Joint optimization of land carbon uptake and albedo can help achieve moderate instantaneous and long-term cooling effects

Graf, Alexander; Wohlfahrt, Georg; Aranda-Barranco, Sergio; Arriga, Nicola; Brümmer, Christian; Ceschia, Eric; Ciais, Philippe; Desai, Ankur R.; Di Lonardo, Sara; Gharun, Mana; Grünwald, Thomas; Hörtnagl, Lukas; Kasak, Kuno; Klosterhalfen, Anne; Knohl, Alexander; Kowalska, Natalia; Leuchner, Michael; Lindroth, Anders; Mauder, Matthias; Migliavacca, Mirco; Morel, Alexandra C.; Pfennig, Andreas; Poorter, Hendrik; Terán, Christian Poppe; Reitz, Oliver; Rebmann, Corinna; Sanchez-Azofeifa, Arturo; Schmidt, Marius; Šigut, Ladislav; Tomelleri, Enrico; Yu, Ke; Varlagin, Andrej; Vereecken, Harry

doi:10.1038/s43247-023-00958-4

Title: Joint optimization of land carbon uptake and albedo can help achieve moderate instantaneous and long-term cooling effects

Journal Article · 24 August 2023 · Communications Earth & Environment

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00958-4 · OSTI ID:1996849

;

; Mauder, Matthias;

Abstract Both carbon dioxide uptake and albedo of the land surface affect global climate. However, climate change mitigation by increasing carbon uptake can cause a warming trade-off by decreasing albedo, with most research focusing on afforestation and its interaction with snow. Here, we present carbon uptake and albedo observations from 176 globally distributed flux stations. We demonstrate a gradual decline in maximum achievable annual albedo as carbon uptake increases, even within subgroups of non-forest and snow-free ecosystems. Based on a paired-site permutation approach, we quantify the likely impact of land use on carbon uptake and albedo. Shifting to the maximum attainable carbon uptake at each site would likely cause moderate net global warming for the first approximately 20 years, followed by a strong cooling effect. A balanced policy co-optimizing carbon uptake and albedo is possible that avoids warming on any timescale, but results in a weaker long-term cooling effect.

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Research Organization:: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States). AmeriFlux

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE

Grant/Contract Number:: AC02-05CH11231

OSTI ID:: 1996849

Journal Information:: Communications Earth & Environment, Journal Name: Communications Earth & Environment Journal Issue: 1 Vol. 4; ISSN 2662-4435

Publisher:: Nature Publishing GroupCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United Kingdom

Language:: English

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