Pervasive shifts in forest dynamics in a changing world
Abstract
Forest dynamics arise from the interplay of environmental drivers and disturbances with the demographic processes of recruitment, growth, and mortality, subsequently driving biomass and species composition. However, forest disturbances and subsequent recovery are shifting with global changes in climate and land use, altering these dynamics. Changes in environmental drivers, land use, and disturbance regimes are forcing forests toward younger, shorter stands. Rising carbon dioxide, acclimation, adaptation, and migration can influence these impacts. Recent developments in Earth system models support increasingly realistic simulations of vegetation dynamics. In parallel, emerging remote sensing datasets promise qualitatively new and more abundant data on the underlying processes and consequences for vegetation structure. When combined, these advances hold promise for improving the scientific understanding of changes in vegetation demographics and disturbances.
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- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- US Geological Survey, Los Alamos, NM (United States)
- Smithsonian Conservation Biology Inst., Front Royal, VA (United States); Smithsonian Tropical Research Inst. (Panama)
- Univ. of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN (United States)
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States). Joint Global Change Research Inst.
- Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD (United States)
- Duke Univ., Durham, NC (United States)
- Boston Univ., MA (United States)
- Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Birmensdorf (Switzerland)
- Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA (United States)
- Stanford Univ., CA (United States)
- Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL (United States)
- Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA (United States); Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
- Northern Arizona Univ., Flagstaff, AZ (United States)
- NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), Greenbelt, MD (United States)
- Univ. of Birmingham (United Kingdom)
- Univ. of Natural Resources and Life Sciences Vienna, (Austria); Technical Univ. of Munich (Germany)
- Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI (United States)
- Columbia Univ., New York, NY (United States)
- Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
- Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States); Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States); Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) Program; McIntire-Stennis; USGS; Joint Fire Science Program; Vilas Trust; sDiv; Synthesis Centre of iDiv; European Research Council (ERC); Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation; National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA); USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1639166
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1649093; OSTI ID: 1657138
- Report Number(s):
- PNNL-SA-144291; LA-UR-20-23882
Journal ID: ISSN 0036-8075
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC05-76RL01830; LFR-18-542511; 758873; AC05-00OR22725; 89233218CNA000001
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Science
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 368; Journal Issue: 6494; Conference: Disturbance and Vegetation Dynamics in Earth System Models Workshop, Gaithersburg, MD (United States), 15-16 Mar 2018; Journal ID: ISSN 0036-8075
- Publisher:
- AAAS
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; Biological Science; Earth Sciences; forest, insect, vegetation
Citation Formats
McDowell, Nate G., Allen, Craig D., Anderson-Teixeira, Kristina J., Aukema, Brian H., Bond-Lamberty, Benjamin, Chini, Louise M., Clark, James S., Dietze, Michael, Grossiord, Charlotte, Hanbury-Brown, Adam, Hurtt, George C., Jackson, Robert B., Johnson, Daniel J., Kueppers, Lara, Lichstein, Jeremy W., Ogle, Kiona, Poulter, Benjamin, Pugh, Thomas A. M., Seidl, Rupert, Turner, Monica G., Uriarte, Maria, Walker, Anthony P., and Xu, Chonggang. Pervasive shifts in forest dynamics in a changing world. United States: N. p., 2020.
Web. doi:10.1126/science.aaz9463.
McDowell, Nate G., Allen, Craig D., Anderson-Teixeira, Kristina J., Aukema, Brian H., Bond-Lamberty, Benjamin, Chini, Louise M., Clark, James S., Dietze, Michael, Grossiord, Charlotte, Hanbury-Brown, Adam, Hurtt, George C., Jackson, Robert B., Johnson, Daniel J., Kueppers, Lara, Lichstein, Jeremy W., Ogle, Kiona, Poulter, Benjamin, Pugh, Thomas A. M., Seidl, Rupert, Turner, Monica G., Uriarte, Maria, Walker, Anthony P., & Xu, Chonggang. Pervasive shifts in forest dynamics in a changing world. United States. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaz9463
McDowell, Nate G., Allen, Craig D., Anderson-Teixeira, Kristina J., Aukema, Brian H., Bond-Lamberty, Benjamin, Chini, Louise M., Clark, James S., Dietze, Michael, Grossiord, Charlotte, Hanbury-Brown, Adam, Hurtt, George C., Jackson, Robert B., Johnson, Daniel J., Kueppers, Lara, Lichstein, Jeremy W., Ogle, Kiona, Poulter, Benjamin, Pugh, Thomas A. M., Seidl, Rupert, Turner, Monica G., Uriarte, Maria, Walker, Anthony P., and Xu, Chonggang. Fri .
"Pervasive shifts in forest dynamics in a changing world". United States. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaz9463. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1639166.
@article{osti_1639166,
title = {Pervasive shifts in forest dynamics in a changing world},
author = {McDowell, Nate G. and Allen, Craig D. and Anderson-Teixeira, Kristina J. and Aukema, Brian H. and Bond-Lamberty, Benjamin and Chini, Louise M. and Clark, James S. and Dietze, Michael and Grossiord, Charlotte and Hanbury-Brown, Adam and Hurtt, George C. and Jackson, Robert B. and Johnson, Daniel J. and Kueppers, Lara and Lichstein, Jeremy W. and Ogle, Kiona and Poulter, Benjamin and Pugh, Thomas A. M. and Seidl, Rupert and Turner, Monica G. and Uriarte, Maria and Walker, Anthony P. and Xu, Chonggang},
abstractNote = {Forest dynamics arise from the interplay of environmental drivers and disturbances with the demographic processes of recruitment, growth, and mortality, subsequently driving biomass and species composition. However, forest disturbances and subsequent recovery are shifting with global changes in climate and land use, altering these dynamics. Changes in environmental drivers, land use, and disturbance regimes are forcing forests toward younger, shorter stands. Rising carbon dioxide, acclimation, adaptation, and migration can influence these impacts. Recent developments in Earth system models support increasingly realistic simulations of vegetation dynamics. In parallel, emerging remote sensing datasets promise qualitatively new and more abundant data on the underlying processes and consequences for vegetation structure. When combined, these advances hold promise for improving the scientific understanding of changes in vegetation demographics and disturbances.},
doi = {10.1126/science.aaz9463},
journal = {Science},
number = 6494,
volume = 368,
place = {United States},
year = {2020},
month = {5}
}
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