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Title: Reply to Comment by Mandel et al. on “Numerically Bounded Linguistic Probability Schemes Are Unlikely to Communicate Uncertainty Effectively”

Journal Article · · Earth's Future
ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [3]; ORCiD logo [4]
  1. Univ. of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC (Australia). ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes and School of Earth Science
  2. Univ. of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW (Australia). ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes and Climate Change Research Centre
  3. Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
  4. ACT Commissioner for Sustainability and the Environment, Canberra, ACT (Australia)

We thank the Comment's authors for their considered critique of our paper. We respond to their main criticisms and hope that this discussion motivates further consideration of communication strategies for event attribution analyses.

Research Organization:
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER); USDOE
Grant/Contract Number:
AC02-05CH11231; DE‐AC02‐05CH11231
OSTI ID:
1760027
Alternate ID(s):
OSTI ID: 1786850; OSTI ID: 1827915
Journal Information:
Earth's Future, Vol. 9, Issue 1; ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union (AGU)Copyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (4)

Toward Calibrated Language for Effectively Communicating the Results of Extreme Event Attribution Studies journal September 2019
Representing and communicating deep uncertainty in climate-change assessments journal March 2005
Anthropogenic and Natural Influences on Record 2016 Marine Heat waves journal January 2018
Communicating uncertainty: lessons learned and suggestions for climate change assessment journal March 2005

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