DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Modular supply chain optimization considering demand uncertainty to manage risk

Journal Article · · AIChE Journal
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/aic.17367 · OSTI ID:1976255

Supply chain under demand uncertainty has been a challenging problem due to increased competition and market volatility in modern markets. Flexibility in planning decisions makes modular manufacturing a promising way to address this problem. We report the problem of multiperiod process and supply chain network design is considered under demand uncertainty. A mixed integer two-stage stochastic programming problem is formulated with integer variables indicating the process design and continuous variables to represent the material flow in the supply chain. The problem is solved using a rolling horizon approach. Benders decomposition is used to reduce the computational complexity of the optimization problem. To promote risk-averse decisions, a downside risk measure is incorporated in the model. The results demonstrate the several advantages of modular designs in meeting product demands. A pareto-optimal curve for minimizing the objectives of expected cost and downside risk is obtained.

Research Organization:
University of Delaware, Newark, DE (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
National Science Foundation (NSF); USDOE; USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE)
Grant/Contract Number:
EE0007888
OSTI ID:
1976255
Journal Information:
AIChE Journal, Journal Name: AIChE Journal Journal Issue: 11 Vol. 67; ISSN 0001-1541
Publisher:
American Institute of Chemical EngineersCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (41)

Process synthesis optimization and flexibility evaluation of air separation cycles journal January 2005
Risk management for a global supply chain planning under uncertainty: Models and algorithms journal April 2009
Integrated multi-echelon supply chain design with inventories under uncertainty: MINLP models, computational strategies journal January 2009
Flexibility assessment and risk management in supply chains journal August 2015
Modular manufacturing processes: Status, challenges, and opportunities journal August 2017
Modular methanol manufacturing from shale gas: Techno-economic and environmental analyses of conventional large-scale production versus small-scale distributed, modular processing journal September 2017
Design standardization of unit operations for reducing the capital intensity and cost of small‐scale chemical processes journal October 2019
Distributed production: Scale‐up vs experience journal February 2020
Transformable Production Concepts: Flexible, Mobile, Decentralized, Modular, Fast journal February 2016
Net Present Value Analysis of Modular Chemical Production Plants journal March 2011
The Elements of Statistical Learning book January 2009
Modeling with Stochastic Programming book January 2012
Partitioning procedures for solving mixed-variables programming problems journal December 1962
A discontinuous derivative-free optimization framework for multi-enterprise supply chain journal June 2019
Incorporating joint confidence regions into design under uncertainty journal December 1999
A review of air separation technologies and their integration with energy conversion processes journal May 2001
Small scale, modular and continuous: A new approach in plant design journal February 2012
An overview of process systems engineering approaches for process intensification: State of the art journal November 2018
Modular Design of Carbon-Hydrogen-Oxygen Symbiosis Networks over a Time Horizon with Limited Natural Resources journal July 2019
Rolling horizon based planning and scheduling integration with production capacity consideration journal November 2010
Design of responsive supply chains under demand uncertainty journal December 2008
Optimal production planning under time-sensitive electricity prices for continuous power-intensive processes journal March 2012
Evolution of concepts and models for quantifying resiliency and flexibility of chemical processes journal November 2014
Tightening piecewise McCormick relaxations for bilinear problems journal January 2015
Simultaneous production and distribution of industrial gas supply-chains journal October 2014
Advances in surrogate based modeling, feasibility analysis, and optimization: A review journal January 2018
A simulation-based optimization framework for integrating scheduling and model predictive control, and its application to air separation units journal May 2018
A framework for supply chain optimization for modular manufacturing with production feasibility analysis journal February 2021
Biomass waste-to-energy supply chain optimization with mobile production modules journal July 2021
Value of modular production concepts in future chemical industry production networks journal August 2019
Dynamic location of modular manufacturing facilities with relocation of individual modules journal October 2020
Modular Design Optimization using Machine Learning-based Flexibility Analysis journal June 2020
Optimal Process Operations in Fast-Changing Electricity Markets: Framework for Scheduling with Low-Order Dynamic Models and an Air Separation Application journal April 2016
Exploring the Benefits of Modular Renewable-Powered Ammonia Production: A Supply Chain Optimization Study journal November 2018
Capacity Planning for Modular and Transportable Infrastructure for Shale Gas Production and Processing journal December 2018
Novel Optimization Approach of Stochastic Planning Models journal August 1994
Deterministic Framework for Robust Modular Design with Integrated-Demand Data Analysis journal October 2004
Reactive Scheduling by a Multiparametric Programming Rolling Horizon Framework: A Case of a Network of Combined Heat and Power Units journal March 2014
Data-Driven Rolling Horizon Approach for Dynamic Design of Supply Chain Distribution Networks under Disruption and Demand Uncertainty: Data-Driven Rolling Horizon Approach for Dynamic Design of Supply Chain Networks journal August 2020
Modular Chemical Process Intensification: A Review journal June 2017
A rolling horizon approach for production planning and condition-based maintenance under uncertain demand journal June 2019