Weather Systems Connecting Modes of Climate Variability to Regional Hydroclimate Extremes

Chen, Xiaodong; Leung, L. Ruby; Sun, Ning

doi:10.1029/2023GL105530

Title: Weather Systems Connecting Modes of Climate Variability to Regional Hydroclimate Extremes

Journal Article · 11 December 2023 · Geophysical Research Letters

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105530 · OSTI ID:2229803

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Atmospheric, Climate, and Earth Sciences Division Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Richland WA USA
Earth Systems Science Division Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Richland WA USA

Abstract Weather system clustering provides a high‐level summary of regional meteorological conditions. Most quantitative clustering schemes focus on precipitation alone, which does not sufficiently describe the meteorological conditions driving hydroclimate variability. This study presents the Weather Anomaly Clustering (WAC‐hydro), which extends the existing capability of predicting weather systems to predicting hydroclimate variability. Focusing on both precipitation and temperature predictions, WAC‐hydro identifies 12 clusters of daily weather anomaly modes in the US Pacific Northwest Puget Sound region during 1981–2020. The influence of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation and Madden‐Julian Oscillation on regional precipitation can be well approximated by their modulation on the weather clusters. Within each weather cluster, local factors such as topography only play a secondary role in the hydrologic variability. The weather clusters highlight two types of flood‐inducing regional weather conditions, one causing floods by inducing positive precipitation anomalies and the other causing floods through combined precipitation and temperature‐induced rain‐on‐snow effect.

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Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE

Grant/Contract Number:: NONE; AC05-76RL01830

OSTI ID:: 2229803

Alternate ID(s):: OSTI ID: 2229804; OSTI ID: 2246580

Journal Information:: Geophysical Research Letters, Journal Name: Geophysical Research Letters Journal Issue: 24 Vol. 50; ISSN 0094-8276

Publisher:: American Geophysical Union (AGU)Copyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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