DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Source Characterization of the Declared North Korean Nuclear Tests From Regional Distance Coda Wave Spectral Ratios

Journal Article · · Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth

Abstract Seismic observations of underground nuclear explosions provide crucial data on source yield and depth that cannot easily be estimated from other geophysical methods. However, it is difficult to obtain reliable yield estimates for test sites for which we do not have direct seismic calibration experiments. To obtain source information from uncalibrated sites and paths, local and regional seismic records of six, proximal, declared underground nuclear explosions in North Korea are used to compute spectral ratios of narrow‐band waveform envelopes of body‐wave coda that remove path and site effects to reveal precise, relative source moment. The yields of these explosions are obtained from the observed source ratios by simultaneously fitting the classical source model of Mueller and Murphy (1971), https://doi.org/10.1785/bssa0610061675 to all event pairs. The source model provides an impressive fit to the observations considering that the P phase coda derived source spectral ratios did not require a prior knowledge of the source or regionally calibrated corrections to be applied to the data. However, the observed corner frequencies from S wave coda spectral ratios are lower than the source model predictions, but are well fit by models calculated using the corner frequency consistent with the Fisk conjecture. The results presented here provide novel constraints on the spectral distributions of the energy radiated by the sources of the DPRK test series, and allows for an independent evaluation of existing estimated source model parameters.

Research Organization:
Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
National Science Foundation (NSF); USDOE; USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
Grant/Contract Number:
89233218CNA000001
OSTI ID:
1961721
Report Number(s):
LA-UR--22-21917; e2022JB024728
Journal Information:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, Journal Name: Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth Journal Issue: 3 Vol. 128; ISSN 2169-9313
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union (AGU)Copyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (87)

Seismic source functions from free-field ground motions recorded on SPE: Implications for source models of small, shallow explosions: EXPLOSION SOURCE FUNCTIONS journal May 2015
Types of Seismic Events and Their Source Descriptions book January 1996
Temporal change in scattering and attenuation associated with the earthquake occurrence?A review of recent studies on coda waves journal June 1988
Mantle Attenuation Estimated from Regional and Teleseismic P-waves of Deep Earthquakes and Surface Explosions journal January 2013
Depth Calculation for the January 06, 2016, the September 09, 2016 and the September 03, 2017 Nuclear Tests of North Korea from Detailed Depth Phases Using Regional and Teleseismic Arrays journal August 2018
Updates to the Regional Seismic Travel Time (RSTT) Model: 1. Tomography journal November 2020
Attenuation of shear-waves in the lithosphere for frequencies from 0.05 to 25 Hz journal January 1980
Regional phase excitation and propagation in the Lop Nor region of central Asia and implications forP/Lgdiscriminants journal January 1999
Earthquake source scaling and self-similarity estimation from stacking P and S spectra : SOURCE SCALING AND SELF-SIMILARITY journal August 2004
A new spectral ratio method using narrow band coda envelopes: Evidence for non-self-similarity in the Hector Mine sequence journal January 2007
SeismicLg-waveQtomography in and around Northeast China journal August 2010
The apparent explosion moment: Inferences of volumetric moment due to source medium damage by underground nuclear explosions journal January 2011
Yield Estimate (230 kt) for a Mueller‐Murphy Model of the 3 September 2017, North Korean Nuclear Test ( m bNEIC  = 6.3) From Teleseismic Broadband P Waves Assuming Extensive Near‐Source Damage journal October 2018
Seismic Spectral Ratios Between North Korean Nuclear Tests: Implications for Their Seismic Sources journal May 2019
The Generic Mapping Tools Version 6 journal November 2019
Yield Estimates for the Six North Korean Nuclear Tests From Teleseismic P Wave Modeling and Intercorrelation of P and Pn Recordings journal May 2019
High‐Precision Relocation With the Burial Depths of the North Korean Underground Nuclear Explosions by Combining Pn and Pg Differential Traveltimes journal June 2021
Moment, energy, stress drop, and source spectra of western United States earthquakes from regional coda envelopes journal May 1996
The explosion seismic source function: Models and scaling laws reviewed book January 1991
Analysis of the seismic coda of local earthquakes as scattered waves journal January 1969
Identification of earthquakes and explosions by use of teleseismic data journal July 1969
Seismic wave attenuation and magnitude relations for eastern North America journal February 1973
Regionalization of crustal codaQin the continental United States journal January 1983
The physical basis of m b : M s and variable frequency magnitude methods for earthquake/explosion discrimination journal January 1985
Yield estimates of nevada test site explosions obtained from seismic Lg waves journal January 1986
Comparison of amplitudes of seismic waves from nuclear explosions in four mediums journal March 1963
Nuclear decoupling, full and partial journal July 1966
Analytic approximation for the elastic radiation from a contained underground explosion journal May 1967
Array programming with NumPy journal September 2020
SciPy 1.0: fundamental algorithms for scientific computing in Python journal February 2020
The level of deterrence provided by data from the SPITS seismometer array to possible violations of the Comprehensive Test Ban in the Novaya Zemlya region journal August 2001
Seismic Scaling Law for Underground Explosions journal January 1959
Revised Geologic Site Characterization of the North Korean Test Site at Punggye-ri journal May 2015
Seismological investigation of the 2016 January 6 North Korean underground nuclear test journal June 2016
Location and source characteristics of the 2016 January 6 North Korean nuclear test constrained by InSAR journal February 2017
Vertical force scaling in seismic source models of underground nuclear explosions journal January 2020
Matplotlib: A 2D Graphics Environment journal January 2007
Estimating the yields of the Amchitka tests by waveform intercorrelation journal July 1984
Estimating explosion yield by analytical waveform comparison journal July 1985
Interpretation of high-frequency coda at large distances: stochastic modelling and method of inversion journal December 1988
Seismic yield determination of Soviet underground nuclear explosions at the Shagan River test site journal April 1992
Constraints on seismic velocities in the Earth from traveltimes journal July 1995
The rise, collapse, and compaction of Mt. Mantap from the 3 September 2017 North Korean nuclear test journal May 2018
The Production of Elastic Waves by Explosion Pressures. i. Theory and Empirical Field Observations journal April 1942
Seismological discrimination and yield estimation of the 3 September 2017 Democratic People′s Republic of Korea (DPRK) underground nuclear test journal November 2017
Accurate Locations of Nuclear Explosions at the Lop Nor Test Site Using Alignment of Seismograms and IKONOS Satellite Imagery journal December 2002
Stable and Transportable Regional Magnitudes Based on Coda-Derived Moment-Rate Spectra journal February 2003
Source Spectral Modeling of Regional P/S Discriminants at Nuclear Test Sites in China and the Former Soviet Union journal December 2006
Lg-Coda Methods Applied to Nevada Test Site Events: Spectral Peaking and Yield Estimation journal February 2009
Regional Seismic Characteristics of the 9 October 2006 North Korean Nuclear Test journal December 2008
A Crust and Upper-Mantle Model of Eurasia and North Africa for Pn Travel-Time Calculation journal March 2010
Yield Estimation of the 25 May 2009 North Korean Nuclear Explosion journal March 2012
Exploiting Regional Amplitude Envelopes: A Case Study for Earthquakes and Explosions in the Korean Peninsula journal October 2012
Seismic Source Studies for Chemical Explosions in Granite journal December 2013
Precise Relative Earthquake Magnitudes from Cross Correlation journal April 2015
Effect of Gaseous Products of Underground Chemical Explosions on Seismic Coupling journal September 2015
Phenomenology and Modeling of Explosion‐Generated Shear Energy for the Source Physics Experiments journal January 2016
Source Spectra of the First Four Source Physics Experiments (SPE) Explosions from the Frequency‐Domain Moment Tensor Inversion journal June 2016
SALSA3D: A Tomographic Model of Compressional Wave Slowness in the Earth’s Mantle for Improved Travel‐Time Prediction and Travel‐Time Prediction Uncertainty journal October 2016
Evaluation of a Seismic Event, 12 May 2010, in North Korea journal December 2016
The 9 September 2016 North Korean Underground Nuclear Test journal October 2017
Constraints of Crustal Heterogeneity and Q(f) from Regional (<4  Hz) Wave Propagation for the 2009 North Korea Nuclear Test journal March 2018
Depth Discrimination Using Rg‐to‐Sg Spectral Amplitude Ratios for Seismic Events in Utah Recorded at Local Distances journal March 2018
Discrimination of Small Earthquakes and Buried Single-Fired Chemical Explosions at Local Distances (<150  km) in the Western United States from Comparison of Local Magnitude (ML) and Coda Duration Magnitude (MC) journal October 2020
Relative Seismic Source Scaling Based on Pn Observations from the North Korean Underground Nuclear Explosions journal May 2022
The 12 February 2013 North Korean Underground Nuclear Test journal January 2014
Pisces: A Practical Seismological Database Library in Python journal July 2014
A New Experimental Field Study of the Effects of Explosive Detonation Products on Seismic Radiation journal June 2017
The Coupled Location/Depth/Yield Problem for North Korea’s Declared Nuclear Tests journal August 2018
Probing the DPRK Nuclear Test Site down to Low‐Seismic Magnitude journal August 2018
Observed Surface Disturbances Associated with the DPRK’s 3 September 2017 Underground Nuclear Test journal August 2018
Absolute Locations of the North Korean Nuclear Tests Based on Differential Seismic Arrival Times and InSAR journal August 2018
Moment Tensor Source‐Type Analysis for the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea–Declared Nuclear Explosions (2006–2017) and 3 September 2017 Collapse Event journal September 2018
Source Characteristics of North Korea’s 3 September 2017 Nuclear Test journal September 2018
Full Moment Tensor Analysis of Nuclear Explosions in North Korea journal September 2018
High‐Precision Relocation and Event Discrimination for the 3 September 2017 Underground Nuclear Explosion and Subsequent Seismic Events at the North Korean Test Site journal September 2018
Preface to the Focus Section on North Korea’s September 2017 Nuclear Test and Its Aftermath journal October 2018
Seismic and Infrasound Data Recorded at Regional Seismoacoustic Research Arrays in South Korea from the Six DPRK Underground Nuclear Explosions journal April 2022
Direct Estimation of Explosion Pn Green’s Functions Applied to Teleseismic P-wave Intercorrelations for North Korean Nuclear Tests journal January 2022
Seismic characteristics of underground nuclear detonations journal December 1971
On the estimation of seismic detection thresholds journal December 1975
Site amplification of coda waves from local earthquakes in central California journal June 1986
Application of Nuttli's method to estimate yield of Nevada Test Site explosions recorded on Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory's Digital Seismic System journal October 1988
Observations in support of Rg scattering as a source for explosion S waves: Regional and local recordings of the 1997 Kazakhstan depth of burial experiment journal April 1999
ObsPy: A Python Toolbox for Seismology journal May 2010
A Revised Magnitude and Distance Amplitude Correction (MDAC2) Procedure for Regional Seismic Discriminants: Theory and Testing at NTS report December 2001
Data Structures for Statistical Computing in Python conference January 2010