Sensitivity of the Shallow‐To‐Deep Convective Transition to Moisture and Wind Shear in the Amazon

Journal Article · 17 April 2025 · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004238 · OSTI ID:2559032

Viscardi, Leandro Alex Moreira  ^[1]; Torri, Giuseppe  ^[2]; Adams, David K.  ^[3]; Barbosa, Henrique de Melo Jorge  ^[4]

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1. Institute of Physics University of São Paulo São Paulo Brazil, Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Hawai'i at Mānoa Honolulu HI USA
2. Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Hawai'i at Mānoa Honolulu HI USA
3. El Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México Mexico City Mexico
4. Institute of Physics University of São Paulo São Paulo Brazil, Physics Department University of Maryland Baltimore County Baltimore MD USA

Abstract Deep convection is the primary influence on weather and climate in tropical regions. However, understanding and simulating the shallow‐to‐deep (STD) convective transition has long been challenging. Here, we conduct high‐resolution numerical simulations to assess the environmental controls on the evolution of isolated convection in the Amazon during the wet season. The large‐scale forcing derived through a constrained variational analysis approach for the GoAmazon2014/5 Experiment is used in the simulations. Through sensitivity experiments, we examine the relative importance of moisture and wind shear in controlling the shallow‐to‐deep convective transition for isolated convective events. Convection exhibits the greatest sensitivity to humidity within the lowest 1.5 km, where a 4 mm reduction in column water vapor nearly suppresses ice water formation on deep convective days. In contrast, a reduction in column water vapor in the free troposphere by a factor of two or more is necessary to produce a comparable impact on convection. Increasing low‐level wind speed from 6 to 9 m  enhances afternoon deep convection, raising the cloud ice mixing ratio by approximately 25%. Conversely, upper‐level wind shear reveals the weakest correlation with daytime convection in our simulations. Our results help characterize the role of moisture and wind shear on the STD transition and our understanding of the underlying mechanisms.

• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE
• Grant/Contract Number: SC0023058
• OSTI ID: 2559032
• Journal Information: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Journal Name: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems Journal Issue: 4 Vol. 17; ISSN 1942-2466
• Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)Copyright Statement
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English