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Title: Satellite NO2 retrievals suggest China has exceeded its NOx reduction goals from the twelfth Five-Year Plan

Abstract

China’s twelfth Five-Year Plan included pollution control measures with a goal of reducing national emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOx) by 10% by 2015 compared with 2010. Multiple linear regression analysis was used on 11-year time series of all nitrogen dioxide (NO2) pixels from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) over 18 NO2 hotspots in China. The regression analysis accounted for variations in meteorology, pixel resolution, seasonal effects, weekday variability and year-to-year variability. The NO2 trends suggested that there was an increase in NO2 columns in most areas from 2005 to around 2011 which was followed by a strong decrease continuing through 2015. The satellite results were in good agreement with the annual official NOx emission inventories which were available up until 2014. We show the value of evaluating trends in emission inventories using satellite retrievals. It further shows that recent control strategies were effective in reducing emissions and that recent economic transformations in China may be having an effect on NO2 columns. The satellite information for 2015 suggests that emissions have continued to decrease since the latest inventories available and have surpassed the goals of the twelfth Five-Year Plan.

Authors:
 [1];  [2];  [2]
  1. St. Louis Univ., MO (United States). Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences
  2. Argonne National Lab. (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States). Energy System Division
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Fossil Energy (FE); National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
OSTI Identifier:
1416744
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC02-06CH11357
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Scientific Reports
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 6; Journal Issue: 1; Journal ID: ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher:
Nature Publishing Group
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; atmospheric chemistry; environmental impact

Citation Formats

de Foy, Benjamin, Lu, Zifeng, and Streets, David G. Satellite NO2 retrievals suggest China has exceeded its NOx reduction goals from the twelfth Five-Year Plan. United States: N. p., 2016. Web. doi:10.1038/Srep35912.
de Foy, Benjamin, Lu, Zifeng, & Streets, David G. Satellite NO2 retrievals suggest China has exceeded its NOx reduction goals from the twelfth Five-Year Plan. United States. https://doi.org/10.1038/Srep35912
de Foy, Benjamin, Lu, Zifeng, and Streets, David G. Thu . "Satellite NO2 retrievals suggest China has exceeded its NOx reduction goals from the twelfth Five-Year Plan". United States. https://doi.org/10.1038/Srep35912. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1416744.
@article{osti_1416744,
title = {Satellite NO2 retrievals suggest China has exceeded its NOx reduction goals from the twelfth Five-Year Plan},
author = {de Foy, Benjamin and Lu, Zifeng and Streets, David G.},
abstractNote = {China’s twelfth Five-Year Plan included pollution control measures with a goal of reducing national emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOx) by 10% by 2015 compared with 2010. Multiple linear regression analysis was used on 11-year time series of all nitrogen dioxide (NO2) pixels from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) over 18 NO2 hotspots in China. The regression analysis accounted for variations in meteorology, pixel resolution, seasonal effects, weekday variability and year-to-year variability. The NO2 trends suggested that there was an increase in NO2 columns in most areas from 2005 to around 2011 which was followed by a strong decrease continuing through 2015. The satellite results were in good agreement with the annual official NOx emission inventories which were available up until 2014. We show the value of evaluating trends in emission inventories using satellite retrievals. It further shows that recent control strategies were effective in reducing emissions and that recent economic transformations in China may be having an effect on NO2 columns. The satellite information for 2015 suggests that emissions have continued to decrease since the latest inventories available and have surpassed the goals of the twelfth Five-Year Plan.},
doi = {10.1038/Srep35912},
journal = {Scientific Reports},
number = 1,
volume = 6,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Oct 27 00:00:00 EDT 2016},
month = {Thu Oct 27 00:00:00 EDT 2016}
}

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