Localization of infrasonic sources via Bayesian back projection

Blom, Philip S.; Frazier, W. Garth; Bishop, Jordan W.

doi:10.1093/gji/ggae440

Title: Localization of infrasonic sources via Bayesian back projection

Journal Article · 13 December 2024 · Geophysical Journal International

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggae440 · OSTI ID:2484060

; Frazier, W. Garth;

SUMMARY A Bayesian framework is investigated for event-specific localization of infrasonic sources using back projection ray tracing. Direction-of-arrival information from array-based detection analysis is used to initialize a back projection ray path originating from the detecting array location and quantifying propagation characteristics from hypothetical source locations. The Fisher statistic, computed from the array’s beam coherence, is mapped into uncertainty in the launch angles of the ray path. Auxiliary parameters previously introduced for solving the Transport equation to compute geometric spreading along ray paths are used to map uncertainty in the ray launch angles into spatial and temporal uncertainties in the ray path. An atmospheric ensemble approach is applied to account for atmospheric uncertainty, and the relation between uncertainties in the atmospheric state and confidence in estimated localization are evaluated using several ensembles with specified variances. The method is evaluated using a synthetic event in the western United States constructed via forward propagation simulations as well as a single-station, multi-arrival detection from a surface explosion in the western United States. Localization results using this event-specific approach are more accurate and exhibit improved precision than existing Bayesian localization methods that leverage generalized, pre-computed propagation statistics.

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Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA); USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), Office of Defense Nuclear Nonproliferation

OSTI ID:: 2484060

Journal Information:: Geophysical Journal International, Journal Name: Geophysical Journal International Journal Issue: 2 Vol. 240; ISSN 0956-540X

Publisher:: Oxford University PressCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United Kingdom

Language:: English

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