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Title: Revisiting Interior Water Mass Responses to Surface Forcing Changes and the Subsequent Effects on Overturning in the Southern Ocean

Abstract

Abstract Two coupled climate models, differing primarily in horizontal resolution and treatment of mesoscale eddies, were used to assess the impact of perturbations in wind stress and Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) melting on the Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulation (SO MOC), which plays an important role in global climate regulation. The largest impact is found in the SO MOC lower limb, associated with the formation of Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW), which in both models is enhanced by wind and weakened by AIS meltwater perturbations. Even though both models under the AIS melting perturbation show similar AABW transport reductions of 4–5 Sv (50%–60%), the volume deflation of AABW south of 30°S is four times greater in the higher resolution simulation (−20 vs. −5 Sv). Water mass transformation (WMT) analysis reveals that surface‐forced dense water formation on the Antarctic shelf is absent in the higher resolution and reduced by half in the lower resolution model in response to the increased AIS melting. However, the decline of the AABW volume (and its inter‐model difference) far exceeds the surface‐forced WMT changes alone, which indicates that the divergent model responses arise from interactions between changes in surface forcing and interior mixing processes. This model divergence demonstrates anmore » important source of uncertainty in climate modeling, and indicates that accurate shelf processes together with scenarios accounting for AIS melting are necessary for robust projections of the deep ocean's response to anthropogenic forcing.« less

Authors:
ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [1];  [2]; ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [3]; ORCiD logo [4]
  1. Princeton University Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program Princeton NJ USA, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Princeton NJ USA
  2. Princeton University Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program Princeton NJ USA, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Princeton NJ USA, Department of Earth and Environmental Science Temple University Philadelphia PA USA
  3. NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Princeton NJ USA
  4. Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Livermore CA USA
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA); National Science Foundation (NSF); National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA); UK Research and Innovation (UKRI); USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER). Earth and Environmental Systems Science Division
OSTI Identifier:
1959379
Alternate Identifier(s):
OSTI ID: 1959382; OSTI ID: 1961758
Report Number(s):
LLNL-JRNL-836389
Journal ID: ISSN 2169-9275; e2022JC019105
Grant/Contract Number:  
DE‐AC52‐07NA27344; AC52-07NA27344; B640108; PLR-1425989; 80NSSC19K1115; MR/W013835/1
Resource Type:
Published Article
Journal Name:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Oceans
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: Journal of Geophysical Research. Oceans Journal Volume: 128 Journal Issue: 3; Journal ID: ISSN 2169-9275
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Citation Formats

Tesdal, Jan‐Erik, MacGilchrist, Graeme A., Beadling, Rebecca L., Griffies, Stephen M., Krasting, John P., and Durack, Paul J. Revisiting Interior Water Mass Responses to Surface Forcing Changes and the Subsequent Effects on Overturning in the Southern Ocean. United States: N. p., 2023. Web. doi:10.1029/2022JC019105.
Tesdal, Jan‐Erik, MacGilchrist, Graeme A., Beadling, Rebecca L., Griffies, Stephen M., Krasting, John P., & Durack, Paul J. Revisiting Interior Water Mass Responses to Surface Forcing Changes and the Subsequent Effects on Overturning in the Southern Ocean. United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC019105
Tesdal, Jan‐Erik, MacGilchrist, Graeme A., Beadling, Rebecca L., Griffies, Stephen M., Krasting, John P., and Durack, Paul J. Thu . "Revisiting Interior Water Mass Responses to Surface Forcing Changes and the Subsequent Effects on Overturning in the Southern Ocean". United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC019105.
@article{osti_1959379,
title = {Revisiting Interior Water Mass Responses to Surface Forcing Changes and the Subsequent Effects on Overturning in the Southern Ocean},
author = {Tesdal, Jan‐Erik and MacGilchrist, Graeme A. and Beadling, Rebecca L. and Griffies, Stephen M. and Krasting, John P. and Durack, Paul J.},
abstractNote = {Abstract Two coupled climate models, differing primarily in horizontal resolution and treatment of mesoscale eddies, were used to assess the impact of perturbations in wind stress and Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) melting on the Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulation (SO MOC), which plays an important role in global climate regulation. The largest impact is found in the SO MOC lower limb, associated with the formation of Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW), which in both models is enhanced by wind and weakened by AIS meltwater perturbations. Even though both models under the AIS melting perturbation show similar AABW transport reductions of 4–5 Sv (50%–60%), the volume deflation of AABW south of 30°S is four times greater in the higher resolution simulation (−20 vs. −5 Sv). Water mass transformation (WMT) analysis reveals that surface‐forced dense water formation on the Antarctic shelf is absent in the higher resolution and reduced by half in the lower resolution model in response to the increased AIS melting. However, the decline of the AABW volume (and its inter‐model difference) far exceeds the surface‐forced WMT changes alone, which indicates that the divergent model responses arise from interactions between changes in surface forcing and interior mixing processes. This model divergence demonstrates an important source of uncertainty in climate modeling, and indicates that accurate shelf processes together with scenarios accounting for AIS melting are necessary for robust projections of the deep ocean's response to anthropogenic forcing.},
doi = {10.1029/2022JC019105},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research. Oceans},
number = 3,
volume = 128,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Mar 02 00:00:00 EST 2023},
month = {Thu Mar 02 00:00:00 EST 2023}
}

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  • Cerovečki, Ivana; Talley, Lynne D.; Mazloff, Matthew R.
  • Journal of Physical Oceanography, Vol. 43, Issue 7
  • DOI: 10.1175/JPO-D-12-0121.1

Summertime increases in upper-ocean stratification and mixed-layer depth
journal, March 2021


Parameterization of mixed layer eddies. III: Implementation and impact in global ocean climate simulations
journal, January 2011


Importance of wind and meltwater for observed chemical and physical changes in the Southern Ocean
journal, January 2020


The Dependence of Internal Multidecadal Variability in the Southern Ocean on the Ocean Background Mean State
journal, February 2021


What causes the spread of model projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change in response to greenhouse gas forcing?
journal, October 2020

  • Couldrey, Matthew P.; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Boeira Dias, Fabio
  • Climate Dynamics, Vol. 56, Issue 1-2
  • DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05471-4

The Southern Ocean biogeochemical divide
journal, June 2006

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  • Nature, Vol. 441, Issue 7096
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The Deep Ocean Buoyancy Budget and Its Temporal Variability
journal, January 2014

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  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 27, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-13-00016.1

Standing and Transient Eddies in the Response of the Southern Ocean Meridional Overturning to the Southern Annular Mode
journal, May 2012


Natural variability of Southern Ocean convection as a driver of observed climate trends
journal, December 2018


SPEAR: The Next Generation GFDL Modeling System for Seasonal to Multidecadal Prediction and Projection
journal, March 2020

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  • DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001895

Water Mass Transformation in the Southern Ocean of a Global Isopycnal Coordinate GCM
journal, May 2000


Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006
journal, February 2015

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  • Nature Climate Change, Vol. 5, Issue 3
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Stabilization of dense Antarctic water supply to the Atlantic Ocean overturning circulation
journal, September 2019

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  • Nature Climate Change, Vol. 9, Issue 10
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On the total input of Antarctic waters to the deep ocean: A preliminary estimate from chlorofluorocarbon measurements
journal, January 2002


Ventilation of the abyss in the Atlantic sector of the Southern Ocean
journal, March 2021

  • Akhoudas, Camille Hayatte; Sallée, Jean-Baptiste; Haumann, F. Alexander
  • Scientific Reports, Vol. 11, Issue 1
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Sea-ice transport driving Southern Ocean salinity and its recent trends
journal, August 2016

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  • Nature, Vol. 537, Issue 7618
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Parameterization of ocean eddies: Potential vorticity mixing, energetics and Arnold’s first stability theorem
journal, January 2010


Antarctic iceberg impacts on future Southern Hemisphere climate
journal, August 2019

  • Schloesser, Fabian; Friedrich, Tobias; Timmermann, Axel
  • Nature Climate Change, Vol. 9, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0546-1

Sustained Antarctic Research: A 21st Century Imperative
journal, September 2019


A Model of the Zonally Averaged Stratification and Overturning in the Southern Ocean
journal, July 2005

  • Olbers, Dirk; Visbeck, Martin
  • Journal of Physical Oceanography, Vol. 35, Issue 7
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Climate Response to External Sources of Freshwater: North Atlantic versus the Southern Ocean
journal, February 2007

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  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 20, Issue 3
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Recent wind-driven change in Subantarctic Mode Water and its impact on ocean heat storage
journal, December 2017


Anthropogenic Temperature and Salinity Changes in the Southern Ocean
journal, January 2021


Abruptly attenuated carbon sequestration with Weddell Sea dense waters by 2100
journal, June 2022


Recent Freshening, Warming, and Contraction of the Antarctic Bottom Water in the Indian Sector of the Southern Ocean
journal, November 2021


Impact of increasing antarctic glacial freshwater release on regional sea-ice cover in the Southern Ocean
journal, January 2018


High-latitude ocean ventilation and its role in Earth's climate transitions
journal, August 2017

  • Naveira Garabato, Alberto C.; MacGilchrist, Graeme A. ; Brown, Peter J.
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The polar ocean and glacial cycles in atmospheric CO2 concentration
journal, July 2010

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