Bayesian parameterisation of a regional photovoltaic model – Application to forecasting

Saint-Drenan, Yves-Marie; Vogt, Stephan; Killinger, Sven; Bright, Jamie M.; Fritz, Rafael; Potthast, Roland

doi:10.1016/j.solener.2019.06.053

Title: Bayesian parameterisation of a regional photovoltaic model – Application to forecasting

Journal Article · 31 July 2019 · Solar Energy

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2019.06.053 · OSTI ID:1776198

; Vogt, Stephan; Killinger, Sven; Bright, Jamie M.; Fritz, Rafael; Potthast, Roland

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Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE Office of Electricity (OE), Advanced Grid Research & Development. Power Systems Engineering Research

OSTI ID:: 1776198

Journal Information:: Solar Energy, Journal Name: Solar Energy Journal Issue: C Vol. 188; ISSN 0038-092X

Publisher:: ElsevierCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

References (10)

Regional PV power prediction for improved grid integration Lorenz, Elke; Scheidsteger, Thomas; Hurka, Johannes Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications, Vol. 19, Issue 7 https://doi.org/10.1002/pip.1033	journal	September 2010
Regional forecasts of photovoltaic power generation according to different data availability scenarios: a study of four methods: Regional forecasts of photovoltaic power generation Fonseca Junior, Joao Gari da Silva; Oozeki, Takashi; Ohtake, Hideaki Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications, Vol. 23, Issue 10 https://doi.org/10.1002/pip.2528	journal	August 2014
Long Term Satellite Global, Beam and Diffuse Irradiance Validation Ineichen, Pierre Energy Procedia, Vol. 48 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2014.02.179	journal	January 2014
Forecasting Regional Photovoltaic Power Generation - A Comparison of Strategies to Obtain One-Day-Ahead Data Junior, Joao Gari da Silva Fonseca; Oozeki, Takashi; Ohtake, Hideaki Energy Procedia, Vol. 57 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2014.10.124	journal	January 2014
Regional forecasts and smoothing effect of photovoltaic power generation in Japan: An approach with principal component analysis da Silva Fonseca Junior, Joao Gari; Oozeki, Takashi; Ohtake, Hideaki Renewable Energy, Vol. 68 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2014.02.018	journal	August 2014
Comparison between meteorological re-analyses from ERA-Interim and MERRA and measurements of daily solar irradiation at surface Boilley, Alexandre; Wald, Lucien Renewable Energy, Vol. 75 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2014.09.042	journal	March 2015
A probabilistic approach to the estimation of regional photovoltaic power production Saint-Drenan, Y. M.; Good, G. H.; Braun, M. Solar Energy, Vol. 147 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2017.03.007	journal	May 2017
Reconciling solar forecasts: Temporal hierarchy Yang, Dazhi; Quan, Hao; Disfani, Vahid R. Solar Energy, Vol. 158 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2017.09.055	journal	December 2017
On the search for representative characteristics of PV systems: Data collection and analysis of PV system azimuth, tilt, capacity, yield and shading Killinger, Sven; Lingfors, David; Saint-Drenan, Yves-Marie Solar Energy, Vol. 173 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2018.08.051	journal	October 2018
Modeling hourly electricity generation from PV and wind plants in Europe Schubert, Gerda 2012 9th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM 2012) https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2012.6254782	conference	May 2012

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