Periodicity Analysis of Earthquake Occurrence and Hypocenter Depth Near Parkfield, California, 1994–2002 Versus 2006–2014
Abstract
In central California, periodic earthquake occurrence suggests a relationship with annual hydrological, atmospheric, thermal, and tidal loadings. Here, in catalogs of declustered earthquakes within 100 km from Parkfield, CA, we study a semiannual periodicity for the monthly number of ≤7.2-km-deep earthquakes and the monthly median hypocenter depth over 1994–2002 and 2006–2014. Peak-trough months in fitted periodic components differ between time spans and event populations. Deeper earthquakes present no semiannual and a weak annual periodicity. Although modeled pore pressure shows a Spring peak, when added to the elastic Coulomb stress from surface hydrospheric loads, it fails to predict a 6-month periodicity for 2006–2014. In 1994–2002, the pore-pressure amplitude appears to be of same order as the elastic stress and may have had a stronger effect. In 2006–2014, we did not find load model parameters explaining the observed pattern or apparent changes following the 2003 San Simeon and 2004 Parkfield earthquakes.
- Authors:
-
[1];
[2];
[3]
- McGill Univ., Montreal, QC (Canada)
- Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States); Univ. of California, San Diego, CA (United States)
- Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA (United States)
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) Program; USGS; Southern California Earthquake Center; National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA); National Science Foundation (NSF)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1814787
- Report Number(s):
- LA-UR-20-29073
Journal ID: ISSN 0094-8276
- Grant/Contract Number:
- 89233218CNA000001; G15AP00106; 15005; NNX17AE01G; 1725344
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 48; Journal Issue: 3; Journal ID: ISSN 0094-8276
- Publisher:
- American Geophysical Union
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 58 GEOSCIENCES; CA; earthquake numbers; elastic hydrospheric load model; hypocenter depth; periodicities and signal modulation; pore pressure model; seismicity near parkfield
Citation Formats
Dutilleul, Pierre, Johnson, Christopher W., and Bürgmann, Roland. Periodicity Analysis of Earthquake Occurrence and Hypocenter Depth Near Parkfield, California, 1994–2002 Versus 2006–2014. United States: N. p., 2021.
Web. doi:10.1029/2020gl089673.
Dutilleul, Pierre, Johnson, Christopher W., & Bürgmann, Roland. Periodicity Analysis of Earthquake Occurrence and Hypocenter Depth Near Parkfield, California, 1994–2002 Versus 2006–2014. United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl089673
Dutilleul, Pierre, Johnson, Christopher W., and Bürgmann, Roland. Tue .
"Periodicity Analysis of Earthquake Occurrence and Hypocenter Depth Near Parkfield, California, 1994–2002 Versus 2006–2014". United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl089673. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1814787.
@article{osti_1814787,
title = {Periodicity Analysis of Earthquake Occurrence and Hypocenter Depth Near Parkfield, California, 1994–2002 Versus 2006–2014},
author = {Dutilleul, Pierre and Johnson, Christopher W. and Bürgmann, Roland},
abstractNote = {In central California, periodic earthquake occurrence suggests a relationship with annual hydrological, atmospheric, thermal, and tidal loadings. Here, in catalogs of declustered earthquakes within 100 km from Parkfield, CA, we study a semiannual periodicity for the monthly number of ≤7.2-km-deep earthquakes and the monthly median hypocenter depth over 1994–2002 and 2006–2014. Peak-trough months in fitted periodic components differ between time spans and event populations. Deeper earthquakes present no semiannual and a weak annual periodicity. Although modeled pore pressure shows a Spring peak, when added to the elastic Coulomb stress from surface hydrospheric loads, it fails to predict a 6-month periodicity for 2006–2014. In 1994–2002, the pore-pressure amplitude appears to be of same order as the elastic stress and may have had a stronger effect. In 2006–2014, we did not find load model parameters explaining the observed pattern or apparent changes following the 2003 San Simeon and 2004 Parkfield earthquakes.},
doi = {10.1029/2020gl089673},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
number = 3,
volume = 48,
place = {United States},
year = {Tue Jan 12 00:00:00 EST 2021},
month = {Tue Jan 12 00:00:00 EST 2021}
}
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