travel
journal, April 2009

Incorporating psycho-physical mapping into random regret choice models: model specifications and empirical performance assessments
journal, March 2016

Analysis of travel mode and departure time choice for urban shopping trips
journal, August 1998

Modeling travel mode and timing decisions: Comparison of artificial neural networks and copula-based joint model
journal, January 2018

A Random Regret-Minimization model of travel choice
journal, January 2008

Relationships among discretionary activity duration, its travel time spent and activity space indices in the Jakarta Metropolitan Area, Indonesia
journal, June 2016

Allowing for heterogeneous decision rules in discrete choice models: an approach and four case studies
journal, August 2011

An empirical analysis of post-work grocery shopping activity duration using modified accelerated failure time model to differentiate time-dependent and time-independent covariates
journal, November 2018

Context-dependent models (CRRM, MuRRM, PRRM, RAM) versus a context-free model (MNL) in transportation studies: a comprehensive comparisons for Swiss and German SP and RP data sets
journal, May 2019