skip to main content
DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Understanding Differences in California Climate Projections Produced by Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling

Authors:
 [1]; ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [2];  [3]; ORCiD logo [1];  [1]; ORCiD logo [1];  [2]
  1. Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Institute of the Environment and Sustainability University of California Los Angeles CA USA
  2. Scripps Institution of Oceanography University of California, San Diego San Diego CA USA
  3. Civil Engineering Department University of Santa Clara Santa Clara CA USA
Publication Date:
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
1670482
Alternate Identifier(s):
OSTI ID: 1786821
Grant/Contract Number:  
DE‐SC0014061
Resource Type:
Published Article
Journal Name:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Journal Volume: 125 Journal Issue: 19; Journal ID: ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

Citation Formats

Walton, Daniel, Berg, Neil, Pierce, David, Maurer, Ed, Hall, Alex, Lin, Yen‐Heng, Rahimi, Stefan, and Cayan, Dan. Understanding Differences in California Climate Projections Produced by Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling. United States: N. p., 2020. Web. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD032812.
Walton, Daniel, Berg, Neil, Pierce, David, Maurer, Ed, Hall, Alex, Lin, Yen‐Heng, Rahimi, Stefan, & Cayan, Dan. Understanding Differences in California Climate Projections Produced by Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling. United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD032812
Walton, Daniel, Berg, Neil, Pierce, David, Maurer, Ed, Hall, Alex, Lin, Yen‐Heng, Rahimi, Stefan, and Cayan, Dan. Mon . "Understanding Differences in California Climate Projections Produced by Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling". United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD032812.
@article{osti_1670482,
title = {Understanding Differences in California Climate Projections Produced by Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling},
author = {Walton, Daniel and Berg, Neil and Pierce, David and Maurer, Ed and Hall, Alex and Lin, Yen‐Heng and Rahimi, Stefan and Cayan, Dan},
abstractNote = {},
doi = {10.1029/2020JD032812},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},
number = 19,
volume = 125,
place = {United States},
year = {2020},
month = {10}
}

Journal Article:
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record
https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD032812

Save / Share:

Works referenced in this record:

Surrogate climate-change scenarios for regional climate models
journal, March 1996

  • Schär, Christoph; Frei, Christoph; Lüthi, Daniel
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 23, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1029/96GL00265

Projection of global warming onto regional precipitation over Mongolia using a regional climate model
journal, January 2007


Averaging Techniques in Long-Range Weather Forecasting
journal, July 1981


A One-Dimensional Entraining/Detraining Plume Model and Its Application in Convective Parameterization
journal, December 1990


Precipitation regime change in Western North America: The role of Atmospheric Rivers
journal, July 2019

  • Gershunov, Alexander; Shulgina, Tamara; Clemesha, Rachel E. S.
  • Scientific Reports, Vol. 9, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-46169-w

A Long-Term Hydrologically Based Dataset of Land Surface Fluxes and States for the Conterminous United States: Update and Extensions
journal, December 2013


Review of scenario selection and downscaling methods for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrology in the United States pacific northwest
journal, January 2007

  • Salathe, Eric P.; Mote, Philip W.; Wiley, Matthew W.
  • International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 27, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1002/joc.1540

Climate information websites: an evolving landscape
journal, May 2017

  • Hewitson, Bruce; Waagsaether, Katinka; Wohland, Jan
  • WIREs Climate Change, Vol. 8, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.1002/wcc.470

North American Regional Reanalysis
journal, March 2006

  • Mesinger, Fedor; DiMego, Geoff; Kalnay, Eugenia
  • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 87, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-87-3-343

Evaluating the performance and utility of regional climate models: the PRUDENCE project
journal, March 2007

  • Christensen, Jens H.; Carter, Timothy R.; Rummukainen, Markku
  • Climatic Change, Vol. 81, Issue S1
  • DOI: 10.1007/s10584-006-9211-6

A Comparison of Statistical and Dynamical Downscaling of Winter Precipitation over Complex Terrain
journal, January 2012

  • Gutmann, Ethan D.; Rasmussen, Roy M.; Liu, Changhai
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 25, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1175/2011JCLI4109.1

Twenty-First-Century Precipitation Changes over the Los Angeles Region
journal, January 2015


Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave
journal, July 1997

  • Mlawer, Eli J.; Taubman, Steven J.; Brown, Patrick D.
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 102, Issue D14
  • DOI: 10.1029/97JD00237

Explicit Forecasts of Winter Precipitation Using an Improved Bulk Microphysics Scheme. Part II: Implementation of a New Snow Parameterization
journal, December 2008

  • Thompson, Gregory; Field, Paul R.; Rasmussen, Roy M.
  • Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 136, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1175/2008MWR2387.1

Probabilistic estimates of future changes in California temperature and precipitation using statistical and dynamical downscaling
journal, March 2012


Atmospheric Predictability as Revealed by Naturally Occurring Analogues
journal, July 1969


California Winter Precipitation Change under Global Warming in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 Ensemble
journal, September 2013

  • Neelin, J. David; Langenbrunner, Baird; Meyerson, Joyce E.
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, Issue 17
  • DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00514.1

Statistical downscaling skill under present climate conditions: A synthesis of the VALUE perfect predictor experiment
journal, October 2018

  • Maraun, Douglas; Widmann, Martin; Gutiérrez, José M.
  • International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 39, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1002/joc.5877

The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble Project: A Community Resource for Studying Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Climate Variability
journal, August 2015

  • Kay, J. E.; Deser, C.; Phillips, A.
  • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 96, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00255.1

Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling
journal, January 2007

  • Fowler, H. J.; Blenkinsop, S.; Tebaldi, C.
  • International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 27, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1002/joc.1556

Robust Responses of the Hydrological Cycle to Global Warming
journal, November 2006

  • Held, Isaac M.; Soden, Brian J.
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, Issue 21
  • DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3990.1

The community Noah land surface model with multiparameterization options (Noah-MP): 1. Model description and evaluation with local-scale measurements
journal, January 2011

  • Niu, Guo-Yue; Yang, Zong-Liang; Mitchell, Kenneth E.
  • Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 116, Issue D12
  • DOI: 10.1029/2010JD015139

Statistical downscaling and dynamical downscaling of regional climate in China: Present climate evaluations and future climate projections: COMPARISON OF TWO DOWNSCALING METHODS
journal, March 2016

  • Tang, Jianping; Niu, Xiaorui; Wang, Shuyu
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 121, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.1002/2015JD023977

Introduction to special section: Regional Climate Modeling Revisited
journal, March 1999

  • Giorgi, Filippo; Mearns, Linda O.
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 104, Issue D6
  • DOI: 10.1029/98JD02072

Utility of daily vs. monthly large-scale climate data: an intercomparison of two statistical downscaling methods
journal, January 2007

  • Maurer, E. P.; Hidalgo, H. G.
  • Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, Vol. 4, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.5194/hessd-4-3413-2007

Significant and Inevitable End-of-Twenty-First-Century Advances in Surface Runoff Timing in California’s Sierra Nevada
journal, December 2017

  • Schwartz, Marla; Hall, Alex; Sun, Fengpeng
  • Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 18, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0257.1

Bias Correction, Quantile Mapping, and Downscaling: Revisiting the Inflation Issue
journal, March 2013


Dynamical controls on the diurnal cycle of temperature in complex topography
journal, March 2007


High-Resolution Coupled Climate Runoff Simulations of Seasonal Snowfall over Colorado: A Process Study of Current and Warmer Climate
journal, June 2011

  • Rasmussen, Roy; Liu, Changhai; Ikeda, Kyoko
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 24, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3985.1

Improved Bias Correction Techniques for Hydrological Simulations of Climate Change
journal, December 2015

  • Pierce, David W.; Cayan, Daniel R.; Maurer, Edwin P.
  • Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 16, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0236.1

Regional Climate Models Add Value to Global Model Data: A Review and Selected Examples
journal, September 2011

  • Feser, Frauke; Rockel, Burkhardt; von Storch, Hans
  • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 92, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1175/2011BAMS3061.1

Statistical Downscaling Using Localized Constructed Analogs (LOCA)
journal, December 2014

  • Pierce, David W.; Cayan, Daniel R.; Thrasher, Bridget L.
  • Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 15, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0082.1

Downscaling general circulation model output: a review of methods and limitations
journal, December 1997

  • Wilby, R. L.; Wigley, T. M. L.
  • Progress in Physical Geography: Earth and Environment, Vol. 21, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1177/030913339702100403

Long-range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern United States
journal, January 2002


How will orographic precipitation respond to surface warming? An idealized thermodynamic perspective
journal, April 2014

  • Siler, Nicholas; Roe, Gerard
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 41, Issue 7
  • DOI: 10.1002/2013GL059095

A spatially comprehensive, hydrometeorological data set for Mexico, the U.S., and Southern Canada 1950–2013
journal, August 2015

  • Livneh, Ben; Bohn, Theodore J.; Pierce, David W.
  • Scientific Data, Vol. 2, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1038/sdata.2015.42

Climate and Climate Change over North America as Simulated by the Canadian RCM
journal, July 2006

  • Plummer, D. A.; Caya, D.; Frigon, A.
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, Issue 13
  • DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3769.1

Statistical downscaling of general circulation model output: A comparison of methods
journal, November 1998

  • Wilby, R. L.; Wigley, T. M. L.; Conway, D.
  • Water Resources Research, Vol. 34, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.1029/98WR02577

On the need for bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation
journal, January 2008

  • Christensen, Jens H.; Boberg, Fredrik; Christensen, Ole B.
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 35, Issue 20
  • DOI: 10.1029/2008GL035694

Evaluating the stationarity assumption in statistically downscaled climate projections: is past performance an indicator of future results?
journal, January 2016


A regional climate model for the western United States
journal, December 1989

  • Dickinson, RobertE.; Errico, RonaldM.; Giorgi, Filippo
  • Climatic Change, Vol. 15, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1007/BF00240465

On the persistent spread in snow-albedo feedback
journal, May 2013


Bias correction can modify climate model simulated precipitation changes without adverse effect on the ensemble mean
journal, January 2014


An intercomparison of a large ensemble of statistical downscaling methods over Europe: Results from the VALUE perfect predictor cross-validation experiment
journal, March 2018

  • Gutiérrez, J. M.; Maraun, D.; Widmann, M.
  • International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 39, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1002/joc.5462

Urbanization causes increased cloud base height and decreased fog in coastal Southern California
journal, March 2015

  • Williams, A. Park; Schwartz, Rachel E.; Iacobellis, Sam
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 42, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.1002/2015GL063266

The Practitioner's Dilemma: How to Assess the Credibility of Downscaled Climate Projections
journal, November 2013

  • Barsugli, Joseph J.; Guentchev, Galina; Horton, Radley M.
  • Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, Vol. 94, Issue 46
  • DOI: 10.1002/2013EO460005

Incorporating Snow Albedo Feedback into Downscaled Temperature and Snow Cover Projections for California’s Sierra Nevada
journal, February 2017


Precipitation downscaling under climate change: Recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user
journal, January 2010

  • Maraun, D.; Wetterhall, F.; Ireson, A. M.
  • Reviews of Geophysics, Vol. 48, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1029/2009RG000314

An Assessment of High-Resolution Gridded Temperature Datasets over California
journal, May 2018


Searching for analogues, how long must we wait?
journal, May 1994


A Hybrid Dynamical–Statistical Downscaling Technique. Part I: Development and Validation of the Technique
journal, June 2015


High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP v1.0) for CMIP6
journal, January 2016

  • Haarsma, Reindert J.; Roberts, Malcolm J.; Vidale, Pier Luigi
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 9, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-4185-2016

An Improved Mellor–Yamada Level-3 Model with Condensation Physics: Its Design and Verification
journal, July 2004


The CNRM-CM5.1 global climate model: description and basic evaluation
journal, January 2012