Title: Detecting hidden layers from spreading dynamics on complex networks

Journal Article · · Physical Review. E

When dealing with spreading processes on networks it can be of the utmost importance to test the reliability of data and identify potential unobserved spreading paths. In this paper we address these problems and propose methods for hidden layer identification and reconstruction. We also explore the interplay between difficulty of the task and the structure of the multilayer network describing the whole system where the spreading process occurs. Our methods stem from an exact expression for the likelihood of a cascade in the susceptible-infected model on an arbitrary graph. We then show that by imploring statistical properties of unimodal distributions and simple heuristics describing joint likelihood of a series of cascades one can obtain an estimate of both existence of a hidden layer and its content with success rates far exceeding those of a null model. Furthermore, we conduct our analyses on both synthetic and real-world networks providing evidence for the viability of the approach presented.

Research Organization:
Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
LDRD
Grant/Contract Number:
89233218CNA000001
OSTI ID:
1825444
Report Number(s):
LA-UR-21-21525
Journal Information:
Physical Review. E, Journal Name: Physical Review. E Journal Issue: 2 Vol. 104; ISSN 2470-0045
Publisher:
American Physical Society (APS)Copyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (37)

The Three Sigma Rule journal May 1994
Emergence of Scaling in Random Networks journal October 1999
Learning the graph of epidemic cascades
  • Netrapalli, Praneeth; Sanghavi, Sujay
  • Proceedings of the 12th ACM SIGMETRICS/PERFORMANCE joint international conference on Measurement and Modeling of Computer Systems https://doi.org/10.1145/2254756.2254783
conference June 2012
Iterative learning of graph connectivity from partially-observed cascade samples
  • Woo, Jiin; Ok, Jungseul; Yi, Yung
  • Proceedings of the Twenty-First International Symposium on Theory, Algorithmic Foundations, and Protocol Design for Mobile Networks and Mobile Computing https://doi.org/10.1145/3397166.3409130
conference October 2020
Power-law distributions in empirical data text January 2007
Reconstructing parameters of spreading models from partial observations preprint January 2016
Prediction-Centric Learning of Independent Cascade Dynamics from Partial Observations preprint January 2020
The basic SI model journal January 2006
Optimizing sensors placement in complex networks for localization of hidden signal source: A review journal November 2020
Impact of interactions between layers on source localization in multilayer networks journal November 2021
The structure and dynamics of multilayer networks journal November 2014
Fundamentals of spreading processes in single and multilayer complex networks journal October 2018
Dynamical Processes on Complex Networks book January 2008
Collective dynamics of ‘small-world’ networks journal June 1998
Ranking in interconnected multilayer networks reveals versatile nodes journal April 2015
The physics of spreading processes in multilayer networks journal August 2016
Scale-free networks are rare journal March 2019
Missing and spurious interactions and the reconstruction of complex networks journal December 2009
Chebyshev Inequality with Estimated Mean and Variance journal May 1984
Social Structure from Multiple Networks. I. Blockmodels of Roles and Positions journal January 1976
Multilayer networks journal July 2014
Network reconstruction from infection cascades journal February 2019
Spectral properties of the Laplacian of multiplex networks journal September 2013
Phase transitions in the q -voter model with noise on a duplex clique journal November 2015
Community detection, link prediction, and layer interdependence in multilayer networks journal April 2017
Tricriticality in the q -neighbor Ising model on a partially duplex clique journal December 2017
Diffusion Dynamics on Multiplex Networks journal January 2013
Mathematical Formulation of Multilayer Networks journal December 2013
Multiplex Decomposition of Non-Markovian Dynamics and the Hidden Layer Reconstruction Problem journal August 2018
Epidemic processes in complex networks journal August 2015
Emergence of Scaling in Random Networks journal October 1999
Power-Law Distributions in Empirical Data journal November 2009
Inferring Networks of Diffusion and Influence journal February 2012
Learning the graph of epidemic cascades journal June 2012
An Introduction to the Bootstrap book May 1994
The Three Sigma Rule journal May 1994
A Veritable Zoology of Successive Phase Transitions in the Asymmetric q-Voter Model on Multiplex Networks journal September 2020