Arctic Soil Governs Whether Climate Change Drives Global Losses or Gains in Soil Carbon

Wieder, William R.; Sulman, Benjamin N.; Hartman, Melannie D.; Koven, Charles D.; Bradford, Mark A.

doi:10.1029/2019GL085543

Title: Arctic Soil Governs Whether Climate Change Drives Global Losses or Gains in Soil Carbon

Journal Article · 19 December 2019 · Geophysical Research Letters

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085543 · OSTI ID:1580127

Wieder, William R. ^[1]; Sulman, Benjamin N. ^[2]; Hartman, Melannie D. ^[3]; Koven, Charles D. ^[4]; Bradford, Mark A. ^[5]

Climate and Global Dynamics LaboratoryNational Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO USA, Institute of Arctic and Alpine ResearchUniversity of Colorado Boulder Boulder CO USA
Climate Change Science Institute and Environmental Sciences DivisionOak Ridge National Laboratory Oak Ridge TN USA
Climate and Global Dynamics LaboratoryNational Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO USA, Natural Resource Ecology LaboratoryColorado State University Fort Collins CO USA
Earth Sciences DivisionLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Berkeley CA USA
School of Forestry and Environmental StudiesYale University New Haven CT USA

Not Available

View Journal Article

Cite

Export

Save

Research Organization:: Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY (United States); Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States); Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA); National Aeronautic and Space Administration (NASA); National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA); National Science Foundation (NSF); US Department of Commerce; USDA; USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER); USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER) (SC-23)

Grant/Contract Number:: AC02-05CH11231; AC05-00OR22725; SC0014374; SC0016364

OSTI ID:: 1580127

Journal Information:: Geophysical Research Letters, Journal Name: Geophysical Research Letters Journal Issue: 24 Vol. 46; ISSN 0094-8276

Publisher:: American Geophysical UnionCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

References (68)

Evaluating soil biogeochemistry parameterizations in Earth system models with observations: Soil Biogeochemistry in ESMs Wieder, William R.; Boehnert, Jennifer; Bonan, Gordon B. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 28, Issue 3 https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GB004665	journal	March 2014
Global patterns and controls of soil organic carbon dynamics as simulated by multiple terrestrial biosphere models: Current status and future directions: MODELING GLOBAL SOIL CARBON DYNAMICS Tian, Hanqin; Lu, Chaoqun; Yang, Jia Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 29, Issue 6 https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GB005021	journal	June 2015
Large Differences in Global and Regional Total Soil Carbon Stock Estimates Based on SoilGrids, HWSD, and NCSCD: Intercomparison and Evaluation Based on Field Data From USA, England, Wales, and France: Differences in total SOC stock estimates Tifafi, Marwa; Guenet, Bertrand; Hatté, Christine Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 32, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GB005678	journal	January 2018
Stabilization of Soil Organic Matter: Association with Minerals or Chemical Recalcitrance? Mikutta, Robert; Kleber, Markus; Torn, Margaret S. Biogeochemistry, Vol. 77, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10533-005-0712-6	journal	January 2006
SOM genesis: microbial biomass as a significant source Miltner, Anja; Bombach, Petra; Schmidt-Brücken, Burkhard Biogeochemistry, Vol. 111, Issue 1-3 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10533-011-9658-z	journal	October 2011
The Millennial model: in search of measurable pools and transformations for modeling soil carbon in the new century Abramoff, Rose; Xu, Xiaofeng; Hartman, Melannie Biogeochemistry, Vol. 137, Issue 1-2 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10533-017-0409-7	journal	December 2017
Calcium-mediated stabilisation of soil organic carbon Rowley, Mike C.; Grand, Stéphanie; Verrecchia, Éric P. Biogeochemistry, Vol. 137, Issue 1-2 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10533-017-0410-1	journal	December 2017
Beyond clay: towards an improved set of variables for predicting soil organic matter content Rasmussen, Craig; Heckman, Katherine; Wieder, William R. Biogeochemistry, Vol. 137, Issue 3 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10533-018-0424-3	journal	February 2018
Minerals in the rhizosphere: overlooked mediators of soil nitrogen availability to plants and microbes Jilling, Andrea; Keiluweit, Marco; Contosta, Alexandra R. Biogeochemistry, Vol. 139, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10533-018-0459-5	journal	June 2018
Multiple models and experiments underscore large uncertainty in soil carbon dynamics Sulman, Benjamin N.; Moore, Jessica A. M.; Abramoff, Rose Biogeochemistry, Vol. 141, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10533-018-0509-z	journal	October 2018
Biogeochemical Models: Implicit versus Explicit Microbiology Schimel, Joshua Global Biogeochemical Cycles in the Climate System https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-012631260-7/50015-7	book	January 2001
The chemistry of pedogenic thresholds Chadwick, Oliver A.; Chorover, Jon Geoderma, Vol. 100, Issue 3-4 https://doi.org/10.1016/S0016-7061(01)00027-1	journal	May 2001
Temperature controls of microbial respiration in arctic tundra soils above and below freezing Mikan, Carl J.; Schimel, Joshua P.; Doyle, Allen P. Soil Biology and Biochemistry, Vol. 34, Issue 11 https://doi.org/10.1016/S0038-0717(02)00168-2	journal	November 2002
Small-scale spatial patterns of soil organic carbon and nitrogen stocks in permafrost-affected soils of northern Siberia Evgrafova, Alevtina; de la Haye, Tilman René; Haase, Ina Geoderma, Vol. 329 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2018.05.014	journal	November 2018
Molecular C dynamics downstream: The biochemical decomposition sequence and its impact on soil organic matter structure and function Grandy, A. Stuart; Neff, Jason C. Science of The Total Environment, Vol. 404, Issue 2-3 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2007.11.013	journal	October 2008
Contribution of sorption, DOC transport and microbial interactions to the 14C age of a soil organic carbon profile: Insights from a calibrated process model Ahrens, Bernhard; Braakhekke, Maarten C.; Guggenberger, Georg Soil Biology and Biochemistry, Vol. 88 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soilbio.2015.06.008	journal	September 2015
Terrestrial ecosystem production: A process model based on global satellite and surface data Potter, Christopher S.; Randerson, James T.; Field, Christopher B. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 7, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1029/93GB02725	journal	December 1993
Substrate limitations for heterotrophs: Implications for models that estimate the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO ₂ Randerson, James T.; Thompson, Matthew V.; Malmstrom, Carolyn M. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 10, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1029/96GB01981	journal	December 1996
Persistence of soil organic matter as an ecosystem property Schmidt, Michael W. I.; Torn, Margaret S.; Abiven, Samuel Nature, Vol. 478, Issue 7367 https://doi.org/10.1038/nature10386	journal	October 2011
Global covariation of carbon turnover times with climate in terrestrial ecosystems Carvalhais, Nuno; Forkel, Matthias; Khomik, Myroslava Nature, Vol. 514, Issue 7521 https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13731	journal	September 2014
Climate change and the permafrost carbon feedback Schuur, E. A. G.; McGuire, A. D.; Schädel, C. Nature, Vol. 520, Issue 7546 https://doi.org/10.1038/nature14338	journal	April 2015
The contentious nature of soil organic matter Lehmann, Johannes; Kleber, Markus Nature, Vol. 528, Issue 7580 https://doi.org/10.1038/nature16069	journal	November 2015
Quantifying global soil carbon losses in response to warming Crowther, T. W.; Todd-Brown, K. E. O.; Rowe, C. W. Nature, Vol. 540, Issue 7631 https://doi.org/10.1038/nature20150	journal	November 2016
Predicting soil carbon loss with warming van Gestel, Natasja; Shi, Zheng; van Groenigen, Kees Jan Nature, Vol. 554, Issue 7693 https://doi.org/10.1038/nature25745	journal	February 2018
Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections Knutti, Reto; Sedláček, Jan Nature Climate Change, Vol. 3, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1716	journal	October 2012
Global soil carbon projections are improved by modelling microbial processes Wieder, William R.; Bonan, Gordon B.; Allison, Steven D. Nature Climate Change, Vol. 3, Issue 10 https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1951	journal	July 2013
Microbe-driven turnover offsets mineral-mediated storage of soil carbon under elevated CO2 Sulman, Benjamin N.; Phillips, Richard P.; Oishi, A. Christopher Nature Climate Change, Vol. 4, Issue 12 https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2436	journal	November 2014
Mineral protection of soil carbon counteracted by root exudates Keiluweit, Marco; Bougoure, Jeremy J.; Nico, Peter S. Nature Climate Change, Vol. 5, Issue 6 https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2580	journal	March 2015
Old soil carbon losses increase with ecosystem respiration in experimentally thawed tundra Hicks Pries, Caitlin E.; Schuur, Edward A. G.; Natali, Susan M. Nature Climate Change, Vol. 6, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2830	journal	October 2015
Managing uncertainty in soil carbon feedbacks to climate change Bradford, Mark A.; Wieder, William R.; Bonan, Gordon B. Nature Climate Change, Vol. 6, Issue 8 https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3071	journal	July 2016
Higher climatological temperature sensitivity of soil carbon in cold than warm climates Koven, Charles D.; Hugelius, Gustaf; Lawrence, David M. Nature Climate Change, Vol. 7, Issue 11 https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3421	journal	October 2017
Direct evidence for microbial-derived soil organic matter formation and its ecophysiological controls Kallenbach, Cynthia M.; Frey, Serita D.; Grandy, A. Stuart Nature Communications, Vol. 7, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms13630	journal	November 2016
A moisture function of soil heterotrophic respiration that incorporates microscale processes Yan, Zhifeng; Bond-Lamberty, Ben; Todd-Brown, Katherine E. Nature Communications, Vol. 9, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04971-6	journal	July 2018
Climate-driven thresholds in reactive mineral retention of soil carbon at the global scale Kramer, Marc G.; Chadwick, Oliver A. Nature Climate Change, Vol. 8, Issue 12 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0341-4	journal	November 2018
Direct observation of permafrost degradation and rapid soil carbon loss in tundra Plaza, César; Pegoraro, Elaine; Bracho, Rosvel Nature Geoscience, Vol. 12, Issue 8 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-019-0387-6	journal	July 2019
Surface exposure to sunlight stimulates CO ₂ release from permafrost soil carbon in the Arctic Cory, Rose M.; Crump, Byron C.; Dobkowski, Jason A. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 110, Issue 9 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1214104110	journal	February 2013
Permafrost carbon−climate feedback is sensitive to deep soil carbon decomposability but not deep soil nitrogen dynamics Koven, Charles D.; Lawrence, David M.; Riley, William J. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1415123112	journal	March 2015
Carbon dioxide sources from Alaska driven by increasing early winter respiration from Arctic tundra Commane, Róisín; Lindaas, Jakob; Benmergui, Joshua Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 114, Issue 21 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1618567114	journal	May 2017
Dependence of the evolution of carbon dynamics in the northern permafrost region on the trajectory of climate change McGuire, A. David; Lawrence, David M.; Koven, Charles Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 115, Issue 15 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1719903115	journal	March 2018
Changing permafrost in a warming world and feedbacks to the Earth system Grosse, Guido; Goetz, Scott; McGuire, A. Dave Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 11, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/040201	journal	March 2016
Reducing uncertainty in projections of terrestrial carbon uptake Lovenduski, Nicole S.; Bonan, Gordon B. Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 12, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa66b8	journal	April 2017
Feedbacks between plant N demand and rhizosphere priming depend on type of mycorrhizal association Sulman, Benjamin N.; Brzostek, Edward R.; Medici, Chiara Ecology Letters, Vol. 20, Issue 8 https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12802	journal	July 2017
The Microbial Efficiency-Matrix Stabilization (MEMS) framework integrates plant litter decomposition with soil organic matter stabilization: do labile plant inputs form stable soil organic matter? Cotrufo, M. Francesca; Wallenstein, Matthew D.; Boot, Claudia M. Global Change Biology, Vol. 19, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12113	journal	February 2013
Soil carbon cycling proxies: Understanding their critical role in predicting climate change feedbacks Bailey, Vanessa L.; Bond‐Lamberty, Ben; DeAngelis, Kristen Global Change Biology, Vol. 24, Issue 3 https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13926	journal	November 2017
Carbon cycle confidence and uncertainty: Exploring variation among soil biogeochemical models Wieder, William R.; Hartman, Melannie D.; Sulman, Benjamin N. Global Change Biology, Vol. 24, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13979	journal	November 2017
Temperature response of permafrost soil carbon is attenuated by mineral protection Gentsch, Norman; Wild, Birgit; Mikutta, Robert Global Change Biology, Vol. 24, Issue 8 https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14316	journal	June 2018
Old and stable soil organic matter is not necessarily chemically recalcitrant: implications for modeling concepts and temperature sensitivity: SLOW TURNOVER OF LABILE SOIL ORGANIC MATTER Kleber, Markus; Nico, Peter S.; Plante, Alain Global Change Biology, Vol. 17, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02278.x	journal	January 2011
Temperature and soil organic matter decomposition rates - synthesis of current knowledge and a way forward Conant, Richard T.; Ryan, Michael G.; Ågren, Göran I. Global Change Biology, Vol. 17, Issue 11 https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02496.x	journal	August 2011
Soil organic matter turnover is governed by accessibility not recalcitrance Dungait, Jennifer A. J.; Hopkins, David W.; Gregory, Andrew S. Global Change Biology, Vol. 18, Issue 6 https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02665.x	journal	March 2012
Metabolic Activity of Permafrost Bacteria below the Freezing Point Rivkina, E. M.; Friedmann, E. I.; McKay, C. P. Applied and Environmental Microbiology, Vol. 66, Issue 8 https://doi.org/10.1128/AEM.66.8.3230-3233.2000	journal	August 2000
Radiocarbon and Soil Carbon Dynamics Trumbore, Susan Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Vol. 37, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.earth.36.031207.124300	journal	May 2009
Diagnosing Present and Future Permafrost from Climate Models Slater, Andrew G.; Lawrence, David M. Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, Issue 15 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00341.1	journal	August 2013
Twenty-First-Century Compatible CO ₂ Emissions and Airborne Fraction Simulated by CMIP5 Earth System Models under Four Representative Concentration Pathways Jones, Chris; Robertson, Eddy; Arora, Vivek Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, Issue 13 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00554.1	journal	July 2013
Uncertainties in CMIP5 Climate Projections due to Carbon Cycle Feedbacks Friedlingstein, Pierre; Meinshausen, Malte; Arora, Vivek K. Journal of Climate, Vol. 27, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00579.1	journal	January 2014
Sources of Uncertainty in Future Projections of the Carbon Cycle Hewitt, Alan J.; Booth, Ben B. B.; Jones, Chris D. Journal of Climate, Vol. 29, Issue 20 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0161.1	journal	October 2016
A Procedure for Isolating Soil Organic Matter Fractions Suitable for Modeling Sohi, Saran P.; Mahieu, Nathalie; Arah, Jonathan R. M. Soil Science Society of America Journal, Vol. 65, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2001.6541121x	journal	January 2001
Bacterial and Fungal Contributions to Carbon Sequestration in Agroecosystems Six, J.; Frey, S. D.; Thiet, R. K. Soil Science Society of America Journal, Vol. 70, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2004.0347	journal	January 2006
Hydrologic Impacts of Thawing Permafrost—A Review Walvoord, Michelle A.; Kurylyk, Barret L. Vadose Zone Journal, Vol. 15, Issue 6 https://doi.org/10.2136/vzj2016.01.0010	journal	January 2016
Microbial control over carbon cycling in soil Schimel, Joshua P.; Schaeffer, Sean M. Frontiers in Microbiology, Vol. 3 https://doi.org/10.3389/fmicb.2012.00348	journal	January 2012
Causes of variation in soil carbon simulations from CMIP5 Earth system models and comparison with observations Todd-Brown, K. E. O.; Randerson, J. T.; Post, W. M. Biogeosciences, Vol. 10, Issue 3 https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-1717-2013	journal	January 2013
The effect of vertically resolved soil biogeochemistry and alternate soil C and N models on C dynamics of CLM4 Koven, C. D.; Riley, W. J.; Subin, Z. M. Biogeosciences, Vol. 10, Issue 11 https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-7109-2013	journal	January 2013
Changes in soil organic carbon storage predicted by Earth system models during the 21st century Todd-Brown, K. E. O.; Randerson, J. T.; Hopkins, F. Biogeosciences, Vol. 11, Issue 8 https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-11-2341-2014	journal	January 2014
Integrating microbial physiology and physio-chemical principles in soils with the MIcrobial-MIneral Carbon Stabilization (MIMICS) model Wieder, W. R.; Grandy, A. S.; Kallenbach, C. M. Biogeosciences, Vol. 11, Issue 14 https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-11-3899-2014	journal	January 2014
Estimated stocks of circumpolar permafrost carbon with quantified uncertainty ranges and identified data gaps Hugelius, G.; Strauss, J.; Zubrzycki, S. Biogeosciences, Vol. 11, Issue 23 https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-11-6573-2014	journal	January 2014
Controls on terrestrial carbon feedbacks by productivity versus turnover in the CMIP5 Earth System Models Koven, C. D.; Chambers, J. Q.; Georgiou, K. Biogeosciences, Vol. 12, Issue 17 https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-5211-2015	journal	January 2015
A global model of carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus cycles for the terrestrial biosphere Wang, Y. P.; Law, R. M.; Pak, B. Biogeosciences, Vol. 7, Issue 7 https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-7-2261-2010	journal	January 2010
Representing life in the Earth system with soil microbial functional traits in the MIMICS model Wieder, W. R.; Grandy, A. S.; Kallenbach, C. M. Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 8, Issue 6 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-1789-2015	journal	January 2015
Permafrost soils and carbon cycling Ping, C. L.; Jastrow, J. D.; Jorgenson, M. T. SOIL, Vol. 1, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.5194/soil-1-147-2015	journal	January 2015

Similar Records

Global soil profiles indicate depth-dependent soil carbon losses under a warmer climate

Journal Article · 2022 · Nature Communications · OSTI ID:1894609

Wang, Mingming; Guo, Xiaowei; Zhang, Shuai; +10 more

Soils and global climate change: Challenges and opportunities

Journal Article · 2000 · Soil Science · OSTI ID:20075753

Rosenzweig, C; Hillel, D

Oceans, carbon dioxide, and global climate change

Journal Article · · Oceanus; (United States) · OSTI ID:6027728

Moore, B III; Bolin, B

Related Subjects

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Arctic
biogeochemistry
carbon cycle
microbial explicit
models
soil carbon

Title: Arctic Soil Governs Whether Climate Change Drives Global Losses or Gains in Soil Carbon

Citation Formats

References (68)

Similar Records

Related Subjects