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Title: Extending the predictive power of perturbative QCD using the principle of maximum conformality and the Bayesian analysis

Journal Article · · European Physical Journal. C, Particles and Fields (Online)
 [1];  [1];  [2];  [3];  [3]; ORCiD logo [3];  [4]
  1. Hunan Univ., Changsha (China)
  2. Guizhou Minzu University, Guiyang (China)
  3. Chongqing Univ. (China)
  4. SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory (SLAC), Menlo Park, CA (United States); Stanford Univ., CA (United States)

In addition to the evaluation of high-order loop contributions, the precision and predictive power of perturbative QCD (pQCD) predictions depends on two important issues: (1) how to achieve a reliable, convergent fixed-order series, and (2) how to reliably estimate the contributions of unknown higher-order terms. The recursive use of renormalization group equation, together with the Principle of Maximum Conformality (PMC), eliminates the renormalization scheme-and-scale ambiguities of the conventional pQCD series. The result is a conformal, scale-invariant series of finite order which also satisfies all of the principles of the renormalization group. In this paper we propose a novel Bayesian-based approach to estimate the size of the unknown higher order contributions based on an optimized analysis of probability distributions. We show that by using the PMC conformal series, in combination with the Bayesian analysis, one can consistently achieve high degree of reliability estimates for the unknown high order terms. Thus the predictive power of pQCD can be greatly improved. We illustrate this procedure for two pQCD observables: Re+e– and Rτ, which are each known up to four loops in pQCD. Numerical analyses confirm that by using the scale-independent and more convergent PMC conformal series, one can achieve reliable Bayesian probability estimates for the unknown higher-order contributions.

Research Organization:
SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory (SLAC), Menlo Park, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), High Energy Physics (HEP); National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC); Graduate Research and Innovation Foundation of Chongqing, China
Grant/Contract Number:
AC02-76SF00515; 11905056; 12147102; 12175025; CYB21045; ydstd1912
OSTI ID:
2001442
Report Number(s):
SLAC-PUB-17690; TRN: US2405652
Journal Information:
European Physical Journal. C, Particles and Fields (Online), Vol. 83, Issue 4; ISSN 1434-6052
Publisher:
Springer NatureCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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Figures / Tables (10)