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Title: Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2)

Authors:
ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [3];  [4]; ORCiD logo [5]; ORCiD logo [6]; ORCiD logo [7]; ORCiD logo [8];  [9]; ORCiD logo [10]; ORCiD logo [11]; ORCiD logo [12];  [13]; ORCiD logo [14]; ORCiD logo [15]; ORCiD logo [16]; ORCiD logo [17];  [18]; ORCiD logo [7];  [3] more »;  [19];  [14]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [8]; ORCiD logo [18]; ORCiD logo [20]; ORCiD logo [21];  [9]; ORCiD logo [22];  [10];  [23];  [24]; ORCiD logo [18]; ORCiD logo [25]; ORCiD logo [16];  [12];  [26] « less
  1. Potsdam Inst. for Climate Impact Research (Germany); Columbia Univ., New York, NY (United States); Univ. of Potsdam (Germany)
  2. Potsdam Inst. for Climate Impact Research (Germany); Univ. of Potsdam (Germany)
  3. Potsdam Inst. for Climate Impact Research (Germany)
  4. Utrecht Univ., (Netherlands); Univ. libre de Bruxelles (ULB) (Beligum)
  5. Victoria Univ. of Wellington (New Zealand); GNS Science, Avalon (New Zealand)
  6. Hokkaido Univ., Sapporo (Japan)
  7. Vrije Univ., Brussels (Belgium)
  8. Univ. of Northumbria, Newcastle (United Kingdom)
  9. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO (United States)
  10. Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
  11. Univ. of California, Irvine, CA (United States)
  12. Univ. libre de Bruxelles (ULB) (Beligum)
  13. Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA (United States)
  14. CEA/CNRS-INSU/UVSQ, Gif-sur-Yvette (France)
  15. Danish Meteorological Inst., Copenhagen (Denmark); Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven (Germany)
  16. California Institute of Technology (CalTech), Pasadena, CA (United States)
  17. Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven (Germany); Univ. of Bern (Switzerland)
  18. Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
  19. Univ. of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA (United States)
  20. Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven (Germany); Univ. of Bremen (Germany)
  21. Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven (Germany)
  22. Potsdam Inst. for Climate Impact Research (Germany); Univ. of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria (Australia)
  23. NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), Greenbelt, MD (United States)
  24. Sandia National Lab. (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States)
  25. Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama (Japan)
  26. Utrecht Univ., (Netherlands)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States); Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Advanced Scientific Computing Research (ASCR); USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER); European Research Council (ERC); Dutch Ministry of Education, Culture and Science; Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS); German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF); German Research Foundation (DFG); National Science Foundation (NSF); USDOE Office of Science (SC). Advanced Scientific Computing Research (ASCR) (SC-21)
OSTI Identifier:
1604738
Alternate Identifier(s):
OSTI ID: 1631571
Report Number(s):
LA-UR-20-20042
Journal ID: ISSN 2190-4987; ark:/13030/qt5ft99738
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC02-05CH11231; 610055; 024.002.001; JP16H02224; JP17H06104; JP17H06323; 01LP1511B; LE1448/6-1; LE1448/7-1; 1852977; 89233218CNA000001
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Earth System Dynamics (Online)
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: Earth System Dynamics (Online); Journal Volume: 11; Journal Issue: 1; Journal ID: ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher:
European Geosciences Union
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; Earth Sciences; Mathematics

Citation Formats

Levermann, Anders, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Albrecht, Torsten, Goelzer, Heiko, Golledge, Nicholas R., Greve, Ralf, Huybrechts, Philippe, Jordan, Jim, Leguy, Gunter, Martin, Daniel, Morlighem, Mathieu, Pattyn, Frank, Pollard, David, Quiquet, Aurelien, Rodehacke, Christian, Seroussi, Helene, Sutter, Johannes, Zhang, Tong, Van Breedam, Jonas, Calov, Reinhard, DeConto, Robert, Dumas, Christophe, Garbe, Julius, Gudmundsson, G. Hilmar, Hoffman, Matthew J., Humbert, Angelika, Kleiner, Thomas, Lipscomb, William H., Meinshausen, Malte, Ng, Esmond, Nowicki, Sophie M. J., Perego, Mauro, Price, Stephen F., Saito, Fuyuki, Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne, Sun, Sainan, and van de Wal, Roderik S. W. Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2). United States: N. p., 2020. Web. doi:10.5194/esd-11-35-2020.
Levermann, Anders, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Albrecht, Torsten, Goelzer, Heiko, Golledge, Nicholas R., Greve, Ralf, Huybrechts, Philippe, Jordan, Jim, Leguy, Gunter, Martin, Daniel, Morlighem, Mathieu, Pattyn, Frank, Pollard, David, Quiquet, Aurelien, Rodehacke, Christian, Seroussi, Helene, Sutter, Johannes, Zhang, Tong, Van Breedam, Jonas, Calov, Reinhard, DeConto, Robert, Dumas, Christophe, Garbe, Julius, Gudmundsson, G. Hilmar, Hoffman, Matthew J., Humbert, Angelika, Kleiner, Thomas, Lipscomb, William H., Meinshausen, Malte, Ng, Esmond, Nowicki, Sophie M. J., Perego, Mauro, Price, Stephen F., Saito, Fuyuki, Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne, Sun, Sainan, & van de Wal, Roderik S. W. Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2). United States. doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-35-2020
Levermann, Anders, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Albrecht, Torsten, Goelzer, Heiko, Golledge, Nicholas R., Greve, Ralf, Huybrechts, Philippe, Jordan, Jim, Leguy, Gunter, Martin, Daniel, Morlighem, Mathieu, Pattyn, Frank, Pollard, David, Quiquet, Aurelien, Rodehacke, Christian, Seroussi, Helene, Sutter, Johannes, Zhang, Tong, Van Breedam, Jonas, Calov, Reinhard, DeConto, Robert, Dumas, Christophe, Garbe, Julius, Gudmundsson, G. Hilmar, Hoffman, Matthew J., Humbert, Angelika, Kleiner, Thomas, Lipscomb, William H., Meinshausen, Malte, Ng, Esmond, Nowicki, Sophie M. J., Perego, Mauro, Price, Stephen F., Saito, Fuyuki, Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne, Sun, Sainan, and van de Wal, Roderik S. W. Fri . "Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2)". United States. doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-35-2020. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1604738.
@article{osti_1604738,
title = {Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2)},
author = {Levermann, Anders and Winkelmann, Ricarda and Albrecht, Torsten and Goelzer, Heiko and Golledge, Nicholas R. and Greve, Ralf and Huybrechts, Philippe and Jordan, Jim and Leguy, Gunter and Martin, Daniel and Morlighem, Mathieu and Pattyn, Frank and Pollard, David and Quiquet, Aurelien and Rodehacke, Christian and Seroussi, Helene and Sutter, Johannes and Zhang, Tong and Van Breedam, Jonas and Calov, Reinhard and DeConto, Robert and Dumas, Christophe and Garbe, Julius and Gudmundsson, G. Hilmar and Hoffman, Matthew J. and Humbert, Angelika and Kleiner, Thomas and Lipscomb, William H. and Meinshausen, Malte and Ng, Esmond and Nowicki, Sophie M. J. and Perego, Mauro and Price, Stephen F. and Saito, Fuyuki and Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne and Sun, Sainan and van de Wal, Roderik S. W.},
abstractNote = {},
doi = {10.5194/esd-11-35-2020},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics (Online)},
number = 1,
volume = 11,
place = {United States},
year = {2020},
month = {2}
}

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Heat Flux Distribution of Antarctica Unveiled
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A parameterization of ice shelf–ocean interaction for climate models
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Calibrated prediction of Pine Island Glacier retreat during the 21st and 22nd centuries with a coupled flowline model
journal, June 2012

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How much snow falls on the Antarctic ice sheet?
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Mass balance of the Antarctic Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2017
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Dynamic thinning of glaciers on the Southern Antarctic Peninsula
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A rapidly converging initialisation method to simulate the present-day Greenland ice sheet using the GRISLI ice sheet model (version 1.3)
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The far reach of ice-shelf thinning in Antarctica
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The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system
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Continental scale, high order, high spatial resolution, ice sheet modeling using the Ice Sheet System Model (ISSM): ICE SHEET SYSTEM MODEL
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Simulation of the future sea level contribution of Greenland with a new glacial system model
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Assessing the Impact of Retreat Mechanisms in a Simple Antarctic Ice Sheet Model Using Bayesian Calibration
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Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) contribution to CMIP6
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Optimal initial conditions for coupling ice sheet models to Earth system models: PEREGO ET AL.
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Modelling present-day basal melt rates for Antarctic ice shelves using a parametrization of buoyant meltwater plumes
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Obliquity-paced Pliocene West Antarctic ice sheet oscillations
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A Review of Recent Updates of Sea-Level Projections at Global and Regional Scales
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Collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet after local destabilization of the Amundsen Basin
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Persistent acceleration in global sea-level rise since the 1960s
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Potential Antarctic Ice Sheet retreat driven by hydrofracturing and ice cliff failure
journal, February 2015

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Retreat of Pine Island Glacier controlled by marine ice-sheet instability
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A two-dimensional model for the thermohaline circulation under an ice shelf
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Comparison of thermodynamics solvers in the polythermal ice sheet model SICOPOLIS
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Increased snowfall over the Antarctic Ice Sheet mitigated twentieth-century sea-level rise
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Results of the Marine Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project, MISMIP
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Marine ice-sheet profiles and stability under Coulomb basal conditions
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World ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level change (0-2000 m), 1955-2010: WORLD OCEAN HEAT CONTENT
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Description and evaluation of the Community Ice Sheet Model (CISM) v2.1
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A new, high-resolution surface mass balance map of Antarctica (1979-2010) based on regional atmospheric climate modeling: SMB ANTARCTICA
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Increased future ice discharge from Antarctica owing to higher snowfall
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MPAS-Albany Land Ice (MALI): a variable-resolution ice sheet model for Earth system modeling using Voronoi grids
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Revisiting Antarctic ice loss due to marine ice-cliff instability
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Empirical Studies of Ice Sliding
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A 3-D model for the Antarctic ice sheet: a sensitivity study on the glacial-interglacial contrast
journal, December 1990


Ice shelf basal melt rates around Antarctica from simulations and observations: ICE SHELF BASAL MELT AROUND ANTARCTICA
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A variational approach to ice stream flow
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Twenty-first-century warming of a large Antarctic ice-shelf cavity by a redirected coastal current
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Marine Ice Sheet Collapse Potentially Under Way for the Thwaites Glacier Basin, West Antarctica
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Reassessment of the Antarctic surface mass balance using calibrated output of a regional atmospheric climate model
journal, January 2006

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Modelling the climate and surface mass balance of polar ice sheets using RACMO2 – Part 2: Antarctica (1979–2016)
journal, January 2018

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The multimillennial sea-level commitment of global warming
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Anthropogenic impact on Antarctic surface mass balance, currently masked by natural variability, to emerge by mid-century
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