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Title: Predicting Chronic Climate-Driven Disturbances and Their Mitigation

Authors:
 [1];  [2];  [2];  [2];  [2];  [3];  [4];  [2]
+ Show Author Affiliations
  1. Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
  2. Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
  3. Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO (United States). Geology and Geological Engineering Dept.
  4. United States Geological Survey, Los Alamos, NM (United States). Jemez Mountain Field Station
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States); Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
1413486
Alternate Identifier(s):
OSTI ID: 1430020; OSTI ID: 1549106
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-129507; LA-UR-17-31438
Journal ID: ISSN 0169-5347; PII: S0169534717302616
Grant/Contract Number:  
WSC-1204787; AC05-76RL01830; AC52-06NA25396
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Trends in Ecology and Evolution
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 33; Journal Issue: 1; Journal ID: ISSN 0169-5347
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; disequilibrium; ecosystem theory; hydrology

Citation Formats

McDowell, Nate G., Michaletz, Sean T., Bennett, Katrina E., Solander, Kurt C., Xu, Chonggang, Maxwell, Reed M., Allen, Craig D., and Middleton, Richard S. Predicting Chronic Climate-Driven Disturbances and Their Mitigation. United States: N. p., 2017. Web. doi:10.1016/J.TREE.2017.10.002.
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McDowell, Nate G., Michaletz, Sean T., Bennett, Katrina E., Solander, Kurt C., Xu, Chonggang, Maxwell, Reed M., Allen, Craig D., & Middleton, Richard S. Predicting Chronic Climate-Driven Disturbances and Their Mitigation. United States. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TREE.2017.10.002
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McDowell, Nate G., Michaletz, Sean T., Bennett, Katrina E., Solander, Kurt C., Xu, Chonggang, Maxwell, Reed M., Allen, Craig D., and Middleton, Richard S. Mon . "Predicting Chronic Climate-Driven Disturbances and Their Mitigation". United States. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TREE.2017.10.002. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1413486.
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@article{osti_1413486,
title = {Predicting Chronic Climate-Driven Disturbances and Their Mitigation},
author = {McDowell, Nate G. and Michaletz, Sean T. and Bennett, Katrina E. and Solander, Kurt C. and Xu, Chonggang and Maxwell, Reed M. and Allen, Craig D. and Middleton, Richard S.},
abstractNote = {},
doi = {10.1016/J.TREE.2017.10.002},
journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
number = 1,
volume = 33,
place = {United States},
year = {Mon Nov 13 00:00:00 EST 2017},
month = {Mon Nov 13 00:00:00 EST 2017}
}
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Journal Article:
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record
https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TREE.2017.10.002
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Cited by: 67 works
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Figures / Tables:

Figure 1 Figure 1: Figurative Representations of the Convergence of Increasing Temperature, Ecosystem Stress, Ecosystem Disequilibrium, and Human Population. (A)Increasing temperature results in an increasing vapor pressure deficit (VPD), which is overlain by the natural variation in precipitation over time. (B)The increasing VPD and variation in precipitation from (A) translate into anmore » increasing drought stress baseline and more frequent and longer periods of drought stress that surpass the threshold for disturbance-induced mortality(gray line).(C) As more frequent and more severe disturbance events occur, the ecosystem biomass declines due to reduced time for recovery before a subsequent disturbance, resulting in chronic disequilibrium.(D)For reference, human population growth expectations over time show an increase simultaneous with increasing temperature and chronic ecosystem disturbance. Examples of the disequilibrium process, moving from (E) intact forest to(F) catastrophically burned forest to (G) shrubland and finally to (H) post-burned shrubland dominated by grassland.« less
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