Modeling charging infrastructure impact on the electric vehicle market in China
Abstract
The plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) is deemed as a critical technological revolution, and the governments are imposing various vehicle policies to promote its development. Meanwhile, the market success of PEVs depends on many aspects. The study reported herein integrates one’s use of charging infrastructure at home, public place and workplace into the market dynamics analysis tool, New Energy and Oil Consumption Credits (NEOCC) model, to systematically assess the charging infrastructure (home parking ratio, public charging opportunity, and charging costs) impact on PEV ownership costs and analyze how the PEV market shares may be affected by the attributes of the charging infrastructure. Compared to the charging infrastructure, the impact of battery costs is incontrovertibly decisive on PEV market shares, the charging infrastructure is still non-negligible in the PEV market dynamics. The simulation results find that the public charging infrastructure has more effectiveness on promoting the PEV sales in the PEV emerging market than it does in the PEV mature market. However, the improvement of charging infrastructure does not necessarily lead to a larger PEV market if the charging infrastructure incentives do not coordinate well with other PEV policies. Besides, the increase of public charging opportunities has limited motivations on the growthmore »
- Authors:
-
[1];
[2];
- (Shawn) [Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
- Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
- Aramco Services Company, Detroit, MI (United States). Aramco Research Center
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). National Transportation Research Center (NTRC)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- Aramco Services Company; USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1606959
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1780234
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC05-00OR22725
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Transportation Research. Part D, Transport and Environment
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 81; Journal Issue: C; Journal ID: ISSN 1361-9209
- Publisher:
- Elsevier
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION; Electric vehicle market; Charging infrastructure; Battery cost; Industry profit; Genetic algorithm
Citation Formats
Ou, Shiqi, Lin, Zhenhong, He, Xin, Przesmitzki, Steven V., and Bouchard, Jessey. Modeling charging infrastructure impact on the electric vehicle market in China. United States: N. p., 2020.
Web. doi:10.1016/j.trd.2020.102248.
Ou, Shiqi, Lin, Zhenhong, He, Xin, Przesmitzki, Steven V., & Bouchard, Jessey. Modeling charging infrastructure impact on the electric vehicle market in China. United States. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102248
Ou, Shiqi, Lin, Zhenhong, He, Xin, Przesmitzki, Steven V., and Bouchard, Jessey. Thu .
"Modeling charging infrastructure impact on the electric vehicle market in China". United States. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102248. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1606959.
@article{osti_1606959,
title = {Modeling charging infrastructure impact on the electric vehicle market in China},
author = {Ou, Shiqi and Lin, Zhenhong and He, Xin and Przesmitzki, Steven V. and Bouchard, Jessey},
abstractNote = {The plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) is deemed as a critical technological revolution, and the governments are imposing various vehicle policies to promote its development. Meanwhile, the market success of PEVs depends on many aspects. The study reported herein integrates one’s use of charging infrastructure at home, public place and workplace into the market dynamics analysis tool, New Energy and Oil Consumption Credits (NEOCC) model, to systematically assess the charging infrastructure (home parking ratio, public charging opportunity, and charging costs) impact on PEV ownership costs and analyze how the PEV market shares may be affected by the attributes of the charging infrastructure. Compared to the charging infrastructure, the impact of battery costs is incontrovertibly decisive on PEV market shares, the charging infrastructure is still non-negligible in the PEV market dynamics. The simulation results find that the public charging infrastructure has more effectiveness on promoting the PEV sales in the PEV emerging market than it does in the PEV mature market. However, the improvement of charging infrastructure does not necessarily lead to a larger PEV market if the charging infrastructure incentives do not coordinate well with other PEV policies. Besides, the increase of public charging opportunities has limited motivations on the growth of public PEV fleets, which are highly correlated to the number of public fast charging stations or outlets. It also finds that more home parking spaces can stimulate more sales of personal plug-in hybrid electric vehicles instead of personal battery electric vehicles.},
doi = {10.1016/j.trd.2020.102248},
journal = {Transportation Research. Part D, Transport and Environment},
number = C,
volume = 81,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Feb 20 00:00:00 EST 2020},
month = {Thu Feb 20 00:00:00 EST 2020}
}
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