DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Remote Drying in the North Atlantic as a Common Response to Precessional Changes and CO2 Increase Over Land

Abstract

In this study, we demonstrate that changes of the North Atlantic subtropical high and its regional rainfall pattern during mid-Holocene precessional changes and idealized 4xCO2 increase can both be understood as a remote response to increased land heating near North Africa. Despite different sources and patterns of radiative forcing (increase in CO2 concentration versus changes in orbital parameters), we find that the pattern of energy, circulation, and rainfall responses in the Northern Hemisphere summer subtropics are remarkably similar in the two forcing scenarios because both are dominated by the same land-sea heating contrast in response to the forcing. An increase in energy input over arid land drives a westward displacement of the coupled North Atlantic subtropical high-monsoon circulation, consistent with increased precipitation in the Afro-Asia region and decreased precipitation in the America-Atlantic region. This study underscores the importance of land heating in dictating remote drying through zonal shifts of the subtropical circulation.

Authors:
ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [1];  [1]
  1. Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States). Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States); Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States). National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER); USDOE Office of Science (SC), Basic Energy Sciences (BES). Scientific User Facilities Division
OSTI Identifier:
1434667
Alternate Identifier(s):
OSTI ID: 1433289
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-131183
Journal ID: ISSN 0094-8276
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC05-76RL01830; AC02-05CH11231; E-AC02-05CH11231
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Geophysical Research Letters
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 45; Journal Issue: 8; Journal ID: ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Citation Formats

Kelly, Patrick, Kravitz, Ben, Lu, Jian, and Leung, L. Ruby. Remote Drying in the North Atlantic as a Common Response to Precessional Changes and CO2 Increase Over Land. United States: N. p., 2018. Web. doi:10.1002/2017GL076669.
Kelly, Patrick, Kravitz, Ben, Lu, Jian, & Leung, L. Ruby. Remote Drying in the North Atlantic as a Common Response to Precessional Changes and CO2 Increase Over Land. United States. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL076669
Kelly, Patrick, Kravitz, Ben, Lu, Jian, and Leung, L. Ruby. Mon . "Remote Drying in the North Atlantic as a Common Response to Precessional Changes and CO2 Increase Over Land". United States. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL076669. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1434667.
@article{osti_1434667,
title = {Remote Drying in the North Atlantic as a Common Response to Precessional Changes and CO2 Increase Over Land},
author = {Kelly, Patrick and Kravitz, Ben and Lu, Jian and Leung, L. Ruby},
abstractNote = {In this study, we demonstrate that changes of the North Atlantic subtropical high and its regional rainfall pattern during mid-Holocene precessional changes and idealized 4xCO2 increase can both be understood as a remote response to increased land heating near North Africa. Despite different sources and patterns of radiative forcing (increase in CO2 concentration versus changes in orbital parameters), we find that the pattern of energy, circulation, and rainfall responses in the Northern Hemisphere summer subtropics are remarkably similar in the two forcing scenarios because both are dominated by the same land-sea heating contrast in response to the forcing. An increase in energy input over arid land drives a westward displacement of the coupled North Atlantic subtropical high-monsoon circulation, consistent with increased precipitation in the Afro-Asia region and decreased precipitation in the America-Atlantic region. This study underscores the importance of land heating in dictating remote drying through zonal shifts of the subtropical circulation.},
doi = {10.1002/2017GL076669},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
number = 8,
volume = 45,
place = {United States},
year = {Mon Apr 16 00:00:00 EDT 2018},
month = {Mon Apr 16 00:00:00 EDT 2018}
}

Journal Article:
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record

Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 11 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

Save / Share:

Works referenced in this record:

Evaluation of CMIP5 palaeo-simulations to improve climate projections
journal, July 2015

  • Harrison, S. P.; Bartlein, P. J.; Izumi, K.
  • Nature Climate Change, Vol. 5, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2649

Evaluation of modern and mid-Holocene seasonal precipitation of the Mediterranean and northern Africa in the CMIP5 simulations
journal, January 2014

  • Perez-Sanz, A.; Li, G.; González-Sampériz, P.
  • Climate of the Past, Vol. 10, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.5194/cp-10-551-2014

The Community Climate System Model Version 4
journal, October 2011

  • Gent, Peter R.; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Donner, Leo J.
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 24, Issue 19
  • DOI: 10.1175/2011JCLI4083.1

A re-examination of the projected subtropical precipitation decline
journal, November 2016


Precessional Cycles and Their Influence on the North Pacific and North Atlantic Summer Anticyclones
journal, July 2013


The southwest Indian Monsoon over the last 18 000 years
journal, February 1996

  • Overpeck, Jonathan; Anderson, David; Trumbore, Susan
  • Climate Dynamics, Vol. 12, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1007/BF00211619

Tug of war on summertime circulation between radiative forcing and sea surface warming
journal, June 2015

  • Shaw, T. A.; Voigt, A.
  • Nature Geoscience, Vol. 8, Issue 7
  • DOI: 10.1038/ngeo2449

Subtropical Anticyclones and Summer Monsoons
journal, August 2001


The Origin of the Subtropical Anticyclones
journal, July 2001


Structure and Formation Mechanisms of the Northern Hemisphere Summertime Subtropical Highs
journal, December 2005

  • Miyasaka, Takafumi; Nakamura, Hisashi
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 18, Issue 23
  • DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3599.1

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
journal, April 2012

  • Taylor, Karl E.; Stouffer, Ronald J.; Meehl, Gerald A.
  • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 93, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1

Zonal mean wind, the Indian monsoon, and July drying in the western Atlantic subtropics: JULY DRYING IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
journal, August 2011

  • Kelly, Patrick; Mapes, Brian
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 116, Issue D21
  • DOI: 10.1029/2010JD015405

A Mechanism for the Response of the Zonally Asymmetric Subtropical Hydrologic Cycle to Global Warming
journal, November 2016


Climatological Variations in North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracks
journal, January 2012


Observational Evaluation of a Convective Quasi-Equilibrium View of Monsoons
journal, August 2010


Thermodynamic and dynamic controls on changes in the zonally anomalous hydrological cycle: CHANGES IN ZONAL
journal, May 2016

  • Wills, Robert C.; Byrne, Michael P.; Schneider, Tapio
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 43, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1002/2016GL068418

Maintenance of Northern Summer Stationary Waves in a GCM
journal, November 1994


Land dominates the regional response to CO 2 direct radiative forcing
journal, November 2016

  • Shaw, Tiffany A.; Voigt, Aiko
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 43, Issue 21
  • DOI: 10.1002/2016GL071368

Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle
journal, September 2002


A Model of the Asian Summer Monsoon. Part I: The Global Scale
journal, May 1995


Modeling Tropical Convergence Based on the Moist Static Energy Budget
journal, January 1987


Direct weakening of tropical circulations from masked CO 2 radiative forcing
journal, October 2015

  • Merlis, Timothy M.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 112, Issue 43
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1508268112

Understanding the Mid-Holocene Climate
journal, June 2006

  • Shin, Sang-Ik; Sardeshmukh, Prashant D.; Webb, Robert S.
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3733.1

A 50,000-Year Record of Climate Oscillations from Florida and Its Temporal Correlation with the Heinrich Events
journal, July 1993


Thermodynamic and Dynamic Mechanisms for Large-Scale Changes in the Hydrological Cycle in Response to Global Warming
journal, September 2010

  • Seager, Richard; Naik, Naomi; Vecchi, Gabriel A.
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 23, Issue 17
  • DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3655.1

Robust Responses of the Hydrological Cycle to Global Warming
journal, November 2006

  • Held, Isaac M.; Soden, Brian J.
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, Issue 21
  • DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3990.1

Spatial Variations in Major U.S. Hurricane Activity: Statistics and a Physical Mechanism
journal, July 2000


Monsoons and the dynamics of deserts
journal, July 1996

  • Rodwell, Mark J.; Hoskins, Brian J.
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 122, Issue 534
  • DOI: 10.1002/qj.49712253408

Biome reconstruction from pollen and plant macrofossil data for Africa and the Arabian peninsula at 0 and 6000 years
journal, November 1998


Thermodynamic and Dynamic Mechanisms for Large-Scale Changes in the Hydrological Cycle in Response to Global Warming
text, January 2010

  • Seager, Richard; Naik, Naomi H.; Vecchi, Gabriel A.
  • Columbia University
  • DOI: 10.7916/d87w6nqq

Works referencing / citing this record:

Sensitivity of subtropical stationary circulations to global warming in climate models: a baroclinic Rossby gyre theory
journal, August 2018


Quantitative model-data comparison of mid-Holocene lake-level change in the central Rocky Mountains
journal, January 2019


The Response of Subtropical Highs to Climate Change
journal, September 2018

  • Cherchi, Annalisa; Ambrizzi, Tercio; Behera, Swadhin
  • Current Climate Change Reports, Vol. 4, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1007/s40641-018-0114-1