DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: When energy doesn’t add up: use of an energyshed framework in assessing progress towards renewable energy transitions

Journal Article · · Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability

Global progress in energy transitions to support climate mitigation goals has been slower than anticipated; this has prompted shifts away from traditional paradigms of regulated energy ownership towards a model of energy democratization by local communities and individuals. For example, in the United States, local communities in over 250 cities, counties, and states have made pledges to reach 100% renewable electrification by target dates ranging from 2020 to 2050. However, the availability of infrastructure and the competition for renewable energy resources, as well as lack of awareness of these limitations, present significant barriers to overcome. In this study, we explored a subset of 31 of these cities to assess their current electricity generation and how much further they have to go to meet their goals. Through an energyshed framework, we estimated powerplant electricity allocation to each city assuming competition for power from various renewable and non-renewable resource types, as well as look at the ‘best case scenario’ assuming 100% allocation of renewable-sourced electricity for a handful of cities in order to understand the existing and planned energy mixes for 2021 and the following 20 years. It is likely most cities will meet 10% of their energy demand with renewable energy, with best cases scenarios reaching between 35% and 65% renewable penetration, within the next 20–30 years. This highlights the need for infrastructural development in the energy sector, as well as intentional planning efforts in order to make these energy goals a reality.

Research Organization:
Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE
Grant/Contract Number:
AC05-00OR22725
OSTI ID:
2439837
Journal Information:
Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability, Journal Name: Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability Journal Issue: 1 Vol. 4; ISSN 2634-4505
Publisher:
IOP PublishingCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (22)

Classification of US Hydropower Dams by their Modes of Operation: Hydropower Modes of Operation journal February 2016
Global Biodiversity Implications of Alternative Electrification Strategies Under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways journal August 2021
Urban land teleconnections in the United States: A graphical network approach journal July 2022
Typology of future clean energy communities: An exploratory structure, opportunities, and challenges journal January 2018
Rethinking the geography of energy transitions: low carbon energy pathways through energyshed design journal April 2021
A systematic review of social innovation and community energy transitions journal June 2022
The energy futures we want: A research and policy agenda for energy transitions journal July 2022
Spatially explicit land-energy-water future scenarios for cities: Guiding infrastructure transitions for urban sustainability journal September 2019
Influence of policy discourse networks on local energy transitions journal June 2021
Cosmopolitan, dynamic, and contested energy futures: Navigating the pluralities and polarities in the energy systems of tomorrow journal January 2018
Dueling metaphors, fueling futures: “Bridge fuel” visions of coal and natural gas in the United States journal March 2020
Decision-making based on energy costs: Comparing levelized cost of energy and energy system costs journal April 2019
Sustainability guardrails for energy scenarios of the global energy transition journal August 2018
A comprehensive review of variable renewable energy levelized cost of electricity journal November 2020
The systemic impact of a transition fuel: Does natural gas help or hinder the energy transition? journal March 2021
Harnessing the power of environmental flows: Sustaining river ecosystem integrity while increasing energy potential at hydropower dams journal March 2023
City energysheds and renewable energy in the United States journal April 2019
The role of gas in transforming energy journal January 2019
Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways journal January 2020
Global hydropower expansion without building new dams journal November 2021
Flexibility From Energy Systems Integration: Supporting Synergies Among Sectors journal November 2019
An Assessment of Energy Potential at Non-Powered Dams in the United States report April 2012