DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: The 4DEnVar-based weakly coupled land data assimilation system for E3SM version 2

Journal Article · · Geoscientific Model Development (Online)

Abstract. A new weakly coupled land data assimilation (WCLDA) system based on the four-dimensional ensemble variational (4DEnVar) method is developed and applied to the fully coupled Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 2 (E3SMv2). The dimension-reduced projection four-dimensional variational (DRP-4DVar) method is employed to implement 4DVar using the ensemble technique instead of the adjoint technique. With an interest in providing initial conditions for decadal climate predictions, monthly mean anomalies of soil moisture and temperature from the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) reanalysis from 1980 to 2016 are assimilated into the land component of E3SMv2 within the coupled modeling framework with a 1-month assimilation window. The coupled assimilation experiment is evaluated using multiple metrics, including the cost function, assimilation efficiency index, correlation, root-mean-square error (RMSE), and bias, and compared with a control simulation without land data assimilation. The WCLDA system yields improved simulation of soil moisture and temperature compared with the control simulation, with improvements found throughout the soil layers and in many regions of the global land. In terms of both soil moisture and temperature, the assimilation experiment outperforms the control simulation with reduced RMSE and higher temporal correlation in many regions, especially in South America, central Africa, Australia, and large parts of Eurasia. Furthermore, significant improvements are also found in reproducing the time evolution of the 2012 US Midwest drought, highlighting the crucial role of land surface in drought lifecycle. The WCLDA system is intended to be a foundational resource for research to investigate land-derived climate predictability.

Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE
Grant/Contract Number:
AC05-76RL01830
OSTI ID:
2337554
Alternate ID(s):
OSTI ID: 2339793
Journal Information:
Geoscientific Model Development (Online), Journal Name: Geoscientific Model Development (Online) Journal Issue: 7 Vol. 17; ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher:
Copernicus GmbHCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
Germany
Language:
English

References (80)

Coupled Data Assimilation for Integrated Earth System Analysis and Prediction journal July 2017
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design journal April 2012
A Physically Based Runoff Routing Model for Land Surface and Earth System Models journal June 2013
The Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6 journal January 2016
Decadal climate predictions with a coupled OAGCM initialized with oceanic reanalyses journal August 2012
Rebound in Atmospheric Predictability and the Role of the Land Surface journal July 2012
A strategy for operational implementation of 4D-Var, using an incremental approach journal July 1994
Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization journal January 2016
Climate-mode initialization for decadal climate predictions journal September 2019
Assessing a New Coupled Data Assimilation System Based on the Met Office Coupled Atmosphere–Land–Ocean–Sea Ice Model journal November 2015
Drought indicators based on model-assimilated Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) terrestrial water storage observations: GRACE-BASED DROUGHT INDICATORS journal July 2012
Spatiotemporal characteristics and estimates of extreme precipitation in the Yangtze River Basin using GLDAS data journal September 2020
A comparison of full-field and anomaly initialization for seasonal to decadal climate prediction journal February 2013
Weakly Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Data Assimilation in the ECMWF NWP System journal January 2019
An Introduction to the E3SM Special Collection: Goals, Science Drivers, Development, and Analysis journal November 2020
Coupled data assimilation and parameter estimation in coupled ocean–atmosphere models: a review journal May 2020
ERA-Interim Project dataset January 2009
Assimilating multi-satellite snow data in ungauged Eurasia improves the simulation accuracy of Asian monsoon seasonal anomalies journal June 2020
A study of overflow simulations using MPAS-Ocean: Vertical grids, resolution, and viscosity journal December 2015
Optimising assimilation of sea ice concentration in an Earth system model with a multicategory sea ice model journal January 2018
Assimilating atmospheric observations into the ocean using strongly coupled ensemble data assimilation journal January 2016
Fluctuation regimes of soil moisture in ERA-40 re-analysis data journal March 2009
A long term global daily soil moisture dataset derived from AMSR-E and AMSR2 (2002–2019) journal May 2021
The relative influence of soil moisture and SST in climate predictability explored within ensembles of AMIP type experiments journal July 2006
Changes in the seasonal snow cover of alpine regions and its effect on soil processes: A review journal March 2007
An Energy Consistent Discretization of the Nonhydrostatic Equations in Primitive Variables journal January 2020
Fusing Landsat and MODIS Data for Vegetation Monitoring journal September 2015
Exploring strategies for coupled 4D-Var data assimilation using an idealised atmosphere–ocean model journal December 2015
Comparison of full field and anomaly initialisation for decadal climate prediction: towards an optimal consistency between the ocean and sea-ice anomaly initialisation state journal October 2016
Performance of AMSR_E soil moisture data assimilation in CLM4.5 model for monitoring hydrologic fluxes at global scale journal April 2017
Improving the downscaled springtime temperature in Central Asia through assimilating meteorological and snow cover observations journal August 2021
A new flexible coupler for earth system modeling developed for CCSM4 and CESM1 journal November 2011
Correlation-Cutoff Method for Covariance Localization in Strongly Coupled Data Assimilation journal August 2018
Strongly Coupled Data Assimilation in Multiscale Media: Experiments Using a Quasi‐Geostrophic Coupled Model journal June 2019
An evaluation study of the DRP-4-DVar approach with the Lorenz-96 model journal January 2011
Full-field and anomaly initialization using a low-order climate model: a comparison and proposals for advanced formulations journal April 2014
Hydrogeological processes in seasonally frozen northern latitudes: understanding, gaps and challenges journal October 2012
Ocean Initialization for Seasonal Forecasts journal September 2009
Assessing the Relative Roles of Initial and Boundary Conditions in Interannual to Decadal Climate Predictability journal November 2002
An application-level parallel I/O library for Earth system models journal December 2011
A New Approach for Estimating the Observation Impact in Ensemble–Variational Data Assimilation journal January 2018
Some aspects of the improvement in skill of numerical weather prediction journal January 2002
Initialization of an ENSO Forecast System Using a Parallelized Ensemble Filter journal November 2005
Multiyear climate prediction with initialization based on 4D‐Var data assimilation journal April 2016
Toward a Consistent Reanalysis of the Climate System journal August 2014
The hindcast skill of the CMIP ensembles for the surface air temperature trend: SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURE TREND BY CMIP3&5 journal August 2012
Soil moisture background error covariance and data assimilation in a coupled land‐atmosphere model journal February 2017
The Global Land Data Assimilation System journal March 2004
Multicomponent Satellite Assessment of Drought Severity in the Contiguous United States From 2002 to 2017 Using AMSR‐E and AMSR2 journal July 2019
The DOE E3SM Model Version 2: Overview of the physical model preprint April 2022
Climate and Hydrological Change Characteristics and Applicability of GLDAS Data in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China journal March 2018
Contributions of Weakly Coupled Data Assimilation–Based Land Initialization to Interannual Predictability of Summer Climate over Europe journal January 2022
An approach to localization for ensemble-based data assimilation journal January 2018
An Idealized Study of Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean 4D-Var in the Presence of Model Error journal October 2016
Hydrological consistency using multi-sensor remote sensing data for water and energy cycle studies journal February 2008
Improving the Numerical Solution of Soil Moisture–Based Richards Equation for Land Models with a Deep or Shallow Water Table journal February 2009
A new DRP-4DVar-based coupled data assimilation system for decadal predictions using a fast online localization technique journal March 2020
The Initialization of Numerical Models by a Dynamic-Initialization Technique journal December 1976
Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle journal September 2002
Potential of remote sensing surface temperature- and evapotranspiration-based land-atmosphere coupling metrics for land surface model calibration journal June 2023
Sensitivity of decadal predictions to the initial atmospheric and oceanic perturbations journal January 2012
Development of a four‐dimensional variational coupled data assimilation system for enhanced analysis and prediction of seasonal to interannual climate variations journal October 2008
Nudging, Ensemble, and Nudging Ensembles for Data Assimilation in the Presence of Model Error journal July 2015
System Design and Evaluation of Coupled Ensemble Data Assimilation for Global Oceanic Climate Studies journal October 2007
Assimilation of gridded terrestrial water storage observations from GRACE into a land surface model journal May 2016
Coupled Climate Simulation by Constraining Ocean Fields in a Coupled Model with Ocean Data journal October 2009
Soil moisture retrieval from AMSR-E journal February 2003
Improved ENSO Prediction Skill Resulting From Reduced Climate Drift in IAP‐DecPreS: A Comparison of Full‐Field and Anomaly Initializations journal January 2020
The DOE E3SM Coupled Model Version 1: Overview and Evaluation at Standard Resolution journal July 2019
Impact of quality control of satellite soil moisture data on their assimilation into land surface model journal October 2014
Comparison of Hybrid-4DEnVar and Hybrid-4DVar Data Assimilation Methods for Global NWP journal January 2015
An overview of MODIS Land data processing and product status journal November 2002
An economical approach to four-dimensional variational data assimilation journal June 2010
Important role of North Atlantic air–sea coupling in the interannual predictability of summer precipitation over the eastern Tibetan Plateau journal January 2021
Estimating Snow Water Storage in North America Using CLM4, DART, and Snow Radiance Data Assimilation journal November 2016
Detecting change in urban areas at continental scales with MODIS data journal March 2015
Reduction of initial shock in decadal predictions using a new initialization strategy: A New Initialization Strategy journal August 2017
Multi-model assessment of the impact of soil moisture initialization on mid-latitude summer predictability journal February 2017
The MODIS Aerosol Algorithm, Products, and Validation journal April 2005
A DRP‐4DVar‐Based Coupled Data Assimilation System With a Simplified Off‐Line Localization Technique for Decadal Predictions journal April 2020