DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Evidence of Specific MJO Phase Occurrence with Summertime California Central Valley Extreme Hot Weather

Abstract

This study examines associations between California Central Valley (CCV) heat waves and the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO). These heat waves have major economic impact. Our prior work showed that CCV heat waves are frequently preceded by convection over the tropical Indian and eastern Pacific oceans, in patterns identifiable with MJO phases. The main analysis method is lagged composites (formed after each MJO phase pair) of CCV synoptic station temperature, outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), and velocity potential (VP). Over the CCV, positive temperature anomalies occur only after the Indian Ocean (phases 2–3) or eastern Pacific Ocean (phases 8–1) convection (implied by OLR and VP fields). The largest fractions of CCV hot days occur in the two weeks after onset of those two phase pairs. OLR and VP composites have significant subsidence and convergence above divergence over the CCV during heat waves, and these structures are each part of larger patterns having significant areas over the Indian and Pacific Oceans. Prior studies showed that CCV heat waves can be roughly grouped into two clusters: Cluster 2 is preceded by a heat wave over northwestern North America, while Cluster 1 is not. OLR and VP composite analyses are applied separately to these twomore » clusters. However, for Cluster 2, the subsidence and VP over the CCV are not significant, and the large-scale VP pattern has low correlation with the MJO lagged composite field. Therefore, the association between the MJO convection and subsequent CCV heat wave is more evident in Cluster 1 than Cluster 2.« less

Authors:
ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [2]
  1. Asian-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center, Busan (South Korea)
  2. Univ. of California, Davis, CA (United States). Dept. of Land, Air and Water Resources
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Univ. of California, Davis, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Science (SC); National Science Foundation (NSF); National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA); USDA
OSTI Identifier:
1594227
Grant/Contract Number:  
SC0016605; NNX16AG62G; Grant No. 1236681; 1010971
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 36; Journal Issue: 6; Journal ID: ISSN 0256-1530
Publisher:
Springer
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
58 GEOSCIENCES; 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; MJO; heat wave; large-scale meteorological pattern; extratropical response; tropical convection

Citation Formats

Lee, Yun-Young, and Grotjahn, Richard. Evidence of Specific MJO Phase Occurrence with Summertime California Central Valley Extreme Hot Weather. United States: N. p., 2019. Web. doi:10.1007/s00376-019-8167-1.
Lee, Yun-Young, & Grotjahn, Richard. Evidence of Specific MJO Phase Occurrence with Summertime California Central Valley Extreme Hot Weather. United States. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-019-8167-1
Lee, Yun-Young, and Grotjahn, Richard. Fri . "Evidence of Specific MJO Phase Occurrence with Summertime California Central Valley Extreme Hot Weather". United States. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-019-8167-1. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1594227.
@article{osti_1594227,
title = {Evidence of Specific MJO Phase Occurrence with Summertime California Central Valley Extreme Hot Weather},
author = {Lee, Yun-Young and Grotjahn, Richard},
abstractNote = {This study examines associations between California Central Valley (CCV) heat waves and the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO). These heat waves have major economic impact. Our prior work showed that CCV heat waves are frequently preceded by convection over the tropical Indian and eastern Pacific oceans, in patterns identifiable with MJO phases. The main analysis method is lagged composites (formed after each MJO phase pair) of CCV synoptic station temperature, outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), and velocity potential (VP). Over the CCV, positive temperature anomalies occur only after the Indian Ocean (phases 2–3) or eastern Pacific Ocean (phases 8–1) convection (implied by OLR and VP fields). The largest fractions of CCV hot days occur in the two weeks after onset of those two phase pairs. OLR and VP composites have significant subsidence and convergence above divergence over the CCV during heat waves, and these structures are each part of larger patterns having significant areas over the Indian and Pacific Oceans. Prior studies showed that CCV heat waves can be roughly grouped into two clusters: Cluster 2 is preceded by a heat wave over northwestern North America, while Cluster 1 is not. OLR and VP composite analyses are applied separately to these two clusters. However, for Cluster 2, the subsidence and VP over the CCV are not significant, and the large-scale VP pattern has low correlation with the MJO lagged composite field. Therefore, the association between the MJO convection and subsequent CCV heat wave is more evident in Cluster 1 than Cluster 2.},
doi = {10.1007/s00376-019-8167-1},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
number = 6,
volume = 36,
place = {United States},
year = {Fri Apr 12 00:00:00 EDT 2019},
month = {Fri Apr 12 00:00:00 EDT 2019}
}

Journal Article:
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record

Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 11 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

Save / Share:

Works referenced in this record:

Propagation Characteristics of BSISO Indices
journal, September 2018

  • Wang, Shuguang; Ma, Ding; Sobel, Adam H.
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 45, Issue 18
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018GL078321

The Extreme Cold Anomaly over Southeast Asia in February 2008: Roles of ISO and ENSO
journal, July 2009


A wind tunnel examination of shear stress partitioning for an assortment of surface roughness distributions
journal, January 2008

  • Brown, S.; Nickling, W. G.; Gillies, J. A.
  • Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 113, Issue F2
  • DOI: 10.1029/2007JF000790

Persistent North Pacific Circulation Anomalies and the Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillation
journal, February 1997


Aspects of the large-scale tropical atmospheric circulation
journal, January 1999

  • Hoskins, Brian; Neale, Richard; Rodwell, Mark
  • Tellus B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology, Vol. 51, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.3402/tellusb.v51i1.16258

Boreal winter low-frequency variability in CMIP5 models: LOW-FREQUENCY VARIABILITY IN CMIP5
journal, July 2013

  • Lee, Yun-Young; Black, Robert X.
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 118, Issue 13
  • DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50493

Which MJO Events Affect North American Temperatures?
journal, November 2013

  • Schreck, Carl J.; Cordeira, Jason M.; Margolin, David
  • Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 141, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00118.1

Some simple solutions for heat-induced tropical circulation
journal, July 1980

  • Gill, A. E.
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 106, Issue 449
  • DOI: 10.1002/qj.49710644905

Remote weather associated with North Pacific subtropical sea level high properties
journal, January 2007

  • Grotjahn, Richard; Osman, Muhtarjan
  • International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 27, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.1002/joc.1423

Observations of the 40–50-Day Tropical Oscillation—A Review
journal, May 1994


Links between Tropical Convection and Variations of the Extratropical Circulation during TOGA COARE
journal, September 1996


An All-Season Real-Time Multivariate MJO Index: Development of an Index for Monitoring and Prediction
journal, August 2004


The Influence of the Madden–Julian Oscillation on Canadian Wintertime Surface Air Temperature
journal, July 2009


The impact of ENSO and the Arctic Oscillation on winter temperature extremes in the southeast United States: IMPACT OF ENSO AND AO ON WINTER EXTREMES
journal, August 2011

  • Lim, Young-Kwon; Schubert, Siegfried D.
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 38, Issue 15
  • DOI: 10.1029/2011GL048283

Recent warm and cold daily winter temperature extremes in the Northern Hemisphere: RECENT WARM AND COLD NH WINTER EXTREMES
journal, September 2011

  • Guirguis, Kristen; Gershunov, Alexander; Schwartz, Rachel
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 38, Issue 17
  • DOI: 10.1029/2011GL048762

The Freeze Risk to Florida Citrus. Part II: Temperature Variability and Circulation Patterns
journal, February 1993


The Growth and Triggering Mechanisms of the PNA: A MJO-PNA Coherence
journal, January 2008

  • Mori, Masato; Watanabe, Masahiro
  • Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, Vol. 86, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.86.213

Extreme Cold Winter Temperatures in Europe under the Influence of North Atlantic Atmospheric Blocking
journal, November 2011

  • Sillmann, Jana; Croci-Maspoli, Mischa; Kallache, Malaak
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 24, Issue 22
  • DOI: 10.1175/2011JCLI4075.1

Systematic Variation in Wintertime Precipitation in East Asia by MJO-Induced Extratropical Vertical Motion
journal, February 2008

  • Jeong, Jee-Hoon; Kim, Baek-Min; Ho, Chang-Hoi
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 21, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1175/2007JCLI1801.1

The global response to tropical heating in the Madden–Julian oscillation during the northern winter
journal, July 2004

  • Matthews, Adrian J.; Hoskins, Brian J.; Masutani, Michiko
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 130, Issue 601
  • DOI: 10.1256/qj.02.123

Extreme cold air outbreaks over the United States, the polar vortex, and the large-scale circulation
journal, January 2006

  • Cellitti, Michael P.; Walsh, John E.; Rauber, Robert M.
  • Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 111, Issue D2
  • DOI: 10.1029/2005JD006273

A composite study of the MJO influence on the surface air temperature and precipitation over the Continental United States
journal, February 2011


The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system
journal, April 2011

  • Dee, D. P.; Uppala, S. M.; Simmons, A. J.
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 137, Issue 656
  • DOI: 10.1002/qj.828

Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on wintertime surface air temperature and cold surges in east Asia
journal, January 2005


Coherent Fluctuations of Fxtratropical Geopotential Height and Tropical Convection in Intraseasonal Time Scales
journal, June 1986


Impact of the Madden–Julian Oscillation on Wintertime Precipitation in Canada
journal, October 2010

  • Lin, Hai; Brunet, Gilbert; Mo, Ruping
  • Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 138, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.1175/2010MWR3363.1

Influence of sea surface temperature variability on global temperature and precipitation extremes
journal, January 2009

  • Alexander, Lisa V.; Uotila, Petteri; Nicholls, Neville
  • Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 114, Issue D18
  • DOI: 10.1029/2009JD012301

Development of the HIRS Outgoing Longwave Radiation Climate Dataset
journal, December 2007

  • Lee, Hai-Tien; Gruber, Arnold; Ellingson, Robert G.
  • Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, Vol. 24, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1175/2007JTECHA989.1

Multi-model changes in El Niño teleconnections over North America in a future warmer climate
journal, June 2007


Future Projections of the Large-Scale Meteorology Associated with California Heat Waves in CMIP5 Models
journal, August 2018

  • Palipane, Erool; Grotjahn, Richard
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 123, Issue 16
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018JD029000

Influence of Modes of Climate Variability on Global Temperature Extremes
journal, August 2008


Composite Predictor Maps of Extraordinary Weather Events in the Sacramento, California, Region*
journal, June 2008


Circulation Anomalies Associated with Tropical Convection during Northern Winter
journal, September 1992


Quasi-Geostrophic Motions in the Equatorial Area [赤道近くでの準地衡風的運動]
journal, January 1966

  • Matsuno, Taroh
  • Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II, Vol. 44, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.2151/jmsj1965.44.1_25

Relationships between Climate Variability and Winter Temperature Extremes in the United States
journal, July 2002


ENSO regulation of MJO teleconnection
journal, September 2010


The Direct Response to Tropical Heating in a Baroclinic Atmosphere
journal, February 1995


California Central Valley Summer Heat Waves Form Two Ways
journal, February 2016


Impacts of the Madden–Julian Oscillation on Australian Rainfall and Circulation
journal, March 2009

  • Wheeler, Matthew C.; Hendon, Harry H.; Cleland, Sam
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 22, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1175/2008JCLI2595.1

The Global Influence of the Madden–Julian Oscillation on Extreme Temperature Events
journal, May 2015


The Influence of Recurrent Modes of Climate Variability on the Occurrence of Winter and Summer Extreme Temperatures over North America
journal, February 2014


Extreme Cold Outbreaks in the United States and Europe, 1948–99
journal, June 2001


The Great 2006 Heat Wave over California and Nevada: Signal of an Increasing Trend
journal, December 2009

  • Gershunov, Alexander; Cayan, Daniel R.; Iacobellis, Sam F.
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 22, Issue 23
  • DOI: 10.1175/2009JCLI2465.1

An Observed Connection between the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Madden–Julian Oscillation
journal, January 2009


Works referencing / citing this record:

Effects of western Pacific intraseasonal convection on surface air temperature anomalies over North America
journal, November 2019

  • Yang, Ying; Zhu, Zhiwei; Li, Tim
  • International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 40, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1002/joc.6373

MJO teleconnections to crop growing seasons
journal, January 2020


The Seasonality and Regionality of MJO Impacts on North American Temperature
journal, August 2019

  • Jenney, A. M.; Nardi, K. M.; Barnes, E. A.
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 15
  • DOI: 10.1029/2019gl083950