DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Opportunities for Earth Observation to Inform Risk Management for Ocean Tipping Points

Journal Article · · Surveys in Geophysics
ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo; ORCiD logo

Abstract As climate change continues, the likelihood of passing critical thresholds or tipping points increases. Hence, there is a need to advance the science for detecting such thresholds. In this paper, we assess the needs and opportunities for Earth Observation (EO, here understood to refer to satellite observations) to inform society in responding to the risks associated with ten potential large-scale ocean tipping elements: Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation; Atlantic Subpolar Gyre; Beaufort Gyre; Arctic halocline; Kuroshio Large Meander; deoxygenation; phytoplankton; zooplankton; higher level ecosystems (including fisheries); and marine biodiversity. We review current scientific understanding and identify specific EO and related modelling needs for each of these tipping elements. We draw out some generic points that apply across several of the elements. These common points include the importance of maintaining long-term, consistent time series; the need to combine EO data consistently with in situ data types (including subsurface), for example through data assimilation; and the need to reduce or work with current mismatches in resolution (in both directions) between climate models and EO datasets. Our analysis shows that developing EO, modelling and prediction systems together, with understanding of the strengths and limitations of each, provides many promising paths towards monitoring and early warning systems for tipping, and towards the development of the next generation of climate models.

Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE
OSTI ID:
2476443
Journal Information:
Surveys in Geophysics, Journal Name: Surveys in Geophysics Journal Issue: 2 Vol. 46; ISSN 0169-3298
Publisher:
Springer Science + Business MediaCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
Netherlands
Language:
English

References (366)

Global deep ocean oxygenation by enhanced ventilation in the Southern Ocean under long-term global warming: OXYGENATION UNDER GLOBAL WARMING journal October 2015
Finding forced trends in oceanic oxygen: TRENDS IN DISSOLVED OXYGEN journal February 2016
Estimating the Atlantic overturning at 26°N using satellite altimetry and cable measurements: MOC FROM ALTIMETRY journal May 2015
North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation variations from GRACE ocean bottom pressure anomalies journal October 2015
Observations, inferences, and mechanisms of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: A review journal January 2016
Fate of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: Strong decline under continued warming and Greenland melting: AMOC PROJECTIONS FOR WARMING AND GIS MELT journal December 2016
Recurrent replenishment of Labrador Sea Water and associated decadal-scale variability: 2015 Convection in Labrador Sea journal November 2016
Upper ocean O 2 trends: 1958-2015 : OXYGEN TRENDS journal May 2017
Collapse of the 2017 Winter Beaufort High: A Response to Thinning Sea Ice? journal March 2018
Land Ice Freshwater Budget of the Arctic and North Atlantic Oceans: 1. Data, Methods, and Results journal March 2018
Oceanic hindcast simulations at high resolution suggest that the Atlantic MOC is bistable: SIMULATED AMOC FRESHWATER TRANSPORT journal June 2013
Response of extratropical cyclone activity to the Kuroshio large meander in northern winter journal June 2013
The role of differential DMSP production and community composition in predicting variability of global surface DMSP concentrations journal October 2018
Satellite remote sensing of ecosystem functions: opportunities, challenges and way forward
  • Pettorelli, Nathalie; Schulte to Bühne, Henrike; Tulloch, Ayesha
  • Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation, Vol. 4, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1002/rse2.59
journal August 2017
Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty book January 2019
Detection, differentiation, and abundance estimation of penguin species by high-resolution satellite imagery journal February 2012
A global coral reef probability map generated using convolutional neural networks journal September 2020
Quantifying the AMOC feedbacks during a 2×CO2 stabilization experiment with land-ice melting journal May 2007
Is the Atlantic subpolar gyre bistable in comprehensive coupled climate models? journal October 2012
On the stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation during the last deglaciation journal May 2014
Global and European climate impacts of a slowdown of the AMOC in a high resolution GCM journal March 2015
Stable AMOC off state in an eddy-permitting coupled climate model journal January 2016
Ocean and atmosphere feedbacks affecting AMOC hysteresis in a GCM journal October 2016
Effect of AMOC collapse on ENSO in a high resolution general circulation model journal June 2017
Timescales of AMOC decline in response to fresh water forcing journal December 2017
Observable, low-order dynamical controls on thresholds of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation journal September 2019
Advances in reconstructing the AMOC using sea surface observations of salinity journal June 2020
Century-long cooling trend in subpolar North Atlantic forced by atmosphere: an alternative explanation journal October 2021
Impacts of a weakened AMOC on precipitation over the Euro-Atlantic region in the EC-Earth3 climate model journal March 2023
The stability of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation in a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model journal July 1997
Consequences of regime shifts for marine food webs journal August 2007
Super-resolution data assimilation journal August 2022
Environmental constraints on the production and removal of the climatically active gas dimethylsulphide (DMS) and implications for ecosystem modelling journal April 2007
Biogeochemical feedbacks may amplify ongoing and future ocean deoxygenation: a case study from the Peruvian oxygen minimum zone journal March 2022
Methodological elements for optimising the spatial monitoring design to support regional benthic ecosystem assessments journal June 2019
Earth Observations for Monitoring Marine Coastal Hazards and Their Drivers journal June 2020
Early Warning from Space for a Few Key Tipping Points in Physical, Biological, and Social-Ecological Systems journal September 2020
Ocean Biology Studied from Space journal September 2023
Reflecting on the Science of Climate Tipping Points to Inform and Assist Policy Making and Address the Risks they Pose to Society journal June 2024
Has the 1998 regime shift also occurred in the oceanographic conditions and lower trophic ecosystem of the Oyashio region? journal August 2007
Marked coastal warming off Tokai attributable to Kuroshio large meander journal October 2019
Spatial correlation as leading indicator of catastrophic shifts journal November 2009
Resolving and Parameterising the Ocean Mesoscale in Earth System Models journal October 2020
Hydrology and ocean circulation journal January 1982
The “great salinity anomaly” in the Northern North Atlantic 1968–1982 journal January 1988
On the halocline of the Arctic Ocean journal June 1981
Millennial-scale oceanic climate variability off the Western Iberian margin during the last two glacial periods journal April 2003
Empirical evidence for North Pacific regime shifts in 1977 and 1989 journal October 2000
A regime shift in the North Sea circa 1988 linked to changes in the North Sea horse mackerel fishery journal February 2001
Coral reef disturbance and resilience in a human-dominated environment journal October 2000
The biological response to the 1977 regime shift in the California Current journal August 2003
Genomics meets remote sensing in global change studies: monitoring and predicting phenology, evolution and biodiversity journal December 2017
An overview of the Oyashio ecosystem journal November 2007
Response of ocean dynamics to multiple equilibria of the Kuroshio path South of Japan journal March 2019
Monitoring cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms at high spatiotemporal resolution by fusing Landsat and MODIS imagery journal December 2020
Modeling phosphorus cycling and carbon burial during Cretaceous Oceanic Anoxic Events journal August 2009
Sampling variability of ichthyoplankton surveys—Exploring the roles of scale and resolution on uncertainty journal April 2012
Models of oxic respiration, denitrification and sulfate reduction in zones of coastal upwelling journal December 2006
Arctic freshwater export: Status, mechanisms, and prospects journal February 2015
Synchronous ecological regime shifts in the central Baltic and the North Sea in the late 1980s journal January 2005
Interdecadal variability in the Gulf of Maine zooplankton community, with potential impacts on fish recruitment journal January 2005
Investigating the sub-daily dynamics of cyanobacterial blooms by coupling high-frequency time-series remote sensing with hydro-ecological modelling journal September 2022
Estimation of global zooplankton biomass from satellite ocean colour journal August 2009
Optimizing plankton survey strategies using Observing System Simulation Experiments journal September 2010
Spatial distribution models for the four commercial tuna in the sea of maritime continent using multi-sensor remote sensing and maximum entropy journal June 2024
A proactive system for maritime environment monitoring journal January 2016
A review of geospatial technologies for improving Marine Spatial Planning: Challenges and opportunities journal January 2023
A commentary on the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation stability in climate models journal February 2018
Regime shifts in the Humboldt Current ecosystem journal February 2004
Mechanisms for marine regime shifts: Can we use lakes as microcosms for oceans? journal February 2004
The North Sea regime shift: Evidence, causes, mechanisms and consequences journal February 2004
Coherence of long-term variations of zooplankton in two sectors of the California Current System journal October 2007
Variability of the meridional overturning circulation at the Greenland–Portugal OVIDE section from 1993 to 2010 journal March 2015
Zooplankton fecal pellets, marine snow, phytodetritus and the ocean’s biological pump journal January 2015
A new collective view of oceanography of the Arctic and North Atlantic basins journal March 2015
The 8k event: cause and consequences of a major Holocene abrupt climate change journal May 2005
Assessing the fitness-for-purpose of satellite multi-mission ocean color climate data records: A protocol applied to OC-CCI chlorophyll- a data journal December 2017
Selective review of offline change point detection methods journal February 2020
A review of applications of satellite earth observation data for global societal benefit and stewardship of planet earth journal May 2016
Catastrophic regime shifts in ecosystems: linking theory to observation journal December 2003
Global synchrony of an accelerating rise in sea surface temperature journal July 2012
Global Climatic Impacts of a Collapse of the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation journal January 2002
Decadal-Scale Climate and Ecosystem Interactions in the North Pacific Ocean journal January 2004
The 8.2 kyr BP event simulated by a Global Atmosphere—Sea‐Ice—Ocean Model journal April 2001
Feedbacks between oceanic redox states and marine productivity: A model perspective focused on benthic phosphorus cycling journal August 2003
Climatic warming and accompanying changes in the ecological regime of the Black Sea during 1990s journal September 2003
Periodic mid‐Cretaceous oceanic anoxic events linked by oscillations of the phosphorus and oxygen biogeochemical cycles journal October 2003
A new climate regime in northeast pacific ecosystems: A NEW CLIMATE REGIME journal September 2003
Propagation of the “Great Salinity Anomaly” of the 1990s around the northern North Atlantic journal January 2004
Detection of climate system bifurcations by degenerate fingerprinting: DETECTION OF CLIMATE SYSTEM BIFURCATIONS journal December 2004
The Atlantic freshwater budget as a diagnostic for the existence of a stable shut down of the meridional overturning circulation journal January 2005
Is a shutdown of the thermohaline circulation irreversible? journal January 2006
Rapid fluctuations in the deep North Atlantic heat budget during the last glacial period journal January 2007
Large fluctuations of dissolved oxygen in the Indian and Pacific oceans during Dansgaard‐Oeschger oscillations caused by variations of North Atlantic Deep Water subduction journal August 2007
Seasonal distribution and succession of dominant phytoplankton groups in the global ocean: A satellite view journal July 2008
A new dynamical mechanism for major climate shifts: MECHANISM FOR MAJOR CLIMATE SHIFTS journal July 2007
Exploring Arctic Transpolar Drift During Dramatic Sea Ice Retreat journal January 2008
Natural variability and anthropogenic trends in oceanic oxygen in a coupled carbon cycle-climate model ensemble: VARIABILITY AND TRENDS IN OCEANIC OXYGEN journal February 2009
Positive trend in the mean speed and deformation rate of Arctic sea ice, 1979–2007 journal January 2009
Geochemistry of oceanic anoxic events: REVIEW journal March 2010
Can in situ floats and satellite altimeters detect long-term changes in Atlantic Ocean overturning?: ARGO AND JASON SHOW AMOC VARIABILITY journal March 2010
Biological communities in San Francisco Bay track large-scale climate forcing over the North Pacific: CLIMATE PATTERNS AND ESTUARINE ECOLOGY journal November 2010
Observed decreases in oxygen content of the global ocean: GLOBAL DECREASES IN OCEAN OXYGEN LEVELS journal December 2011
Influence of transport and ocean ice extent on biogenic aerosol sulfur in the Arctic atmosphere: MSA IN THE ARCTIC journal June 2012
Nutrients as the dominant control on the spread of anoxia and euxinia across the Cenomanian‐Turonian oceanic anoxic event (OAE2): Model‐data comparison journal December 2012
Multicentury Instability of the Atlantic Meridional Circulation in Rapid Warming Simulations With GISS ModelE2 journal June 2018
Hysteresis and Resilience of the AMOC in an Eddy‐Permitting GCM journal August 2018
Climate-Driven Change in the North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans Can Greatly Reduce the Circulation of the North Sea journal November 2018
Mechanisms and Impacts of a Partial AMOC Recovery Under Enhanced Freshwater Forcing journal March 2019
Understanding Arctic Ocean Circulation: A Review of Ocean Dynamics in a Changing Climate journal March 2020
Initialization and Ensemble Generation for Decadal Climate Predictions: A Comparison of Different Methods journal January 2019
Mitigation of Extreme Ocean Anoxic Event Conditions by Organic Matter Sulfurization journal April 2019
Variability in the Northern North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans Across the Last Two Millennia: A Review journal August 2019
Stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: A Review and Synthesis journal August 2019
The Mean State and Variability of the North Atlantic Circulation: A Perspective From Ocean Reanalyses journal December 2019
Analysis of the Beaufort Gyre Freshwater Content in 2003–2018 journal December 2019
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in High‐Resolution Models journal April 2020
Contrasting Upper and Deep Ocean Oxygen Response to Protracted Global Warming journal August 2020
Rapid Cooling and Increased Storminess Triggered by Freshwater in the North Atlantic journal July 2020
Data‐Driven Equation Discovery of Ocean Mesoscale Closures journal August 2020
Eddy Kinetic Energy in the Arctic Ocean From a Global Simulation With a 1‐km Arctic journal July 2020
Do Surface Temperature Indices Reflect Centennial‐Timescale Trends in Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Strength? journal November 2020
Multi‐Year Estimates of Daily Heat Transport by the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 34.5°S journal April 2021
Synergy of In Situ and Satellite Ocean Observations in Determining Meridional Heat Transport in the Atlantic Ocean journal April 2021
120 Years of AMOC Variability Reconstructed From Observations Using the Bernoulli Inverse journal September 2021
Arctic Snow Depth, Ice Thickness, and Volume From ICESat‐2 and CryoSat‐2: 2018–2021 journal March 2022
Ocean and Sea Ice Retrievals From an End‐To‐End Simulation of the Copernicus Imaging Microwave Radiometer (CIMR) 1.4–36.5 GHz Measurements journal December 2021
Satellite‐Based Sea Surface Salinity Designed for Ocean and Climate Studies journal November 2021
Decadal Observations of Internal Wave Energy, Shear, and Mixing in the Western Arctic Ocean journal April 2022
Mechanisms and Impacts of Earth System Tipping Elements journal February 2023
A Climate Science Toolkit for High Impact‐Low Likelihood Climate Risks journal April 2023
Arrival of New Great Salinity Anomaly Weakens Convection in the Irminger Sea journal June 2022
AMOC Stabilization Under the Interaction With Tipping Polar Ice Sheets journal January 2023
Machine Learning‐Derived Inference of the Meridional Overturning Circulation From Satellite‐Observable Variables in an Ocean State Estimate journal April 2023
Why Did the 2017 Kuroshio Large Meander Event Become the Longest in the Past 70 Years? journal May 2023
Anomalous Nutricline Drives Marked Biogeochemical Contrasts During the Kuroshio Large Meander journal July 2023
Benthic phosphorus regeneration, net primary production, and ocean anoxia: A model of the coupled marine biogeochemical cycles of carbon and phosphorus journal October 1994
Solar heating of the Arctic mixed layer journal January 1995
Paleocean circulation during the Last Deglaciation: A bipolar seesaw? journal April 1998
The energetics of the plastic deformation of pack ice by ridging journal November 1975
Asynchrony of Antarctic and Greenland climate change during the last glacial period journal August 1998
Does the ocean–atmosphere system have more than one stable mode of operation? journal May 1985
High-latitude salinity effects and interhemispheric thermohaline circulations journal September 1986
Oceanic phytoplankton, atmospheric sulphur, cloud albedo and climate journal April 1987
Unpleasant surprises in the greenhouse? journal July 1987
Collapse and recovery of marine fishes journal August 2000
Sudden changes in North Atlantic circulation during the last deglaciation journal April 1992
Evidence for general instability of past climate from a 250-kyr ice-core record journal July 1993
Ecosystem changes in the North Pacific subtropical gyre attributed to the 1991–92 El Niño journal January 1995
Influence of CO2 emission rates on the stability of the thermohaline circulation journal August 1997
Recent slowing of Atlantic overturning circulation as a recovery from earlier strengthening journal May 2016
Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against journal November 2019
With the arrival of El Niño, prepare for stronger marine heatwaves journal September 2023
Ocean circulation and climate during the past 120,000 years journal September 2002
Plankton effect on cod recruitment in the North Sea journal December 2003
Decline in global oceanic oxygen content during the past five decades journal February 2017
Long-term responses of North Atlantic calcifying plankton to climate change journal December 2012
Global warming amplified by reduced sulphur fluxes as a result of ocean acidification journal August 2013
Exceptional twentieth-century slowdown in Atlantic Ocean overturning circulation journal March 2015
Future vulnerability of marine biodiversity compared with contemporary and past changes journal June 2015
Remotely sensed resilience of tropical forests journal September 2016
Influence of high-latitude atmospheric circulation changes on summertime Arctic sea ice journal March 2017
Abrupt cooling over the North Atlantic in modern climate models journal February 2017
Early warning signals of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation collapse in a fully coupled climate model journal December 2014
Large climate-driven changes of oceanic oxygen concentrations during the last deglaciation journal December 2011
The acceleration of oceanic denitrification during deglacial warming journal June 2013
Tide-mediated warming of Arctic halocline by Atlantic heat fluxes over rough topography journal February 2015
Loss of fixed nitrogen causes net oxygen gain in a warmer future ocean journal June 2019
Ocean circulation causes the largest freshening event for 120 years in eastern subpolar North Atlantic journal January 2020
Dynamic symbioses reveal pathways to coral survival through prolonged heatwaves journal December 2020
Labrador Sea freshening linked to Beaufort Gyre freshwater release journal February 2021
A committed fourfold increase in ocean oxygen loss journal April 2021
Future phytoplankton diversity in a changing climate journal September 2021
Increased risk of near term global warming due to a recent AMOC weakening journal October 2021
Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions journal March 2022
Early warning signal for a tipping point suggested by a millennial Atlantic Multidecadal Variability reconstruction journal September 2022
What the geological past can tell us about the future of the ocean’s twilight zone journal April 2023
Prediction of unprecedented biological shifts in the global ocean journal February 2019
Multiple drivers of the North Atlantic warming hole journal June 2020
Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation journal August 2021
Next-generation ensemble projections reveal higher climate risks for marine ecosystems journal October 2021
Interbasin and interhemispheric impacts of a collapsed Atlantic Overturning Circulation journal June 2022
Drivers and mechanisms of ocean deoxygenation journal June 2018
Periodic changes in the Cretaceous ocean and climate caused by marine redox see-saw journal May 2019
End-Permian marine extinction due to temperature-driven nutrient recycling and euxinia journal October 2021
Vertical decoupling in Late Ordovician anoxia due to reorganization of ocean circulation journal November 2021
Penultimate deglaciation Asian monsoon response to North Atlantic circulation collapse journal November 2021
Atlantic circulation change still uncertain journal February 2022
Recent state transition of the Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre journal May 2023
Observed fingerprint of a weakening Atlantic Ocean overturning circulation journal April 2018
Global surface warming enhanced by weak Atlantic overturning circulation journal July 2018
Global satellite-observed daily vertical migrations of ocean animals journal November 2019
Continental configuration controls ocean oxygenation during the Phanerozoic journal August 2022
Global climate-change trends detected in indicators of ocean ecology journal July 2023
SciPy 1.0: fundamental algorithms for scientific computing in Python journal February 2020
Satellite-based indicator of zooplankton distribution for global monitoring journal March 2019
Whale counting in satellite and aerial images with deep learning journal October 2019
Larval behaviour, dispersal and population connectivity in the deep sea journal June 2020
Noise-induced transitions of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP5 models journal November 2020
Complex networks of marine heatwaves reveal abrupt transitions in the global ocean journal January 2021
Tipping point realized in cod fishery journal July 2021
Spinning ice floes reveal intensification of mesoscale eddies in the western Arctic Ocean journal April 2022
Addressing the dichotomy of fishing and climate in fishery management with the FishClim model journal November 2022
Shifts in national land use and food production in Great Britain after a climate tipping point journal January 2020
Seasonality of the Meridional Overturning Circulation in the subpolar North Atlantic journal May 2023
Warming Trends and Bleaching Stress of the World’s Coral Reefs 1985–2012 journal December 2016
Hundred‐year decline of North Atlantic predatory fishes journal March 2003
Trophic cascades triggered by overfishing reveal possible mechanisms of ecosystem regime shifts journal June 2007
Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system journal February 2008
Consequences of rapid ice sheet melting on the Sahelian population vulnerability journal June 2017
The quiet crossing of ocean tipping points journal February 2021
Three decades of increasing fish biodiversity across the northeast Atlantic and the Arctic Ocean journal January 2023
Updating our understanding of climate change in the North Atlantic: the role of global warming and the Gulf Stream journal March 2011
Mapping inland water carbon content with Landsat 8 data journal June 2016
Reconstructing the Atlantic Overturning Circulation Using Linear Machine Learning Techniques journal August 2021
Arctic sea ice thickness, volume, and multiyear ice coverage: losses and coupled variability (1958–2018) journal October 2018
Assessing the impact of parametric uncertainty on tipping points of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation journal June 2022
Theoretical and paleoclimatic evidence for abrupt transitions in the Earth system journal September 2022
The future of fisheries science in management: a remote-sensing perspective journal January 2011
Seascapes as a new vernacular for pelagic ocean monitoring, management and conservation journal July 2016
Warm-water decapods and the trophic amplification of climate in the North Sea journal June 2010
Climate change impact on Balearic shearwater through a trophic cascade journal April 2011
North Sea ecosystem change from swimming crabs to seagulls journal July 2012
Basin bifurcations, oscillatory instability and rate-induced thresholds for Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a global oceanic box model
  • Alkhayuon, Hassan; Ashwin, Peter; Jackson, Laura C.
  • Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 475, Issue 2225 https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2019.0051
journal May 2019
Shifts in phenology due to global climate change: the need for a yardstick journal October 2005
Ocean deoxygenation, the global phosphorus cycle and the possibility of human-caused large-scale ocean anoxia
  • Watson, Andrew J.; Lenton, Timothy M.; Mills, Benjamin J. W.
  • Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 375, Issue 2102 https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0318
journal August 2017
Ocean (de)oxygenation from the Last Glacial Maximum to the twenty-first century: insights from Earth System models
  • Bopp, L.; Resplandy, L.; Untersee, A.
  • Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 375, Issue 2102 https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0323
journal August 2017
Theoretical basis for predicting climate-induced abrupt shifts in the oceans journal January 2015
Synchronous marine pelagic regime shifts in the Northern Hemisphere journal January 2015
New Seawater Dielectric Constant Parametrization and Application to SMOS Retrieved Salinity journal January 2023
Recovery of SMOS Salinity Variability in RFI-Contaminated Regions journal January 2024
Microwave Radiometry at Frequencies From 500 to 1400 MHz: An Emerging Technology for Earth Observations journal January 2021
Correcting Sea Surface Temperature Spurious Effects in Salinity Retrieved From Spaceborne L-Band Radiometer Measurements journal September 2021
Ten ways remote sensing can contribute to conservation journal October 2014
Essential ocean variables for global sustained observations of biodiversity and ecosystem changes journal April 2018
Exploring biogeochemical and ecological redundancy in phytoplankton communities in the global ocean journal January 2021
Phenology and time series trends of the dominant seasonal phytoplankton bloom across global scales journal January 2018
Decadal-scale regime shifts in the large marine ecosystems of the North-east Pacific: a case for historical science journal December 1994
Effects of decadal climate change on zooplankton over the last 50 years in the western subarctic North Pacific journal May 2006
Climate induced increases in species richness of marine fishes journal December 2007
Reorganization of a large marine ecosystem due to atmospheric and anthropogenic pressure: a discontinuous regime shift in the Central Baltic Sea journal May 2009
Rising variance: a leading indicator of ecological transition: Variance and ecological transition journal January 2006
Projecting global marine biodiversity impacts under climate change scenarios journal September 2009
Whales from space: Four mysticete species described using new VHR satellite imagery journal October 2018
On the risk of abrupt changes in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in CMIP6 models journal July 2021
Overlooked possibility of a collapsed Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in warming climate journal January 2017
A dynamic ocean management tool to reduce bycatch and support sustainable fisheries journal May 2018
Highly variable upper and abyssal overturning cells in the South Atlantic journal August 2020
Abrupt shifts in 21st-century plankton communities journal October 2021
Little Ice Age abruptly triggered by intrusion of Atlantic waters into the Nordic Seas journal December 2021
The Future for Fisheries journal November 2003
Trophic Cascades in a Formerly Cod-Dominated Ecosystem journal June 2005
Planktonic Foraminifera of the California Current Reflect 20th-Century Warming journal January 2006
Climate Drives Sea Change journal February 2007
Expanding Oxygen-Minimum Zones in the Tropical Oceans journal May 2008
The Evolution and Future of Earth’s Nitrogen Cycle journal October 2010
Rapid Reductions in North Atlantic Deep Water During the Peak of the Last Interglacial Period journal February 2014
Catastrophes, Phase Shifts, and Large-Scale Degradation of a Caribbean Coral Reef journal September 1994
Primary Production of the Biosphere: Integrating Terrestrial and Oceanic Components journal July 1998
CLIMATE CHANGE:The Seesaw Effect journal October 1998
Oceans on the edge of anoxia journal December 2016
Declining oxygen in the global ocean and coastal waters journal January 2018
Tracking the global footprint of fisheries journal February 2018
Late inception of a resiliently oxygenated upper ocean journal July 2018
Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points journal September 2022
The Future of Arctic Sea Ice journal May 2012
Zooplankton and the Ocean Carbon Cycle journal January 2017
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and Abrupt Climate Change journal January 2017
The Arctic Ocean's Beaufort Gyre journal January 2023
Impacts of Climate Change on Marine Foundation Species journal January 2024
How Do Marine Pelagic Species Respond to Climate Change? Theories and Observations journal January 2018
Oceanic Euxinia in Earth History: Causes and Consequences journal May 2008
Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems journal November 1973
A Dynamic Thermodynamic Sea Ice Model journal July 1979
Variations of Current Path, Velocity, and Volume Transport of the Kuroshio in Relation with the Large Meander journal December 1995
Evidence for Two Distinct Modes of Large-Scale Ocean Circulation Changes over the Last Century journal January 2010
Atmospheric Effects of the Kuroshio Large Meander during 2004–05* journal September 2010
Response of Storm Tracks to Bimodal Kuroshio Path States South of Japan journal November 2012
Wind and Wave Climate in the Arctic Ocean as Observed by Altimeters journal October 2016
Weakening of Cold Halocline Layer Exposes Sea Ice to Oceanic Heat in the Eastern Arctic Ocean journal September 2020
Fingerprints for Early Detection of Changes in the AMOC journal August 2020
Local Atmospheric Response to the Kuroshio Large Meander Path in Summer and Its Remote Influence on the Climate of Japan journal May 2021
A spatial evaluation of Arctic sea ice and regional limitations in CMIP6 historical simulations journal May 2021
AMOC stability and diverging response to Arctic sea ice decline in two climate models journal April 2021
Feedback processes modulating the sensitivity of Atlantic thermohaline circulation to freshwater forcing timescales journal March 2021
Assessment of the Pan-Arctic Accelerated Rate of Sea Ice Decline in CMIP6 Historical Simulations journal September 2023
Divergence in Climate Model Projections of Future Arctic Atlantification journal March 2023
Dynamics of the Changing Near-Inertial Internal Wave Field in the Arctic Ocean journal February 2016
New Perspectives on the Generation and Maintenance of the Kuroshio Large Meander journal August 2019
Revisit of the Occurrence of the Kuroshio Large Meander South of Japan journal December 2021
On the Release and Renewal of Freshwater in the Beaufort Gyre of the Arctic Ocean journal June 2024
On the Reset of the Wind-Forced Decadal Kuroshio Extension Variability in Late 2017 journal December 2020
Stochastic Bifurcation of the North Atlantic Circulation under a Midrange Future Climate Scenario with the NASA-GISS ModelE journal September 2023
Potential and limits for rapid genetic adaptation to warming in a Great Barrier Reef coral journal April 2018
The Mediterranean Sea Regime Shift at the End of the 1980s, and Intriguing Parallelisms with Other European Basins journal May 2010
Temperature-Correlated Changes in Phytoplankton Community Structure Are Restricted to Polar Waters journal August 2015
Correction: Improving Fishing Pattern Detection from Satellite AIS Using Data Mining and Machine Learning journal September 2016
Influence of ocean circulation and the Kuroshio large meander on the 2018 Japanese eel recruitment season journal September 2019
Influence of the Kuroshio Large Meander on the Climate around Japan Based on a Regional Climate Model journal January 2015
NOAA Arctic Report Card 2022: Executive Summary text January 2022
On large-scale shifts in the Arctic Ocean and sea-ice conditions during 1979−98 journal January 2001
Climate and the match or mismatch between predator requirements and resource availability journal April 2007
Nonlinear response of Black Sea pelagic fish stocks to over-exploitation journal September 2007
New primary production in northwest European shelf seas, 1960–2003 journal July 2008
Spatial ecology and conservation of seabirds facing global climate change: a review journal September 2009
Detecting plankton shifts in the North Sea: a new abrupt ecosystem shift between 1996 and 2003 journal April 2014
Regime shifts in marine ecosystems of the North Sea and Wadden Sea journal January 2005
Atmospheric Correction of Satellite Ocean-Color Imagery During the PACE Era journal July 2019
A Three-Dimensional Model of the Marine Nitrogen Cycle during the Last Glacial Maximum Constrained by Sedimentary Isotopes journal May 2017
Advancing Marine Biological Observations and Data Requirements of the Complementary Essential Ocean Variables (EOVs) and Essential Biodiversity Variables (EBVs) Frameworks journal June 2018
Satellite Salinity Observing System: Recent Discoveries and the Way Forward journal May 2019
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: Observed Transport and Variability journal June 2019
Toward a Coordinated Global Observing System for Seagrasses and Marine Macroalgae journal July 2019
Satellite Ocean Colour: Current Status and Future Perspective journal August 2019
Using Global-Scale Earth System Models for Regional Fisheries Applications journal August 2021
Phytoplankton Increase Along the Kuroshio Due to the Large Meander journal August 2021
A Global Ocean Oxygen Database and Atlas for Assessing and Predicting Deoxygenation and Ocean Health in the Open and Coastal Ocean journal December 2021
Global-Scale Environmental Niche and Habitat of Blue Shark (Prionace glauca) by Size and Sex: A Pivotal Step to Improving Stock Management journal April 2022
The Impact of Possible Decadal-Scale Cold Waves on Viticulture over Europe in a Context of Global Warming journal July 2019
Towards an Understanding of Large-Scale Biodiversity Patterns on Land and in the Sea journal February 2023
Correction: Balsamo, G., et al. Satellite and In Situ Observations for Advancing Global Earth Surface Modelling: A Review. Remote Sensing 2018, 10, 2038 journal April 2019
Satellite-Derived Lagrangian Transport Pathways in the Labrador Sea journal November 2023
Remote Sensing of Coral Reefs for Monitoring and Management: A Review journal February 2016
Review of Underwater Sensing Technologies and Applications journal November 2021
Using Data from Earth Observation to Support Sustainable Development Indicators: An Analysis of the Literature and Challenges for the Future journal January 2022
Thermohaline Convection with Two Stable Regimes of Flow journal January 1961
Meridional Overturning Circulation Observed by the Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (OSNAP) Array from August 2014 to June 2020 dataset January 2023
Remote climate forcing of decadal-scale regime shifts in Northwest Atlantic shelf ecosystems journal May 2013
The MUSICA IASI CH4 and N2O products and their comparison to HIPPO, GAW and NDACC FTIR references journal January 2018
Overlooked runaway feedback in the marine nitrogen cycle: the vicious cycle journal January 2013
Biogeochemistry of the North Atlantic during oceanic anoxic event 2: role of changes in ocean circulation and phosphorus input journal February 2014
Oxygen minimum zones in the tropical Pacific across CMIP5 models: mean state differences and climate change trends journal January 2015
Drivers and uncertainties of future global marine primary production in marine ecosystem models journal January 2015
Projected decreases in future marine export production: the role of the carbon flux through the upper ocean ecosystem journal January 2016
Amplification of global warming through pH dependence of DMS production simulated with a fully coupled Earth system model journal January 2017
Climate and marine biogeochemistry during the Holocene from transient model simulations journal June 2018
Phytoplankton calcifiers control nitrate cycling and the pace of transition in warming icehouse and cooling greenhouse climates journal March 2019
Dimensions of marine phytoplankton diversity journal February 2020
Trends and decadal oscillations of oxygen and nutrients at 50 to 300 m depth in the equatorial and North Pacific journal February 2020
Evaluation of ocean dimethylsulfide concentration and emission in CMIP6 models journal June 2021
Dynamics and distribution of natural and human-caused hypoxia journal January 2010
Projected 21st century decrease in marine productivity: a multi-model analysis journal January 2010
Hosed vs. unhosed: interruptions of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a global coupled model, with and without freshwater forcing journal August 2016
Abrupt cold events in the North Atlantic Ocean in a transient Holocene simulation journal January 2018
Cretaceous oceanic anoxic events prolonged by phosphorus cycle feedbacks journal April 2020
The last deglaciation: timing the bipolar seesaw journal January 2011
Ocean phosphorus inventory: large uncertainties in future projections on millennial timescales and their consequences for ocean deoxygenation journal September 2019
Assessment of a full-field initialized decadal climate prediction system with the CMIP6 version of EC-Earth journal January 2021
A model study of warming-induced phosphorus–oxygen feedbacks in open-ocean oxygen minimum zones on millennial timescales journal May 2017
Vertical distribution of chlorophyll a concentration and phytoplankton community composition from in situ fluorescence profiles: a first database for the global ocean journal October 2015
Calibration of temperature-dependent ocean microbial processes in the cGENIE.muffin (v0.9.13) Earth system model journal January 2021
An evaluation of the E3SMv1 Arctic ocean and sea-ice regionally refined model journal April 2022
Understanding AMOC stability: the North Atlantic Hosing Model Intercomparison Project journal April 2023
Arctic Ocean simulations in the CMIP6 Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) journal May 2023
Changes in ventilation of the Mediterranean Sea during the past 25 year journal January 2014
Surface predictor of overturning circulation and heat content change in the subpolar North Atlantic journal June 2019
Barotropic vorticity balance of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in an eddy-resolving model journal April 2020
On the circulation, water mass distribution, and nutrient concentrations of the western Chukchi Sea journal January 2022
On the ocean's response to enhanced Greenland runoff in model experiments: relevance of mesoscale dynamics and atmospheric coupling journal February 2023
Causes and evolution of winter polynyas north of Greenland journal January 2023
Southern Ocean polynyas and dense water formation in a high-resolution, coupled Earth system model journal July 2023
Atlantic meridional overturning circulation observed by the RAPID-MOCHA-WBTS (RAPID-Meridional Overturning Circulation and Heatflux Array-Western Boundary Time Series) array at 26N from 2004 to 2022 (v2022.1). dataset January 2023
The Great Ocean Conveyor journal January 1991
The 1976-77 Climate Shift of the Pacific Ocean journal January 1994
Recent Arctic Climate Change and Its Remote Forcing of Northwest Atlantic Shelf Ecosystems journal September 2012
Planetary Boundaries: Exploring the Safe Operating Space for Humanity journal January 2009