Unraveling driving forces explaining significant reduction in satellite-inferred Arctic surface albedo since the 1980s
Abstract
The Arctic has warmed significantly since the early 1980s and much of this warming can be attributed to the surface albedo feedback. In this study, satellite observations reveal a 1.25 to 1.51% per decade absolute reduction in the Arctic mean surface albedo in spring and summer during 1982 to 2014. Results from a global model and reanalysis data are used to unravel the causes of this albedo reduction. We find that reductions of terrestrial snow cover, snow cover fraction over sea ice, and sea ice extent appear to contribute equally to the Arctic albedo decline. We show that the decrease in snow cover fraction is primarily driven by the increase in surface air temperature, followed by declining snowfall. Although the total precipitation has increased as the Arctic warms, Arctic snowfall is reduced substantially in all analyzed data sets. Light-absorbing soot in snow has been decreasing in past decades over the Arctic, indicating that soot heating has not been the driver of changes in the Arctic snow cover, ice cover, and surface albedo since the 1980s.
- Authors:
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1574028
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1577972
- Report Number(s):
- PNNL-SA-144749
Journal ID: ISSN 0027-8424
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC05-76RL01830
- Resource Type:
- Published Article
- Journal Name:
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Name: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Journal Volume: 116 Journal Issue: 48; Journal ID: ISSN 0027-8424
- Publisher:
- National Academy of Sciences
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; Arctic amplification; albedo reduction; snow cover; sea ice; soot
Citation Formats
Zhang, Rudong, Wang, Hailong, Fu, Qiang, Rasch, Philip J., and Wang, Xuanji. Unraveling driving forces explaining significant reduction in satellite-inferred Arctic surface albedo since the 1980s. United States: N. p., 2019.
Web. doi:10.1073/pnas.1915258116.
Zhang, Rudong, Wang, Hailong, Fu, Qiang, Rasch, Philip J., & Wang, Xuanji. Unraveling driving forces explaining significant reduction in satellite-inferred Arctic surface albedo since the 1980s. United States. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1915258116
Zhang, Rudong, Wang, Hailong, Fu, Qiang, Rasch, Philip J., and Wang, Xuanji. Mon .
"Unraveling driving forces explaining significant reduction in satellite-inferred Arctic surface albedo since the 1980s". United States. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1915258116.
@article{osti_1574028,
title = {Unraveling driving forces explaining significant reduction in satellite-inferred Arctic surface albedo since the 1980s},
author = {Zhang, Rudong and Wang, Hailong and Fu, Qiang and Rasch, Philip J. and Wang, Xuanji},
abstractNote = {The Arctic has warmed significantly since the early 1980s and much of this warming can be attributed to the surface albedo feedback. In this study, satellite observations reveal a 1.25 to 1.51% per decade absolute reduction in the Arctic mean surface albedo in spring and summer during 1982 to 2014. Results from a global model and reanalysis data are used to unravel the causes of this albedo reduction. We find that reductions of terrestrial snow cover, snow cover fraction over sea ice, and sea ice extent appear to contribute equally to the Arctic albedo decline. We show that the decrease in snow cover fraction is primarily driven by the increase in surface air temperature, followed by declining snowfall. Although the total precipitation has increased as the Arctic warms, Arctic snowfall is reduced substantially in all analyzed data sets. Light-absorbing soot in snow has been decreasing in past decades over the Arctic, indicating that soot heating has not been the driver of changes in the Arctic snow cover, ice cover, and surface albedo since the 1980s.},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.1915258116},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
number = 48,
volume = 116,
place = {United States},
year = {Mon Nov 11 00:00:00 EST 2019},
month = {Mon Nov 11 00:00:00 EST 2019}
}
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1915258116
Web of Science
Works referenced in this record:
Black carbon and other light-absorbing particles in snow of central North America: Black carbon in North American snow
journal, November 2014
- Doherty, Sarah J.; Dang, Cheng; Hegg, Dean A.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 119, Issue 22
Polar amplification of climate change in coupled models
journal, September 2003
- Holland, M. M.; Bitz, C. M.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 21, Issue 3-4
Historical (1750–2014) anthropogenic emissions of reactive gases and aerosols from the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS)
journal, January 2018
- Hoesly, Rachel M.; Smith, Steven J.; Feng, Leyang
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 1
Bounding the role of black carbon in the climate system: A scientific assessment: BLACK CARBON IN THE CLIMATE SYSTEM
journal, June 2013
- Bond, T. C.; Doherty, S. J.; Fahey, D. W.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 118, Issue 11
Processes and impacts of Arctic amplification: A research synthesis
journal, May 2011
- Serreze, Mark C.; Barry, Roger G.
- Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 77, Issue 1-2
Historical and future black carbon deposition on the three ice caps: Ice core measurements and model simulations from 1850 to 2100: HISTORICAL AND FUTURE BC DEPOSITION
journal, July 2013
- Bauer, Susanne E.; Bausch, Alexandra; Nazarenko, Larissa
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 118, Issue 14
The role of circulation features on black carbon transport into the Arctic in the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5): BC TRANSPORT IN OFF-LINE CAM5
journal, May 2013
- Ma, Po-Lun; Rasch, Philip J.; Wang, Hailong
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 118, Issue 10
Arctic climate: changes in sea ice extent outweigh changes in snow cover
journal, January 2018
- Letterly, Aaron; Key, Jeffrey; Liu, Yinghui
- The Cryosphere, Vol. 12, Issue 10
A Model for the Spectral Albedo of Snow. II: Snow Containing Atmospheric Aerosols
journal, December 1980
- Warren, Stephen G.; Wiscombe, Warren J.
- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 37, Issue 12
MERRA: NASA’s Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications
journal, July 2011
- Rienecker, Michele M.; Suarez, Max J.; Gelaro, Ronald
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 24, Issue 14
Improved Sea Ice Shortwave Radiation Physics in CCSM4: The Impact of Melt Ponds and Aerosols on Arctic Sea Ice
journal, March 2012
- Holland, Marika M.; Bailey, David A.; Briegleb, Bruce P.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 25, Issue 5
Radiative Heating of an Ice‐Free Arctic Ocean
journal, July 2019
- Pistone, Kristina; Eisenman, Ian; Ramanathan, Veerabhadran
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 13
Arctic amplification dominated by temperature feedbacks in contemporary climate models
journal, February 2014
- Pithan, Felix; Mauritsen, Thorsten
- Nature Geoscience, Vol. 7, Issue 3
Historic global biomass burning emissions for CMIP6 (BB4CMIP) based on merging satellite observations with proxies and fire models (1750–2015)
journal, January 2017
- van Marle, Margreet J. E.; Kloster, Silvia; Magi, Brian I.
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 10, Issue 9
Radiative forcing and albedo feedback from the Northern Hemisphere cryosphere between 1979 and 2008
journal, January 2011
- Flanner, M. G.; Shell, K. M.; Barlage, M.
- Nature Geoscience, Vol. 4, Issue 3
Sensitivity of remote aerosol distributions to representation of cloud–aerosol interactions in a global climate model
journal, January 2013
- Wang, H.; Easter, R. C.; Rasch, P. J.
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 6, Issue 3
Northern Hemisphere spring snow cover variability and change over 1922–2010 including an assessment of uncertainty
journal, January 2011
- Brown, R. D.; Robinson, D. A.
- The Cryosphere, Vol. 5, Issue 1
Future increases in Arctic precipitation linked to local evaporation and sea-ice retreat
journal, May 2014
- Bintanja, R.; Selten, F. M.
- Nature, Vol. 509, Issue 7501
Observational determination of albedo decrease caused by vanishing Arctic sea ice
journal, February 2014
- Pistone, Kristina; Eisenman, Ian; Ramanathan, V.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 111, Issue 9
Optical properties of snow
journal, January 1982
- Warren, Stephen G.
- Reviews of Geophysics, Vol. 20, Issue 1
Source attribution of insoluble light-absorbing particles in seasonal snow across northern China
journal, January 2013
- Zhang, R.; Hegg, D. A.; Huang, J.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 13, Issue 12
The Arctic shifts to a new normal
journal, October 2013
- Jeffries, Martin O.; Overland, James E.; Perovich, Donald K.
- Physics Today, Vol. 66, Issue 10
Pliocene Warmth, Polar Amplification, and Stepped Pleistocene Cooling Recorded in NE Arctic Russia
journal, May 2013
- Brigham-Grette, J.; Melles, M.; Minyuk, P.
- Science, Vol. 340, Issue 6139
Long-term trends of black carbon and sulphate aerosol in the Arctic: changes in atmospheric transport and source region emissions
journal, January 2010
- Hirdman, D.; Burkhart, J. F.; Sodemann, H.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 10, Issue 19
The Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Combined Precipitation Dataset
journal, January 1997
- Huffman, George J.; Adler, Robert F.; Arkin, Philip
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 78, Issue 1
A controlled snowmaking experiment testing the relation between black carbon content and reduction of snow albedo
journal, January 2011
- Brandt, Richard E.; Warren, Stephen G.; Clarke, Antony D.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 116, Issue D8
Robust Responses of the Hydrological Cycle to Global Warming
journal, November 2006
- Held, Isaac M.; Soden, Brian J.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, Issue 21
CLARA-A2: the second edition of the CM SAF cloud and radiation data record from 34 years of global AVHRR data
journal, January 2017
- Karlsson, Karl-Göran; Anttila, Kati; Trentmann, Jörg
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 17, Issue 9
The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system
journal, April 2011
- Dee, D. P.; Uppala, S. M.; Simmons, A. J.
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 137, Issue 656
Recent Arctic amplification and extreme mid-latitude weather
journal, August 2014
- Cohen, Judah; Screen, James A.; Furtado, Jason C.
- Nature Geoscience, Vol. 7, Issue 9
A Decomposition of Feedback Contributions to Polar Warming Amplification
journal, September 2013
- Taylor, Patrick C.; Cai, Ming; Hu, Aixue
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, Issue 18
Recent Trends in Arctic Surface, Cloud, and Radiation Properties from Space
journal, March 2003
- Wang, X.
- Science, Vol. 299, Issue 5613
The Community Earth System Model: A Framework for Collaborative Research
journal, September 2013
- Hurrell, James W.; Holland, M. M.; Gent, P. R.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 94, Issue 9
Using an explicit emission tagging method in global modeling of source-receptor relationships for black carbon in the Arctic: Variations, sources, and transport pathways: Source attribution of BC in the Arctic
journal, November 2014
- Wang, Hailong; Rasch, Philip J.; Easter, Richard C.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 119, Issue 22
Local Radiative Feedbacks Over the Arctic Based on Observed Short-Term Climate Variations
journal, June 2018
- Zhang, Rudong; Wang, Hailong; Fu, Qiang
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 45, Issue 11
Description and evaluation of a new four-mode version of the Modal Aerosol Module (MAM4) within version 5.3 of the Community Atmosphere Model
journal, January 2016
- Liu, X.; Ma, P. -L.; Wang, H.
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 9, Issue 2
Soot in the Arctic snowpack: a cause for perturbations in radiative transfer
journal, January 1985
- Clarke, Antony D.; Noone, Kevin J.
- Atmospheric Environment (1967), Vol. 19, Issue 12
Observed contrast changes in snow cover phenology in northern middle and high latitudes from 2001–2014
journal, November 2015
- Chen, Xiaona; Liang, Shunlin; Cao, Yunfeng
- Scientific Reports, Vol. 5, Issue 1
Light-absorbing impurities in Arctic snow
journal, January 2010
- Doherty, S. J.; Warren, S. G.; Grenfell, T. C.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 10, Issue 23
The central role of diminishing sea ice in recent Arctic temperature amplification
journal, April 2010
- Screen, James A.; Simmonds, Ian
- Nature, Vol. 464, Issue 7293
Present-day climate forcing and response from black carbon in snow
journal, January 2007
- Flanner, Mark G.; Zender, Charles S.; Randerson, James T.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 112, Issue D11
Large-scale features of Pliocene climate: results from the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project
journal, January 2013
- Haywood, A. M.; Hill, D. J.; Dolan, A. M.
- Climate of the Past, Vol. 9, Issue 1
Estimating the global radiative impact of the sea ice–albedo feedback in the Arctic
journal, January 2011
- Hudson, Stephen R.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 116, Issue D16
The AVHRR Polar Pathfinder Climate Data Records
journal, February 2016
- Key, Jeffrey; Wang, Xuanji; Liu, Yinghui
- Remote Sensing, Vol. 8, Issue 3
Sea Ice-Albedo Climate Feedback Mechanism
journal, February 1995
- Curry, Judith A.; Schramm, Julie L.; Ebert, Elizabeth E.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 8, Issue 2
Recent intensification of winter haze in China linked to foreign emissions and meteorology
journal, February 2018
- Yang, Yang; Wang, Hailong; Smith, Steven J.
- Scientific Reports, Vol. 8, Issue 1
Polar amplification in a coupled climate model with locked albedo
journal, February 2009
- Graversen, Rune Grand; Wang, Minghuai
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 33, Issue 5
Towards a rain-dominated Arctic
journal, March 2017
- Bintanja, R.; Andry, O.
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 7, Issue 4
Amplified Arctic climate change: What does surface albedo feedback have to do with it?
journal, January 2006
- Winton, Michael
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 33, Issue 3
How Well Do We Understand and Evaluate Climate Change Feedback Processes?
journal, August 2006
- Bony, Sandrine; Colman, Robert; Kattsov, Vladimir M.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, Issue 15
The JRA-55 Reanalysis: General Specifications and Basic Characteristics
journal, January 2015
- Kobayashi, Shinya; Ota, Yukinari; Harada, Yayoi
- Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II, Vol. 93, Issue 1
16-year simulation of Arctic black carbon: Transport, source contribution, and sensitivity analysis on deposition: 16 YR TRANSPORT OF BC TO THE ARCTIC
journal, January 2013
- Sharma, S.; Ishizawa, M.; Chan, D.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 118, Issue 2
Sensitivity of a global climate model to an increase of CO 2 concentration in the atmosphere
journal, January 1980
- Manabe, Syukuro; Stouffer, Ronald J.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 85, Issue C10
Measurements of light-absorbing particles in snow across the Arctic, North America, and China: Effects on surface albedo: Effect of Observed BC on Surface Albedo
journal, October 2017
- Dang, Cheng; Warren, Stephen G.; Fu, Qiang
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 122, Issue 19
Seasonal evolution of the albedo of multiyear Arctic sea ice
journal, January 2002
- Perovich, D. K.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 107, Issue C10
The Version-2 Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Monthly Precipitation Analysis (1979–Present)
journal, December 2003
- Adler, Robert F.; Huffman, George J.; Chang, Alfred
- Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 4, Issue 6