DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: The Effect of Internal Variability on Ocean Temperature Adjustment in a Low-Resolution CESM Initial Condition Ensemble

Abstract

Due to its large heat capacity and circulation, the ocean contributes significantly to global heat uptake, global heat transport, spatial temperature patterns, and variability. Quantifying ocean heat uptake across different temporal and spatial scales is important to quantify Earth's climate response to anthropogenic warming. Here we evaluate ocean adjustment time scales from two different fully coupled climate model ensembles using the Community Earth System Model. Both ensembles use the same model version, anthropogenic and natural forcings, and coupling configurations, but we initialize the ensembles in two different ways: (1) sampling joint internal variability of the ocean–atmosphere system (unique atmosphere and ocean conditions) and (2) sampling the internal variability of the atmosphere only (unique atmosphere, identical ocean conditions). Uncertainty due to internal variability is used as a proxy to quantify the time scales of ocean temperature adjustment at different depths and basins in Community Earth System Model. Time scales of equilibration are longer in the deep ocean than the upper ocean, highlighting the vertical structure of dynamic adjustment. The Atlantic equilibrates on shorter time scales (82 years above 1,000 m, 140 years below 1,000 m) relative to the Pacific (106 years above 1,000 m, 444 years below 1,000 m) in Communitymore » Earth System Model due to the large North Atlantic Deep Water formation and strong overturning circulation in the Atlantic. These results have broad implications for analyzing internal climate variability, ocean adjustment, and drift in global coupled model experiments and intercomparisons.« less

Authors:
ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [1]
  1. Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, IL (United States)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Stanford Univ., CA (United States); Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, IL (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Science (SC)
OSTI Identifier:
1612409
Alternate Identifier(s):
OSTI ID: 1494944; OSTI ID: 1783209
Grant/Contract Number:  
SC0016162
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Oceans
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 124; Journal Issue: 2; Journal ID: ISSN 2169-9275
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; Oceanography; ocean internal variability; ocean dynamics; Earth system models; uncertainty; ocean modeling; Community Earth System Model

Citation Formats

Hogan, E., and Sriver, R. L. The Effect of Internal Variability on Ocean Temperature Adjustment in a Low-Resolution CESM Initial Condition Ensemble. United States: N. p., 2019. Web. doi:10.1029/2018jc014535.
Hogan, E., & Sriver, R. L. The Effect of Internal Variability on Ocean Temperature Adjustment in a Low-Resolution CESM Initial Condition Ensemble. United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jc014535
Hogan, E., and Sriver, R. L. Wed . "The Effect of Internal Variability on Ocean Temperature Adjustment in a Low-Resolution CESM Initial Condition Ensemble". United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jc014535. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1612409.
@article{osti_1612409,
title = {The Effect of Internal Variability on Ocean Temperature Adjustment in a Low-Resolution CESM Initial Condition Ensemble},
author = {Hogan, E. and Sriver, R. L.},
abstractNote = {Due to its large heat capacity and circulation, the ocean contributes significantly to global heat uptake, global heat transport, spatial temperature patterns, and variability. Quantifying ocean heat uptake across different temporal and spatial scales is important to quantify Earth's climate response to anthropogenic warming. Here we evaluate ocean adjustment time scales from two different fully coupled climate model ensembles using the Community Earth System Model. Both ensembles use the same model version, anthropogenic and natural forcings, and coupling configurations, but we initialize the ensembles in two different ways: (1) sampling joint internal variability of the ocean–atmosphere system (unique atmosphere and ocean conditions) and (2) sampling the internal variability of the atmosphere only (unique atmosphere, identical ocean conditions). Uncertainty due to internal variability is used as a proxy to quantify the time scales of ocean temperature adjustment at different depths and basins in Community Earth System Model. Time scales of equilibration are longer in the deep ocean than the upper ocean, highlighting the vertical structure of dynamic adjustment. The Atlantic equilibrates on shorter time scales (82 years above 1,000 m, 140 years below 1,000 m) relative to the Pacific (106 years above 1,000 m, 444 years below 1,000 m) in Community Earth System Model due to the large North Atlantic Deep Water formation and strong overturning circulation in the Atlantic. These results have broad implications for analyzing internal climate variability, ocean adjustment, and drift in global coupled model experiments and intercomparisons.},
doi = {10.1029/2018jc014535},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research. Oceans},
number = 2,
volume = 124,
place = {United States},
year = {Wed Jan 30 00:00:00 EST 2019},
month = {Wed Jan 30 00:00:00 EST 2019}
}

Journal Article:
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record

Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 2 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

Save / Share:

Works referenced in this record:

Direct estimates and mechanisms of ocean heat transport
journal, March 1982

  • Hall, Mindy M.; Bryden, Harry L.
  • Deep Sea Research Part A. Oceanographic Research Papers, Vol. 29, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1016/0198-0149(82)90099-1

A Conceptual Model of Ocean Heat Uptake under Climate Change
journal, November 2014


Warming of the world ocean, 1955–2003
journal, January 2005


Global temperature change
journal, September 2006

  • Hansen, J.; Sato, M.; Ruedy, R.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 103, Issue 39
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0606291103

Earth's Global Energy Budget
journal, March 2009

  • Trenberth, Kevin E.; Fasullo, John T.; Kiehl, Jeffrey
  • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 90, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1175/2008BAMS2634.1

The Low-Resolution CCSM4
journal, June 2012

  • Shields, Christine A.; Bailey, David A.; Danabasoglu, Gokhan
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 25, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00260.1

Ocean Heat Uptake and Interbasin Transport of the Passive and Redistributive Components of Surface Heating
journal, October 2016


Ocean heat uptake and its consequences for the magnitude of sea level rise and climate change: OCEAN HEAT UPTAKE AND ITS CONSEQUENCES
journal, September 2012

  • Kuhlbrodt, T.; Gregory, J. M.
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 39, Issue 18
  • DOI: 10.1029/2012GL052952

Tracking Earth's Energy
journal, April 2010


Argo profiling floats bring new era of in situ ocean observations
journal, January 2004

  • Gould, John; Roemmich, Dean; Wijffels, Susan
  • Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, Vol. 85, Issue 19
  • DOI: 10.1029/2004EO190002

The Great Ocean Conveyor
journal, January 1991


Is the climate warming or cooling?
journal, January 2009

  • Easterling, David R.; Wehner, Michael F.
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 36, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1029/2009GL037810

Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods
journal, September 2011

  • Meehl, Gerald A.; Arblaster, Julie M.; Fasullo, John T.
  • Nature Climate Change, Vol. 1, Issue 7
  • DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1229

Deep ocean heat uptake as a major source of spread in transient climate change simulations
journal, January 2009

  • Boé, J.; Hall, A.; Qu, X.
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 36, Issue 22
  • DOI: 10.1029/2009GL040845

Calibration of TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason Altimeter Data to Construct a Continuous Record of Mean Sea Level Change
journal, January 2004


The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
journal, February 2010

  • Moss, Richard H.; Edmonds, Jae A.; Hibbard, Kathy A.
  • Nature, Vol. 463, Issue 7282
  • DOI: 10.1038/nature08823

Accurate and Computationally Efficient Algorithms for Potential Temperature and Density of Seawater
journal, May 2003


Separating Internal Variability from the Externally Forced Climate Response
journal, October 2015

  • Frankcombe, Leela M.; England, Matthew H.; Mann, Michael E.
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 28, Issue 20
  • DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0069.1

Zonal extent of oceans, high-latitude fresh water supplies and the thermohaline circulation
journal, April 1998

  • Cai, Wenju
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 124, Issue 547
  • DOI: 10.1002/qj.49712454708

The role of the thermohaline circulation in abrupt climate change
journal, February 2002

  • Clark, Peter U.; Pisias, Nicklas G.; Stocker, Thomas F.
  • Nature, Vol. 415, Issue 6874
  • DOI: 10.1038/415863a

The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble Project: A Community Resource for Studying Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Climate Variability
journal, August 2015

  • Kay, J. E.; Deser, C.; Phillips, A.
  • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 96, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00255.1

Global temperature evolution 1979–2010
journal, January 2011


Effects of initial conditions uncertainty on regional climate variability: An analysis using a low-resolution CESM ensemble: LOW-RESOLUTION CESM ENSEMBLE
journal, July 2015

  • Sriver, Ryan L.; Forest, Chris E.; Keller, Klaus
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 42, Issue 13
  • DOI: 10.1002/2015GL064546

Analysis of ENSO’s response to unforced variability and anthropogenic forcing using CESM
journal, December 2017


Why is no deep water formed in the North Pacific?
journal, May 1983


Warming of the World Ocean
journal, March 2000


Equilibrium thermal response timescale of global oceans: EQUILIBRIUM OCEAN TIMESCALE
journal, July 2011

  • Yang, Haijun; Zhu, Jiang
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 38, Issue 14
  • DOI: 10.1029/2011GL048076

Estimates of Meridional Atmosphere and Ocean Heat Transports
journal, August 2001


Size Matters: Another Reason Why the Atlantic Is Saltier than the Pacific
journal, November 2017


THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION: High-Latitude Phenomena and the Difference Between the Pacific and Atlantic
journal, May 1999


The great ocean conveyor
conference, January 1992

  • Broecker, Wallace S.
  • Global warming: physics and facts, AIP Conference Proceedings
  • DOI: 10.1063/1.41925

The role of the thermohaline circulation in abrupt climate change
text, January 2002

  • Clark, Peter U.; Pisias, Nicklas G.; Stocker, Thomas
  • Macmillan Journals Ltd.
  • DOI: 10.48350/158227