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Title: A new approach to counting measurements: Addressing the problems with ISO-11929

Abstract

We present an alternative approach to making counting measurements of radioactivity which offers probabilistic interpretations of the measurements. Unlike the approach in the current international standard (ISO-11929), our approach, which uses an assumed prior probability distribution of the true amount in the sample, is able to answer the question of interest for most users of the standard: “what is the probability distribution of the true amount in the sample, given the data?” The final interpretation of the measurement requires information not necessarily available at the measurement stage. However, we provide an analytical formula for what we term the “measurement strength” that depends only on measurement-stage count quantities. Here, we show that, when the sources are rare, the posterior odds that the sample true value exceeds ε are the measurement strength times the prior odds, independently of ε, the prior odds, and the distribution of the calibration coefficient. We recommend that the measurement lab immediately follow-up on unusually high samples using an “action threshold” on the measurement strength which is similar to the decision threshold recommended by the current standard. Finally, we further recommend that the measurement lab perform large background studies in order to characterize non constancy of background, includingmore » possible time correlation of background.« less

Authors:
; ;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
1631880
Alternate Identifier(s):
OSTI ID: 1416281
Report Number(s):
LA-UR-17-24027
Journal ID: ISSN 0168-9002; S0168900217313700; PII: S0168900217313700
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC52-06NA25396
Resource Type:
Published Article
Journal Name:
Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research. Section A, Accelerators, Spectrometers, Detectors and Associated Equipment
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research. Section A, Accelerators, Spectrometers, Detectors and Associated Equipment Journal Volume: 892 Journal Issue: C; Journal ID: ISSN 0168-9002
Publisher:
Elsevier
Country of Publication:
Netherlands
Language:
English
Subject:
46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY; Radiation Protection; Counting Measurements; Background Radiation; Bayesian Statistics; Odds Ratio

Citation Formats

Klumpp, John, Miller, Guthrie, and Poudel, Deepesh. A new approach to counting measurements: Addressing the problems with ISO-11929. Netherlands: N. p., 2018. Web. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nima.2017.12.016.
Klumpp, John, Miller, Guthrie, & Poudel, Deepesh. A new approach to counting measurements: Addressing the problems with ISO-11929. Netherlands. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nima.2017.12.016
Klumpp, John, Miller, Guthrie, and Poudel, Deepesh. Fri . "A new approach to counting measurements: Addressing the problems with ISO-11929". Netherlands. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nima.2017.12.016.
@article{osti_1631880,
title = {A new approach to counting measurements: Addressing the problems with ISO-11929},
author = {Klumpp, John and Miller, Guthrie and Poudel, Deepesh},
abstractNote = {We present an alternative approach to making counting measurements of radioactivity which offers probabilistic interpretations of the measurements. Unlike the approach in the current international standard (ISO-11929), our approach, which uses an assumed prior probability distribution of the true amount in the sample, is able to answer the question of interest for most users of the standard: “what is the probability distribution of the true amount in the sample, given the data?” The final interpretation of the measurement requires information not necessarily available at the measurement stage. However, we provide an analytical formula for what we term the “measurement strength” that depends only on measurement-stage count quantities. Here, we show that, when the sources are rare, the posterior odds that the sample true value exceeds ε are the measurement strength times the prior odds, independently of ε, the prior odds, and the distribution of the calibration coefficient. We recommend that the measurement lab immediately follow-up on unusually high samples using an “action threshold” on the measurement strength which is similar to the decision threshold recommended by the current standard. Finally, we further recommend that the measurement lab perform large background studies in order to characterize non constancy of background, including possible time correlation of background.},
doi = {10.1016/j.nima.2017.12.016},
journal = {Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research. Section A, Accelerators, Spectrometers, Detectors and Associated Equipment},
number = C,
volume = 892,
place = {Netherlands},
year = {2018},
month = {6}
}

Journal Article:
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nima.2017.12.016

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Cited by: 1 work
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