Storm surges and extreme sea levels: Review, establishment of model intercomparison and coordination of surge climate projection efforts (SurgeMIP).

Bernier, Natacha B.; Hemer, Mark; Mori, Nobuhito; Appendini, Christian M.; Breivik, Oyvind; de Camargo, Ricardo; Casas-Prat, Mercè; Duong, Trang Minh; Haigh, Ivan D.; Howard, Tom; Hernaman, Vanessa; Huizy, Oleksandr; Irish, Jennifer L.; Kirezci, Ebru; Kohno, Nadao; Lee, Jun-Whan; McInnes, Kathleen L.; Meyer, Elke M.I.; Marcos, Marta; Marsooli, Reza; Oliva, Ariadna Martin; Menendez, Melisa; Moghimi, Saeed; Muis, Sanne; Polton, Jeff A.; Pringle, William J.; Ranasinghe, Roshanka; Saillour, Thomas; Smith, Grant; Tadesse, Michael Getachew; Swail, Val; Tomoya, Shimura; Voukouvalas, Evangelos; Wahl, Thomas; Wang, Pengcheng; Weisse, Ralf; Westerink, Joannes J.; Young, Ian; Zhang, Y. Joseph

doi:10.1016/j.wace.2024.100689

Title: Storm surges and extreme sea levels: Review, establishment of model intercomparison and coordination of surge climate projection efforts (SurgeMIP).

Journal Article · 14 May 2024 · Weather and Climate Extremes

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100689 · OSTI ID:2499567

^[1]; Hemer, Mark ^[2]; Mori, Nobuhito ^[3]; Appendini, Christian M. ^[4]; Breivik, Oyvind ^[5]; de Camargo, Ricardo ^[6]; Casas-Prat, Mercè ^[7]; Duong, Trang Minh ^[8]; Haigh, Ivan D. ^[9]; Howard, Tom ^[10]; Hernaman, Vanessa ^[11]; Huizy, Oleksandr ^[1]; Irish, Jennifer L. ^[12]; Kirezci, Ebru ^[13]; Kohno, Nadao ^[14]; Lee, Jun-Whan ^[15]; McInnes, Kathleen L. ^[11]; Meyer, Elke M.I. ^[16]; Marcos, Marta ^[17]; Marsooli, Reza ^[18] more »

Environment and Climate Change Canada, Montreal, QC (Canada)
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Environment, Hobart, TAS (Australia)
Kyoto Univ. (Japan)
Univ. Nacional Autonoma de Mexico (UNAM), Sisal (Mexico)
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo (Norway)
Univ. of Sao Paulo (Brazil)
Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, ON (Canada)
IHE Delft Institute for Water Education (Netherlands); Univ. of Twente, Enschede (Netherlands); Deltares, Delft (Netherlands)
Univ. of Southampton (United Kingdom)
United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, Devon (United Kingdom)
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Environment, Aspendale, VIC (Australia)
Virginia Polytechnic Inst. and State Univ. (Virginia Tech), Blacksburg, VA (United States)
Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC (Australia)
Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo (Japan)
Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX (United States)
Helmholtz-Zentrum hereon GmbH, Geesthacht (Germany)
University of the Balearic Islands, Mallorca (Spain); Mediterranean Institute for Advanced Studies (IMEDEA), Mallorca (Spain)
Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, NJ (United States)
Univ. of Central Florida, Orlando, FL (United States)
Univ. of Cantabria, Santander (Spain). Environmental Hydraulic Institute (IHCantabria)
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Silver Spring, MD (United States). National Ocean Service (NOS)
Vrije Univ., Amsterdam (Netherlands)
National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool (United Kingdom)
Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)
European Commission, Ispra (Italy). Joint Research Centre
Hazen and Sawyer, Orlando, FL (United States)
Unisystems Luxembourg SARL, Bertrange (Luxembourg)
University of Notre Dame, IN (United States)
Univ. of Melbourne, VIC (Australia)
Virginia Institute of Marine Science (VIMS), Gloucester Point, VA (United States)

Coastal flood damage is primarily the result of extreme sea levels. Climate change is expected to drive an increase in these extremes. While proper estimation of changes in storm surges is essential to estimate changes in extreme sea levels, there remains low confidence in future trends of surge contribution to extreme sea levels. Alerting local populations of imminent extreme sea levels is also critical to protecting coastal populations. Both predicting and projecting extreme sea levels require reliable numerical prediction systems. The SurgeMIP (surge model intercomparison) community has been established to tackle such challenges. Efforts to intercompare storm surge prediction systems and coordinate the community 's prediction and projection efforts are introduced. An overview of past and recent advances in storm surge science such as physical processes to consider and the recent development of global forecasting systems are briefly introduced. Selected historical events and drivers behind fast increasing service and knowledge requirements for emergency response to adaptation considerations are also discussed. The community 's initial plans and recent progress are introduced. These include the establishment of an intercomparison project, the identification of research and development gaps, and the introduction of efforts to coordinate projections that span multiple climate scenarios.

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Research Organization:: Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

Grant/Contract Number:: AC02-06CH11357

OSTI ID:: 2499567

Journal Information:: Weather and Climate Extremes, Journal Name: Weather and Climate Extremes Vol. 45; ISSN 2212-0947

Publisher:: ElsevierCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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Towards using state-of-the-art climate models to help constrain estimates of unprecedented UK storm surges Howard, Tom; Williams, Simon David Paul Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 21, Issue 12 https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-3693-2021	journal	December 2021
Compound flood impact of water level and rainfall during tropical cyclone periods in a coastal city: the case of Shanghai Xu, Hanqing; Tian, Zhan; Sun, Laixiang Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 22, Issue 7 https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2347-2022	journal	July 2022
Improvements to the detection and analysis of external surges in the North Sea Böhme, Alexander; Gerkensmeier, Birgit; Bratz, Benedikt Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 23, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1947-2023	journal	May 2023
Compound flood events: analysing the joint occurrence of extreme river discharge events and storm surges in northern and central Europe Heinrich, Philipp; Hagemann, Stefan; Weisse, Ralf Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 23, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1967-2023	journal	May 2023

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