Title: Dark Energy Survey year 3 results: covariance modelling and its impact on parameter estimation and quality of fit

Journal Article · · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society
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  1. Kavli Institute for Cosmology, University of Cambridge, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0HA, UK, Churchill College, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB3 0DS, UK
  2. Instituto de Física Teórica, Universidade Estadual Paulista, São Paulo, 01140-070, Brazil, Laboratório Interinstitucional de e-Astronomia – LIneA, Rua Gal. José Cristino 77, Rio de Janeiro, RJ 20921-400, Brazil
  3. Instituto de Física Teórica, Universidade Estadual Paulista, São Paulo, 01140-070, Brazil, Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
  4. Laboratório Interinstitucional de e-Astronomia – LIneA, Rua Gal. José Cristino 77, Rio de Janeiro, RJ 20921-400, Brazil, ICTP South American Institute for Fundamental Research Instituto de Física Teórica, Universidade Estadual Paulista, São Paulo, 01140-070, Brazil
  5. Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory, PO Box 500, Batavia, IL 60510, USA
  6. Department of Astronomy/Steward Observatory, University of Arizona, 933 North Cherry Avenue, Tucson, AZ 85721-0065, USA
  7. Department of Astronomy/Steward Observatory, University of Arizona, 933 North Cherry Avenue, Tucson, AZ 85721-0065, USA, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA 91109, USA
  8. Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, USA, Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, USA
  9. Kavli Institute for Particle Astrophysics and Cosmology, Stanford University, PO Box 2450, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
  10. Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Hawaii, Watanabe 416, 2505 Correa Road, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA
  11. Center for Cosmology and Astro-Particle Physics, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA, Department of Physics, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA
  12. Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
  13. Center for Cosmology and Astro-Particle Physics, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA, Institut d’Estudis Espacials de Catalunya (IEEC), E-08034 Barcelona, Spain, Institute of Space Sciences (ICE, CSIC), Campus UAB, Carrer de Can Magrans, s/n, E-08193 Barcelona, Spain
  14. Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, USA
  15. Instituto de Física Teórica, Universidade Estadual Paulista, São Paulo, 01140-070, Brazil
  16. Argonne National Laboratory, 9700 South Cass Avenue, Lemont, IL 60439, USA
  17. Physics Department, 2320 Chamberlin Hall, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 1150 University Avenue, Madison, WI 53706-1390, USA
  18. Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA
  19. SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory, Menlo Park, CA 94025, USA
  20. Department of Physics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15312, USA
  21. Instituto de Astrofisica de Canarias, E-38205 La Laguna, Tenerife, Spain, Departamento Astrofísica, Universidad de La Laguna, E-38206 La Laguna, Tenerife, Spain
  22. Department of Astronomy, University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, 1002 West Green Street, Urbana, IL 61801, USA, National Center for Supercomputing Applications, 1205 West Clark Street, Urbana, IL 61801, USA
  23. Center for Cosmology and Astro-Particle Physics, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA
  24. Jodrell Bank Center for Astrophysics, School of Physics and Astronomy, University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester M13 9PL, UK
  25. Institut d’Estudis Espacials de Catalunya (IEEC), E-08034 Barcelona, Spain, Institute of Space Sciences (ICE, CSIC), Campus UAB, Carrer de Can Magrans, s/n, E-08193 Barcelona, Spain
  26. Department of Astronomy, University of California, Berkeley, 501 Campbell Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA, Santa Cruz Institute for Particle Physics, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA
  27. Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory, PO Box 500, Batavia, IL 60510, USA, Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, USA, Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, USA
  28. Department of Physics & Astronomy, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK
  29. Santa Cruz Institute for Particle Physics, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA
  30. Institut de Física d’Altes Energies (IFAE), The Barcelona Institute of Science and Technology, Campus UAB, E-08193 Bellaterra (Barcelona), Spain
  31. Kavli Institute for Particle Astrophysics and Cosmology, Stanford University, PO Box 2450, Stanford, CA 94305, USA, SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory, Menlo Park, CA 94025, USA, Department of Physics, Stanford University, 382 Via Pueblo Mall, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
  32. Département de Physique Théorique and Center for Astroparticle Physics, Université de Genève, 24 Quai Ernest Ansermet, CH-1211 Geneva, Switzerland
  33. Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB3 0WA, UK
  34. Department of Physics, Stanford University, 382 Via Pueblo Mall, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
  35. Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, USA
  36. Kavli Institute for Particle Astrophysics and Cosmology, Stanford University, PO Box 2450, Stanford, CA 94305, USA, SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory, Menlo Park, CA 94025, USA
  37. Centro de Investigaciones Energéticas, Medioambientales y Tecnológicas (CIEMAT), Madrid, 28040, Spain
  38. Brookhaven National Laboratory, Bldg 510, Upton, NY 11973, USA
  39. Department of Physics, Duke University Durham, Durham, NC 27708, USA
  40. Laboratório Interinstitucional de e-Astronomia – LIneA, Rua Gal. José Cristino 77, Rio de Janeiro, RJ 20921-400, Brazil, Departamento de Física Matemática, Instituto de Física, Universidade de São Paulo, CP 66318, São Paulo, SP 05314-970, Brazil
  41. Instituto de Fisica Teorica UAM/CSIC, Universidad Autonoma de Madrid, E-28049 Madrid, Spain
  42. Institute of Cosmology and Gravitation, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth PO1 3FX, UK
  43. CNRS, UMR 7095, Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris, F-75014 Paris, France, Sorbonne Universités, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR 7095, Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris, F-75014 Paris, France
  44. Department of Physics and Astronomy, Pevensey Building, University of Sussex, Brighton BN1 9QH, UK
  45. INAF – Osservatorio Astronomico di Trieste, Via G. B. Tiepolo 11, I-34143 Trieste, Italy, Institute for Fundamental Physics of the Universe, Via Beirut 2, I-34014 Trieste, Italy
  46. Laboratório Interinstitucional de e-Astronomia – LIneA, Rua Gal. José Cristino 77, Rio de Janeiro, RJ 20921-400, Brazil, Observatório Nacional, Rua Gal. José Cristino 77, Rio de Janeiro, RJ 20921-400, Brazil
  47. Department of Physics, IIT Hyderabad, Kandi, Telangana 502285, India
  48. Laboratório Interinstitucional de e-Astronomia – LIneA, Rua Gal. José Cristino 77, Rio de Janeiro, RJ 20921-400, Brazil, Department of Astronomy, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
  49. Institute of Theoretical Astrophysics, University of Oslo, PO Box 1029 Blindern, NO-0315 Oslo, Norway
  50. Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory, PO Box 500, Batavia, IL 60510, USA, Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, USA
  51. Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA, Department of Astronomy, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
  52. Kavli Institute for Cosmology, University of Cambridge, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0HA, UK, Institute of Astronomy, University of Cambridge, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0HA, UK
  53. School of Mathematics and Physics, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD 4072, Australia
  54. Center for Astrophysics | Harvard & Smithsonian, 60 Garden Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
  55. Australian Astronomical Optics, Macquarie University, North Ryde, NSW 2113, Australia, Lowell Observatory, 1400 Mars Hill Road, Flagstaff, AZ 86001, USA
  56. Instituto de Física Teórica, Universidade Estadual Paulista, São Paulo, 01140-070, Brazil, Departamento de Física Matemática, Instituto de Física, Universidade de São Paulo, CP 66318, São Paulo, SP 05314-970, Brazil
  57. Institut de Física d’Altes Energies (IFAE), The Barcelona Institute of Science and Technology, Campus UAB, E-08193 Bellaterra (Barcelona), Spain, Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats, E-08010 Barcelona, Spain
  58. National Center for Supercomputing Applications, 1205 West Clark Street, Urbana, IL 61801, USA, Institute of Astronomy, University of Cambridge, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0HA, UK
  59. Department of Astrophysical Sciences, Princeton University, Peyton Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA
  60. School of Physics and Astronomy, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK
  61. Computer Science and Mathematics Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37831, USA
  62. Max Planck Institute for Extraterrestrial Physics, Giessenbachstrasse, D-85748 Garching, Germany, Universitäts-Sternwarte, Fakultät für Physik, Ludwig-Maximilians Universität München, Scheinerstr 1, D-81679 München, Germany

ABSTRACT We describe and test the fiducial covariance matrix model for the combined two-point function analysis of the Dark Energy Survey Year 3 (DES-Y3) data set. Using a variety of new ansatzes for covariance modelling and testing, we validate the assumptions and approximations of this model. These include the assumption of Gaussian likelihood, the trispectrum contribution to the covariance, the impact of evaluating the model at a wrong set of parameters, the impact of masking and survey geometry, deviations from Poissonian shot noise, galaxy weighting schemes, and other sub-dominant effects. We find that our covariance model is robust and that its approximations have little impact on goodness of fit and parameter estimation. The largest impact on best-fitting figure-of-merit arises from the so-called fsky approximation for dealing with finite survey area, which on average increases the χ2 between maximum posterior model and measurement by $$3.7{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$$ (Δχ2 ≈ 18.9). Standard methods to go beyond this approximation fail for DES-Y3, but we derive an approximate scheme to deal with these features. For parameter estimation, our ignorance of the exact parameters at which to evaluate our covariance model causes the dominant effect. We find that it increases the scatter of maximum posterior values for Ωm and σ8 by about $$3{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$$ and for the dark energy equation-of-state parameter by about $$5{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$$.

Research Organization:
Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States); Arizona U., Astron. Dept. - Steward Observ.; Barcelona, IEEC; Barcelona, IFAE; Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL), Upton, NY (United States); Caltech, JPL; Cambridge U.; Cambridge U., DAMTP; Cambridge U., Inst. of Astron.; Cambridge U., KICC; Carnegie Mellon U.; Chicago U., Astron. Astrophys. Ctr.; Chicago U., KICP; Duke U.; Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory (FNAL), Batavia, IL (United States); Garching, Max Planck Inst., MPE; Geneva U., Dept. Theor. Phys.; Harvard-Smithsonian Ctr. Astrophys.; IAC, La Laguna; ICE, Bellaterra; ICREA, Barcelona; ICTP-SAIFR, Sao Paulo; Illinois U., Urbana, Astron. Dept.; Indian Inst. Tech., Hyderabad; Inst. Astron., Honolulu; Inst. Theor. Astrophys., Oslo; Jodrell Bank; LIneA, Rio de Janeiro; Laguna U., Tenerife; Lowell Observ.; Macquarie U.; Madrid, CIEMAT; Madrid, IFT; Michigan U.; Munich U.; NCSA, Urbana; Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States); Ohio State U.; Ohio State U., CCAPP; Paris, Inst. Astrophys.; Pennsylvania U.; Portsmouth U., ICG; Princeton U., Astrophys. Sci. Dept.; Queensland U.; Rio de Janeiro Observ.; SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory (SLAC), Menlo Park, CA (United States); Sao Paulo U.; Sao Paulo, IFT; Southampton U.; Stanford U., Phys. Dept.; Sussex U.; Trieste Observ.; Trieste U.; UC, Berkeley, Astron. Dept.; UC, Santa Cruz, Inst. Part. Phys.; Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI (United States); University Coll. London; Wisconsin U., Madison
Sponsoring Organization:
US Department of Energy; USDOE; USDOE Office of Science (SC), High Energy Physics (HEP)
Contributing Organization:
DES Collaboration
Grant/Contract Number:
AC02-07CH11359; AC05-00OR22725; SC0019193
OSTI ID:
1826647
Report Number(s):
DES-2019-0466; FERMILAB-PUB-20-663-E-SCD-V
Journal Information:
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, Journal Name: Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Journal Issue: 3 Vol. 508; ISSN 0035-8711
Publisher:
Oxford University PressCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United Kingdom
Language:
English

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