DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Residual Viremia in Treated HIV+ Individuals

Abstract

Antiretroviral therapy (ART) effectively controls HIV infection, suppressing HIV viral loads. However, some residual virus remains, below the level of detection, in HIV-infected patients on ART. Furthermore, the source of this viremia is an area of debate: does it derive primarily from activation of infected cells in the latent reservoir, or from ongoing viral replication? Our observations seem to be contradictory: there is evidence of short term evolution, implying that there must be ongoing viral replication, and viral strains should thus evolve. The phylogenetic analyses, and rare emergent drug resistance, suggest no long-term viral evolution, implying that virus derived from activated latent cells must dominate. We use simple deterministic and stochastic models to gain insight into residual viremia dynamics in HIV-infected patients. Our modeling relies on two underlying assumptions for patients on suppressive ART: that latent cell activation drives viral dynamics and that the reproductive ratio of treated infection is less than 1. Nonetheless, the contribution of viral replication to residual viremia in patients on ART may be non-negligible. However, even if the portion of viremia attributable to viral replication is significant, our model predicts (1) that latent reservoir re-seeding remains negligible, and (2) some short-term viral evolution is permitted,more » but long-term evolution can still be limited: stochastic analysis of our model shows that de novo emergence of drug resistance is rare. Thus, our simple models reconcile the seemingly contradictory observations on residual viremia and, with relatively few parameters, recapitulates HIV viral dynamics observed in patients on suppressive therapy.« less

Authors:
 [1];  [2]
  1. Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA (United States)
  2. Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
1236042
Report Number(s):
LA-UR-15-27439
Journal ID: ISSN 1553-7358
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC52-06NA25396
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
PLoS Computational Biology (Online)
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: PLoS Computational Biology (Online); Journal Volume: 12; Journal Issue: 1; Journal ID: ISSN 1553-7358
Publisher:
Public Library of Science
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES; viral replication; viral load; cell activation; viremia; antiretroviral therapy; HIV; viral evolution; HIV infection

Citation Formats

Conway, Jessica M., and Perelson, Alan S. Residual Viremia in Treated HIV+ Individuals. United States: N. p., 2016. Web. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004677.
Conway, Jessica M., & Perelson, Alan S. Residual Viremia in Treated HIV+ Individuals. United States. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004677
Conway, Jessica M., and Perelson, Alan S. Wed . "Residual Viremia in Treated HIV+ Individuals". United States. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004677. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1236042.
@article{osti_1236042,
title = {Residual Viremia in Treated HIV+ Individuals},
author = {Conway, Jessica M. and Perelson, Alan S.},
abstractNote = {Antiretroviral therapy (ART) effectively controls HIV infection, suppressing HIV viral loads. However, some residual virus remains, below the level of detection, in HIV-infected patients on ART. Furthermore, the source of this viremia is an area of debate: does it derive primarily from activation of infected cells in the latent reservoir, or from ongoing viral replication? Our observations seem to be contradictory: there is evidence of short term evolution, implying that there must be ongoing viral replication, and viral strains should thus evolve. The phylogenetic analyses, and rare emergent drug resistance, suggest no long-term viral evolution, implying that virus derived from activated latent cells must dominate. We use simple deterministic and stochastic models to gain insight into residual viremia dynamics in HIV-infected patients. Our modeling relies on two underlying assumptions for patients on suppressive ART: that latent cell activation drives viral dynamics and that the reproductive ratio of treated infection is less than 1. Nonetheless, the contribution of viral replication to residual viremia in patients on ART may be non-negligible. However, even if the portion of viremia attributable to viral replication is significant, our model predicts (1) that latent reservoir re-seeding remains negligible, and (2) some short-term viral evolution is permitted, but long-term evolution can still be limited: stochastic analysis of our model shows that de novo emergence of drug resistance is rare. Thus, our simple models reconcile the seemingly contradictory observations on residual viremia and, with relatively few parameters, recapitulates HIV viral dynamics observed in patients on suppressive therapy.},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004677},
journal = {PLoS Computational Biology (Online)},
number = 1,
volume = 12,
place = {United States},
year = {Wed Jan 06 00:00:00 EST 2016},
month = {Wed Jan 06 00:00:00 EST 2016}
}

Journal Article:
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record

Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 45 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

Save / Share:

Works referenced in this record:

HIV-1 Integration Landscape during Latent and Active Infection
journal, January 2015


Production of resistant HIV mutants during antiretroviral therapy
journal, July 2000

  • Ribeiro, R. M.; Bonhoeffer, S.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 97, Issue 14
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.97.14.7681

Proliferation of cells with HIV integrated into cancer genes contributes to persistent infection
journal, July 2014


Re-emergence of HIV after stopping therapy
journal, October 1999

  • Chun, Tae-Wook; Davey, Richard T.; Engel, Delphine
  • Nature, Vol. 401, Issue 6756
  • DOI: 10.1038/44755

HIV rebounds from latently infected cells, rather than from continuing low-level replication
journal, October 2008

  • Joos, B.; Fischer, M.; Kuster, H.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 105, Issue 43
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0804192105

HIV reservoir size and persistence are driven by T cell survival and homeostatic proliferation
journal, June 2009

  • Chomont, Nicolas; El-Far, Mohamed; Ancuta, Petronela
  • Nature Medicine, Vol. 15, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1038/nm.1972

Estimation of the Initial Viral Growth Rate and Basic Reproductive Number during Acute HIV-1 Infection
journal, March 2010

  • Ribeiro, R. M.; Qin, L.; Chavez, L. L.
  • Journal of Virology, Vol. 84, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1128/JVI.00127-10

Different Dynamics of CD4 + and CD8 + T Cell Responses During and After Acute Lymphocytic Choriomeningitis Virus Infection
journal, October 2003


Replication-Competent Noninduced Proviruses in the Latent Reservoir Increase Barrier to HIV-1 Cure
journal, October 2013


Treatment intensification does not reduce residual HIV-1 viremia in patients on highly active antiretroviral therapy
journal, May 2009

  • Dinoso, J. B.; Kim, S. Y.; Wiegand, A. M.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 106, Issue 23
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0903107106

Exact stochastic simulation of coupled chemical reactions
journal, December 1977

  • Gillespie, Daniel T.
  • The Journal of Physical Chemistry, Vol. 81, Issue 25
  • DOI: 10.1021/j100540a008

Early establishment of a pool of latently infected, resting CD4+ T cells during primary HIV-1 infection
journal, July 1998

  • Chun, T. -W.; Engel, D.; Berrey, M. M.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 95, Issue 15
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.95.15.8869

HIV-1 Dynamics in Vivo: Virion Clearance Rate, Infected Cell Life-Span, and Viral Generation Time
journal, March 1996


Determination of virus burst size in vivo using a single-cycle SIV in rhesus macaques
journal, November 2007

  • Chen, H. Y.; Di Mascio, M.; Perelson, A. S.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 104, Issue 48
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0707449104

Modeling Plasma Virus Concentration during Primary HIV Infection
journal, April 2000

  • Stafford, Max A.; Corey, Lawrence; Cao, Yunzhen
  • Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol. 203, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1006/jtbi.2000.1076

HIV Reactivation from Latency after Treatment Interruption Occurs on Average Every 5-8 Days—Implications for HIV Remission
journal, July 2015


Current Estimates for HIV-1 Production Imply Rapid Viral Clearance in Lymphoid Tissues
journal, September 2010


A Randomized, Controlled Trial of Raltegravir Intensification in Antiretroviral-treated, HIV-infected Patients with a Suboptimal CD4+ T Cell Response
journal, April 2011

  • Hatano, Hiroyu; Hayes, Timothy L.; Dahl, Viktor
  • The Journal of Infectious Diseases, Vol. 203, Issue 7
  • DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiq138

An Increasing Proportion of Monotypic HIV-1 DNA Sequences during Antiretroviral Treatment Suggests Proliferation of HIV-Infected Cells
journal, November 2012

  • Wagner, Thor A.; McKernan, Jen L.; Tobin, Nicole H.
  • Journal of Virology, Vol. 87, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1128/JVI.01985-12

Closing the gap between T-cell life span estimates from stable isotope-labeling studies in mice and humans
journal, September 2013


Rapid production and clearance of HIV-1 and hepatitis C virus assessed by large volume plasma apheresis
journal, November 1999


Modelling HIV-1 2-LTR dynamics following raltegravir intensification
journal, July 2013

  • Luo, Rutao; Cardozo, E. Fabian; Piovoso, Michael J.
  • Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol. 10, Issue 84
  • DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2013.0186

Predicting the outcomes of treatment to eradicate the latent reservoir for HIV-1
journal, August 2014

  • Hill, Alison L.; Rosenbloom, Daniel I. S.; Fu, Feng
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 111, Issue 37
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1406663111

Rapid seeding of the viral reservoir prior to SIV viraemia in rhesus monkeys
journal, July 2014

  • Whitney, James B.; Hill, Alison L.; Sanisetty, Srisowmya
  • Nature, Vol. 512, Issue 7512
  • DOI: 10.1038/nature13594

Genotypic Analysis of HIV‐1 Drug Resistance at the Limit of Detection: Virus Production without Evolution in Treated Adults with Undetectable HIV Loads
journal, April 2004

  • Kieffer, Tara L.; Finucane, Mariel M.; Nettles, Richard E.
  • The Journal of Infectious Diseases, Vol. 189, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1086/382488

Specific HIV integration sites are linked to clonal expansion and persistence of infected cells
journal, June 2014


Nonlinear Oscillations, Dynamical Systems, and Bifurcations of Vector Fields
book, January 1983


Reservoirs for HIV-1: Mechanisms for Viral Persistence in the Presence of Antiviral Immune Responses and Antiretroviral Therapy
journal, April 2000


Long-term follow-up studies confirm the stability of the latent reservoir for HIV-1 in resting CD4+ T cells
journal, May 2003

  • Siliciano, Janet D.; Kajdas, Joleen; Finzi, Diana
  • Nature Medicine, Vol. 9, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1038/nm880

Treatment-Mediated Alterations in HIV Fitness Preserve CD4+ T Cell Counts but Have Minimal Effects on Viral Load
journal, November 2010


Quantification of latent tissue reservoirs and total body viral load in HIV-1 infection
journal, May 1997

  • Chun, Tae-Wook; Carruth, Lucy; Finzi, Diana
  • Nature, Vol. 387, Issue 6629
  • DOI: 10.1038/387183a0

The Challenge of Finding a Cure for HIV Infection
journal, March 2009


Latent infection of CD4+ T cells provides a mechanism for lifelong persistence of HIV-1, even in patients on effective combination therapy
journal, May 1999

  • Finzi, Diana; Blankson, Joel; Siliciano, Janet D.
  • Nature Medicine, Vol. 5, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.1038/8394

Understanding HIV-1 latency provides clues for the eradication of long-term reservoirs
journal, November 2009

  • Coiras, Mayte; López-Huertas, María Rosa; Pérez-Olmeda, Mayte
  • Nature Reviews Microbiology, Vol. 7, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.1038/nrmicro2223

The distribution of time to extinction in subcritical branching processes: applications to outbreaks of infectious disease
journal, September 1999


Persistence by proliferation?
journal, July 2014


Relationship Between Residual Plasma Viremia and the Size of HIV Proviral DNA Reservoirs in Infected Individuals Receiving Effective Antiretroviral Therapy
journal, July 2011

  • Chun, Tae-Wook; Murray, Danielle; Justement, J. Shawn
  • The Journal of Infectious Diseases, Vol. 204, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jir208

Immediate antiviral therapy appears to restrict resting CD4+ cell HIV-1 infection without accelerating the decay of latent infection
journal, May 2012

  • Archin, N. M.; Vaidya, N. K.; Kuruc, J. D.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 109, Issue 24
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1120248109

Constant Mean Viral Copy Number per Infected Cell in Tissues Regardless of High, Low, or Undetectable Plasma HIV RNA
journal, May 1999

  • Hockett, Richard D.; Michael Kilby, J.; Derdeyn, Cynthia A.
  • The Journal of Experimental Medicine, Vol. 189, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.1084/jem.189.10.1545

ART Suppresses Plasma HIV-1 RNA to a Stable Set Point Predicted by Pretherapy Viremia
journal, January 2007


Persistent HIV-1 replication is associated with lower antiretroviral drug concentrations in lymphatic tissues
journal, January 2014

  • Fletcher, Courtney V.; Staskus, Kathryn; Wietgrefe, Stephen W.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 111, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1318249111

Antiretroviral dynamics determines HIV evolution and predicts therapy outcome
journal, September 2012

  • Rosenbloom, Daniel I. S.; Hill, Alison L.; Rabi, S. Alireza
  • Nature Medicine, Vol. 18, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1038/nm.2892

Induction of HIV-1 Replication in Latently Infected CD4 + T Cells Using a Combination of Cytokines
journal, July 1998

  • Chun, Tae-Wook; Engel, Delphine; Mizell, Stephanie B.
  • The Journal of Experimental Medicine, Vol. 188, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1084/jem.188.1.83

Immediate antiviral therapy appears to restrict resting CD4 + cell HIV-1 infection without accelerating the decay of latent infection
text, January 2012

  • N. M., Archin,; J. M., Coffin,; A., Wiegand,
  • The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill University Libraries
  • DOI: 10.17615/7wr7-m303

HIV rebounds from latently infected cells, rather than from continuing low-level replication
text, January 2008

  • Joos, B.; Fischer, M.; Kuster, H.
  • National Academy of Sciences
  • DOI: 10.5167/uzh-5181

Residual HIV-1 RNA in blood plasma of patients taking suppressive highly active antiretroviral therapy
journal, February 2001


The distribution of time to extinction in subcritical branching processes: applications to outbreaks of infectious disease
journal, September 1999

  • Farrington, C. P.; Grant, A. D.
  • Journal of Applied Probability, Vol. 36, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1239/jap/1032374633

Immediate antiviral therapy appears to restrict resting CD4+ cell HIV-1 infection without accelerating the decay of latent infection
text, January 2012

  • D., Kuruc, J.; S., Cohen, M.; M., Coffin, J.
  • The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill University Libraries
  • DOI: 10.17615/n6wn-ha56

Predicting the outcomes of treatment to eradicate the latent reservoir for HIV-1
text, January 2014


Modeling Plasma Virus Concentration during Primary HIV Infection
journal, April 2000

  • Stafford, Max A.; Corey, Lawrence; Cao, Yunzhen
  • Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol. 203, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1006/jtbi.2000.1076

Dynamics of HIV infection of CD4+ T cells
journal, March 1993


Replication-Competent Noninduced Proviruses in the Latent Reservoir Increase Barrier to HIV-1 Cure
journal, October 2013


HIV-1 Integration Landscape during Latent and Active Infection
journal, January 2015


Quantification of latent tissue reservoirs and total body viral load in HIV-1 infection
journal, May 1997

  • Chun, Tae-Wook; Carruth, Lucy; Finzi, Diana
  • Nature, Vol. 387, Issue 6629
  • DOI: 10.1038/387183a0

Re-emergence of HIV after stopping therapy
journal, October 1999

  • Chun, Tae-Wook; Davey, Richard T.; Engel, Delphine
  • Nature, Vol. 401, Issue 6756
  • DOI: 10.1038/44755

HIV reservoir size and persistence are driven by T cell survival and homeostatic proliferation
journal, June 2009

  • Chomont, Nicolas; El-Far, Mohamed; Ancuta, Petronela
  • Nature Medicine, Vol. 15, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1038/nm.1972

Antiretroviral dynamics determines HIV evolution and predicts therapy outcome
journal, September 2012

  • Rosenbloom, Daniel I. S.; Hill, Alison L.; Rabi, S. Alireza
  • Nature Medicine, Vol. 18, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1038/nm.2892

Long-term follow-up studies confirm the stability of the latent reservoir for HIV-1 in resting CD4+ T cells
journal, May 2003

  • Siliciano, Janet D.; Kajdas, Joleen; Finzi, Diana
  • Nature Medicine, Vol. 9, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1038/nm880

Understanding HIV-1 latency provides clues for the eradication of long-term reservoirs
journal, November 2009

  • Coiras, Mayte; López-Huertas, María Rosa; Pérez-Olmeda, Mayte
  • Nature Reviews Microbiology, Vol. 7, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.1038/nrmicro2223

Directed cell migration towards softer environments
journal, July 2022


Determination of virus burst size in vivo using a single-cycle SIV in rhesus macaques
journal, November 2007

  • Chen, H. Y.; Di Mascio, M.; Perelson, A. S.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 104, Issue 48
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0707449104

Treatment intensification does not reduce residual HIV-1 viremia in patients on highly active antiretroviral therapy
journal, May 2009

  • Dinoso, J. B.; Kim, S. Y.; Wiegand, A. M.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 106, Issue 23
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0903107106

Immediate antiviral therapy appears to restrict resting CD4+ cell HIV-1 infection without accelerating the decay of latent infection
journal, May 2012

  • Archin, N. M.; Vaidya, N. K.; Kuruc, J. D.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 109, Issue 24
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1120248109

Persistent HIV-1 replication is associated with lower antiretroviral drug concentrations in lymphatic tissues
journal, January 2014

  • Fletcher, Courtney V.; Staskus, Kathryn; Wietgrefe, Stephen W.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 111, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1318249111

Early establishment of a pool of latently infected, resting CD4+ T cells during primary HIV-1 infection
journal, July 1998

  • Chun, T. -W.; Engel, D.; Berrey, M. M.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 95, Issue 15
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.95.15.8869

HIV therapy: Managing resistance
journal, July 2000

  • Wodarz, Dominik; Nowak, Martin A.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 97, Issue 15
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.97.15.8193

Induction of HIV-1 Replication in Latently Infected CD4 + T Cells Using a Combination of Cytokines
journal, July 1998

  • Chun, Tae-Wook; Engel, Delphine; Mizell, Stephanie B.
  • The Journal of Experimental Medicine, Vol. 188, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1084/jem.188.1.83

Constant Mean Viral Copy Number per Infected Cell in Tissues Regardless of High, Low, or Undetectable Plasma HIV RNA
journal, May 1999

  • Hockett, Richard D.; Michael Kilby, J.; Derdeyn, Cynthia A.
  • The Journal of Experimental Medicine, Vol. 189, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.1084/jem.189.10.1545

Genotypic Analysis of HIV‐1 Drug Resistance at the Limit of Detection: Virus Production without Evolution in Treated Adults with Undetectable HIV Loads
journal, April 2004

  • Kieffer, Tara L.; Finucane, Mariel M.; Nettles, Richard E.
  • The Journal of Infectious Diseases, Vol. 189, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1086/382488

A Randomized, Controlled Trial of Raltegravir Intensification in Antiretroviral-treated, HIV-infected Patients with a Suboptimal CD4+ T Cell Response
journal, April 2011

  • Hatano, Hiroyu; Hayes, Timothy L.; Dahl, Viktor
  • The Journal of Infectious Diseases, Vol. 203, Issue 7
  • DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiq138

Incomplete adherence to antiretroviral therapy is associated with higher levels of residual HIV-1 viremia
journal, January 2014


Early HIV RNA decay during raltegravir-containing regimens exhibits two distinct subphases (1a and 1b)
journal, January 2015


Sustained Antiretroviral Effect of Raltegravir After 96 Weeks of Combination Therapy in Treatment-Naive Patients With HIV-1 Infection
journal, November 2009

  • Markowitz, Martin; Nguyen, Bach-Yen; Gotuzzo, Eduardo
  • JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, Vol. 52, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1097/qai.0b013e3181b064b0

Persistence by proliferation?
journal, July 2014


HIV-1 Dynamics in Vivo: Virion Clearance Rate, Infected Cell Life-Span, and Viral Generation Time
journal, March 1996


Viral Dynamics during Primary Simian Immunodeficiency Virus Infection: Effect of Time-Dependent Virus Infectivity
journal, February 2010

  • Vaidya, N. K.; Ribeiro, R. M.; Miller, C. J.
  • Journal of Virology, Vol. 84, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1128/jvi.02284-09

Current Estimates for HIV-1 Production Imply Rapid Viral Clearance in Lymphoid Tissues
journal, September 2010


Treatment-Mediated Alterations in HIV Fitness Preserve CD4+ T Cell Counts but Have Minimal Effects on Viral Load
journal, November 2010


HIV Reactivation from Latency after Treatment Interruption Occurs on Average Every 5-8 Days—Implications for HIV Remission
journal, July 2015


How does the timing of antiretroviral therapy initiation in acute infection affect HIV reservoirs?
text, January 2015

  • Karine, Dubé,; Nicolas, Chomont,; Jintanat, Ananworanich,
  • The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill University Libraries
  • DOI: 10.17615/r5p5-2y54

Treatment intensification with raltegravir in subjects with sustained HIV-1 viraemia suppression: a randomized 48-week study
journal, January 2011

  • Llibre, Josep M.; Buzón, Maria J.; Massanella, Marta
  • Antiviral Therapy, Vol. 17, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.3851/imp1917

Different Dynamics of CD4 + and CD8 + T Cell Responses During and After Acute Lymphocytic Choriomeningitis Virus Infection
journal, October 2003


Predicting the outcomes of treatment to eradicate the latent reservoir for HIV-1
text, January 2014


Works referencing / citing this record:

Re-evaluating evolution in the HIV reservoir
journal, November 2017

  • Rosenbloom, Daniel I. S.; Hill, Alison L.; Laskey, Sarah B.
  • Nature, Vol. 551, Issue 7681
  • DOI: 10.1038/nature24634

Anti-proliferative therapy for HIV cure: a compound interest approach
journal, June 2017


Probabilistic control of HIV latency and transactivation by the Tat gene circuit
journal, November 2018

  • Cao, Youfang; Lei, Xue; Ribeiro, Ruy M.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 115, Issue 49
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1811195115

Modelling the evolution of HIV ‐1 virulence in response to imperfect therapy and prophylaxis
journal, February 2017

  • Smith, David R. M.; Mideo, Nicole
  • Evolutionary Applications, Vol. 10, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1111/eva.12458

Determinants of the efficacy of HIV latency-reversing agents and implications for drug and treatment design
journal, October 2018


Large Variations in HIV-1 Viral Load Explained by Shifting-Mosaic Metapopulation Dynamics
journal, October 2016


Predictions of time to HIV viral rebound following ART suspension that incorporate personal biomarkers
journal, July 2019


CD8+ lymphocyte control of SIV infection during antiretroviral therapy
journal, October 2018


Determinants of the efficacy of HIV latency-reversing agents and implications for drug and treatment design
text, January 2018


Towards multiscale modeling of the CD8 + T cell response to viral infections
journal, February 2019

  • Baral, Subhasish; Raja, Rubesh; Sen, Pramita
  • WIREs Systems Biology and Medicine, Vol. 11, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1002/wsbm.1446

Persistent HIV-1 replication during antiretroviral therapy
journal, January 2016


Modelling the evolution of HIV ‐1 virulence in response to imperfect therapy and prophylaxis
journal, February 2017

  • Smith, David R. M.; Mideo, Nicole
  • Evolutionary Applications, Vol. 10, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1111/eva.12458

Mathematical modeling to reveal breakthrough mechanisms in the HIV Antibody Mediated Prevention (AMP) trials
journal, February 2020


CD8+ lymphocyte control of SIV infection during antiretroviral therapy
journal, October 2018


Modeling Kick-Kill Strategies toward HIV Cure
journal, August 2017