DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Earth's record-high greenness and its attributions in 2020

Journal Article · · Remote Sensing of Environment
 [1]; ORCiD logo [2];  [3];  [3];  [4];  [5];  [6];  [7];  [8];  [9];  [5];  [10]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [2];  [11]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [2]
  1. USDA Forest Service, Research Triangle Park, NC (United States); Duke Univ., Durham, NC (United States); Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
  2. Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
  3. USDA Forest Service, Research Triangle Park, NC (United States)
  4. USDA Forest Service, New Ellenton, SC (United States)
  5. Duke Univ., Durham, NC (United States)
  6. Univ. of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN (United States)
  7. University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC (United States)
  8. Univ. of New Hampshire, Durham, NH (United States)
  9. Indiana Univ., Bloomington, IN (United States)
  10. Vanderbilt Univ., Nashville, TN (United States)
  11. Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Guangzhou (China)

Terrestrial vegetation is a crucial component of Earth's biosphere, regulating global carbon and water cycles and contributing to human welfare. Despite an overall greening trend, terrestrial vegetation exhibits a significant inter-annual variability. The mechanisms driving this variability, particularly those related to climatic and anthropogenic factors, remain poorly understood, which hampers our ability to project the long-term sustainability of ecosystem services. Here, in this work, by leveraging diverse remote sensing measurements, we pinpointed 2020 as a historic landmark, registering as the greenest year in modern satellite records from 2001 to 2020. Using ensemble machine learning and Earth system models, we found this exceptional greening primarily stemmed from consistent growth in boreal and temperate vegetation, attributed to rising CO2 levels, climate warming, and reforestation efforts, alongside a transient tropical green-up linked to the enhanced rainfall. Contrary to expectations, the COVID-19 pandemic lockdowns had a limited impact on this global greening anomaly. Our findings highlight the resilience and dynamic nature of global vegetation in response to diverse climatic and anthropogenic influences, offering valuable insights for optimizing ecosystem management and informing climate mitigation strategies.

Research Organization:
Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC05-00OR22725
OSTI ID:
2477490
Journal Information:
Remote Sensing of Environment, Journal Name: Remote Sensing of Environment Vol. 316; ISSN 0034-4257
Publisher:
ElsevierCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (96)

Impact of CO 2 fertilization on maximum foliage cover across the globe's warm, arid environments : CO journal June 2013
Overview of the radiometric and biophysical performance of the MODIS vegetation indices journal November 2002
Vegetation structural change and CO2 fertilization more than offset gross primary production decline caused by reduced solar radiation in China journal January 2021
State-of-the-art in artificial neural network applications: A survey journal November 2018
Parametric (modified least squares) and non-parametric (Theil–Sen) linear regressions for predicting biophysical parameters in the presence of measurement errors journal April 2005
Reprocessing the MODIS Leaf Area Index products for land surface and climate modelling journal May 2011
Reanalysis of global terrestrial vegetation trends from MODIS products: Browning or greening? journal March 2017
Increasing global vegetation browning hidden in overall vegetation greening: Insights from time-varying trends journal September 2018
Hierarchical mapping of annual global land cover 2001 to present: The MODIS Collection 6 Land Cover product journal March 2019
Large loss and rapid recovery of vegetation cover and aboveground biomass over forest areas in Australia during 2019–2020 journal September 2022
Vegetation browning: global drivers, impacts, and feedbacks journal September 2023
Random Forests journal January 2001
High‐Resolution Global Contiguous SIF of OCO‐2 journal February 2019
No Proportional Increase of Terrestrial Gross Carbon Sequestration From the Greening Earth journal August 2019
Developments in the MPI‐M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI‐ESM1.2) and Its Response to Increasing CO 2 journal April 2019
An Overview of Global Leaf Area Index (LAI): Methods, Products, Validation, and Applications journal July 2019
Sources of Uncertainty in Regional and Global Terrestrial CO 2 Exchange Estimates journal February 2020
El Niño‐Southern Oscillation‐Induced Variability of Terrestrial Gross Primary Production During the Satellite Era journal August 2019
Large‐Scale Reductions in Terrestrial Carbon Uptake Following Central Pacific El Niño journal February 2021
Global Patterns and Climate Controls of Terrestrial Ecosystem Light Use Efficiency journal December 2020
Food web patterns and their consequences journal April 1991
Global patterns in human consumption of net primary production journal June 2004
Increase in forest water-use efficiency as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations rise journal July 2013
Contribution of semi-arid ecosystems to interannual variability of the global carbon cycle journal May 2014
Compensatory water effects link yearly global land CO2 sink changes to temperature journal January 2017
Reduced streamflow in water-stressed climates consistent with CO2 effects on vegetation journal October 2015
Greening of the Earth and its drivers journal April 2016
Human-induced greening of the northern extratropical land surface journal June 2016
The increasing importance of atmospheric demand for ecosystem water and carbon fluxes journal September 2016
Historical carbon dioxide emissions caused by land-use changes are possibly larger than assumed journal January 2017
Regionally strong feedbacks between the atmosphere and terrestrial biosphere journal May 2017
Near-real-time monitoring of global CO2 emissions reveals the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic journal October 2020
Forest expansion dominates China’s land carbon sink since 1980 journal September 2022
Widespread and complex drought effects on vegetation physiology inferred from space journal August 2023
Emerging satellite observations for diurnal cycling of ecosystem processes journal July 2021
Greening of the land surface in the world’s cold regions consistent with recent warming journal August 2018
Increased control of vegetation on global terrestrial energy fluxes journal March 2020
Enhanced peak growth of global vegetation and its key mechanisms journal November 2018
Increasing impacts of land use on biodiversity and carbon sequestration driven by population and economic growth journal March 2019
Field-experiment constraints on the enhancement of the terrestrial carbon sink by CO2 fertilization journal September 2019
Global patterns of terrestrial nitrogen and phosphorus limitation journal February 2020
Global patterns of daily CO2 emissions reductions in the first year of COVID-19 journal June 2022
A long-term reconstructed TROPOMI solar-induced fluorescence dataset using machine learning algorithms journal July 2022
China and India lead in greening of the world through land-use management journal February 2019
Characteristics, drivers and feedbacks of global greening journal December 2019
The COVID-19 lockdowns: a window into the Earth System journal July 2020
Evidence for large microbial-mediated losses of soil carbon under anthropogenic warming journal June 2021
Evapotranspiration on a greening Earth journal August 2023
Vegetation greenness in 2023 journal April 2024
Greening of human-dominated ecosystems in India journal November 2023
TerraClimate, a high-resolution global dataset of monthly climate and climatic water balance from 1958–2015 journal January 2018
Present and future Köppen-Geiger climate classification maps at 1-km resolution journal October 2018
ENSO elicits opposing responses of semi-arid vegetation between Hemispheres journal February 2017
Response of vegetation to drought time-scales across global land biomes journal December 2012
Natural climate solutions journal October 2017
COVID-19 lockdowns cause global air pollution declines journal July 2020
The COVID-19 pandemic journal July 2020
Coupling between the terrestrial carbon and water cycles—a review journal July 2019
Enhanced secondary pollution offset reduction of primary emissions during COVID-19 lockdown in China journal June 2020
Explainable Machine Learning for Scientific Insights and Discoveries journal January 2020
Inconsistencies of interannual variability and trends in long-term satellite leaf area index products journal July 2017
Largely underestimated carbon emission from land use and land cover change in the conterminous United States journal August 2019
Accelerated rate of vegetation green‐up related to warming at northern high latitudes journal September 2020
Annual precipitation explains variability in dryland vegetation greenness globally but not locally journal June 2021
From remotely sensed solar‐induced chlorophyll fluorescence to ecosystem structure, function, and service: Part I—Harnessing theory journal March 2023
Compound droughts slow down the greening of the Earth journal February 2023
How close are we to the temperature tipping point of the terrestrial biosphere? journal January 2021
Biophysical impacts of Earth greening largely controlled by aerodynamic resistance journal November 2020
Rapid greening response of China’s 2020 spring vegetation to COVID-19 restrictions: Implications for climate change journal August 2021
Regional impacts of COVID-19 on carbon dioxide detected worldwide from space journal November 2021
The reduced net carbon uptake over Northern Hemisphere land causes the close-to-normal CO2 growth rate in 2021 La Niña journal June 2024
Impact of Nitrogen Deposition on the Species Richness of Grasslands journal March 2004
Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation: Global Land-Use Implications journal June 2008
Managing Forests for Climate Change Mitigation journal June 2008
Terrestrial Gross Carbon Dioxide Uptake: Global Distribution and Covariation with Climate journal July 2010
A Measurable Planetary Boundary for the Biosphere journal September 2012
The Global Carbon Cycle: A Test of Our Knowledge of Earth as a System journal October 2000
The dominant role of semi-arid ecosystems in the trend and variability of the land CO2 sink journal May 2015
One-third of global protected land is under intense human pressure journal May 2018
Long-term forest degradation surpasses deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon journal September 2020
Recent global decline of CO 2 fertilization effects on vegetation photosynthesis journal December 2020
Global water use efficiency saturation due to increased vapor pressure deficit journal August 2023
Stomatal Conductance and Photosynthesis journal June 1982
Chlorophyll Fluorescence and Photosynthesis: The Basics journal June 1991
Sources of Uncertainty in Modeled Land Carbon Storage within and across Three MIPs: Diagnosis with Three New Techniques journal April 2018
COVID-19 pandemic: A review of the global lockdown and its far-reaching effects journal April 2021
Global assessment of nitrogen deposition effects on terrestrial plant diversity: a synthesis journal January 2010
A Global, 0.05-Degree Product of Solar-Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence Derived from OCO-2, MODIS, and Reanalysis Data journal March 2019
Evaluation of MODIS LAI/FPAR Product Collection 6. Part 1: Consistency and Improvements journal April 2016
Recent trends and drivers of regional sources and sinks of carbon dioxide journal January 2015
Predicting carbon dioxide and energy fluxes across global FLUXNET sites with regression algorithms journal January 2016
Slowdown of the greening trend in natural vegetation with further rise in atmospheric CO2 journal September 2021
Global Carbon Budget 2022 journal November 2022
Spatiotemporally consistent global dataset of the GIMMS leaf area index (GIMMS LAI4g) from 1982 to 2020 journal November 2023
Global 500 m seamless dataset (2000–2022) of land surface reflectance generated from MODIS products journal January 2024
Modifying emissions scenario projections to account for the effects of COVID-19: protocol for CovidMIP journal June 2021