Analysis of Low-Frequency Precipitation Variability in CMIP5 Historical Simulations for Southwestern North America
Abstract
Drier future conditions are projected for the arid southwest of North America, increasing the chances of the region experiencing severe and prolonged drought. To examine the mechanisms of decadal variability, 47 global climate model historical simulations performed for phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) were assessed. On average, the CMIP5 models have higher climatological precipitation over the past century in southwestern North America than current instrumental or reanalysis products. The timing of the winter peak in climatological precipitation over California and Nevada is accurately represented. Models with resolutions coarser than 2° show a larger spread in the location and strength of the North American monsoon ridge and subsequent summer precipitation, in comparison with the higher-resolution models. Less than 20% of decadal variability in wintertime precipitation over California is associated with North Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies, a larger proportion than is associated with the tropical forcing but not sufficient for making decadal drought predictions. North American monsoon precipitation is strongly associated with local land temperatures on interannual-to-decadal time scales attributable to evaporative cooling and radiation changes driven by varying cloud cover. Soil moisture in Texas and Oklahoma in April is shown to be positively correlated with monsoonmore »
- Authors:
-
- Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO (United States). Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Cooperative Inst. for Research in Environmental Sciences
- Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI (United States). Dept. of Oceanography
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility (OLCF)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Office of Science (SC)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1565239
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Climate
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 27; Journal Issue: 7; Journal ID: ISSN 0894-8755
- Publisher:
- American Meteorological Society
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Citation Formats
Langford, Sally, Stevenson, Samantha, and Noone, David. Analysis of Low-Frequency Precipitation Variability in CMIP5 Historical Simulations for Southwestern North America. United States: N. p., 2014.
Web. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-13-00317.1.
Langford, Sally, Stevenson, Samantha, & Noone, David. Analysis of Low-Frequency Precipitation Variability in CMIP5 Historical Simulations for Southwestern North America. United States. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00317.1
Langford, Sally, Stevenson, Samantha, and Noone, David. Wed .
"Analysis of Low-Frequency Precipitation Variability in CMIP5 Historical Simulations for Southwestern North America". United States. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00317.1. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1565239.
@article{osti_1565239,
title = {Analysis of Low-Frequency Precipitation Variability in CMIP5 Historical Simulations for Southwestern North America},
author = {Langford, Sally and Stevenson, Samantha and Noone, David},
abstractNote = {Drier future conditions are projected for the arid southwest of North America, increasing the chances of the region experiencing severe and prolonged drought. To examine the mechanisms of decadal variability, 47 global climate model historical simulations performed for phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) were assessed. On average, the CMIP5 models have higher climatological precipitation over the past century in southwestern North America than current instrumental or reanalysis products. The timing of the winter peak in climatological precipitation over California and Nevada is accurately represented. Models with resolutions coarser than 2° show a larger spread in the location and strength of the North American monsoon ridge and subsequent summer precipitation, in comparison with the higher-resolution models. Less than 20% of decadal variability in wintertime precipitation over California is associated with North Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies, a larger proportion than is associated with the tropical forcing but not sufficient for making decadal drought predictions. North American monsoon precipitation is strongly associated with local land temperatures on interannual-to-decadal time scales attributable to evaporative cooling and radiation changes driven by varying cloud cover. Soil moisture in Texas and Oklahoma in April is shown to be positively correlated with monsoon precipitation for the following summer, indicating a potential source of nonoceanic interseasonal persistence in southwestern North American hydroclimate. To make meaningful decadal predictions in the future, it is likely that forecasting will move away from sea surface temperature–driven anomaly patterns, and focus on land surface processes, which can allow persistence of precipitation anomalies via feedbacks.},
doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-13-00317.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
number = 7,
volume = 27,
place = {United States},
year = {Wed Mar 26 00:00:00 EDT 2014},
month = {Wed Mar 26 00:00:00 EDT 2014}
}
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record
Other availability
Search WorldCat to find libraries that may hold this journal
Cited by: 33 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science
Web of Science
Figures / Tables:
TABLE 1: Part 1: Table of CMIP5 historical simulations. Stars indicate models in the higher-resolution category (<2°). Crosses indicate the models with soil moisture data available through the archive.
All figures and tables
(14 total)
Save to My Library
You must Sign In or Create an Account in order to save documents to your library.
Works referenced in this record:
The relative influence of soil moisture and SST in climate predictability explored within ensembles of AMIP type experiments
journal, July 2006
- Conil, S.; Douville, H.; Tyteca, S.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 28, Issue 2-3
The Role of Sea Surface Temperatures in Interactions between ENSO and the North Pacific Oscillation
journal, June 2002
- Pierce, David W.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 15, Issue 11
The Basic Effects of Atmosphere–Ocean Thermal Coupling on Midlatitude Variability*
journal, February 1998
- Barsugli, Joseph J.; Battisti, David S.
- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 55, Issue 4
Global Precipitation: A 17-Year Monthly Analysis Based on Gauge Observations, Satellite Estimates, and Numerical Model Outputs
journal, November 1997
- Xie, Pingping; Arkin, Phillip A.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 78, Issue 11
Multiyear La Niña events and persistent drought in the contiguous United States
journal, January 2002
- Cole, Julia E.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 29, Issue 13
Regions of Strong Coupling Between Soil Moisture and Precipitation
journal, August 2004
- Koster, R. D.
- Science, Vol. 305, Issue 5687
A closer look at United States and global surface temperature change
journal, October 2001
- Hansen, J.; Ruedy, R.; Sato, M.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 106, Issue D20
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
journal, April 2012
- Taylor, Karl E.; Stouffer, Ronald J.; Meehl, Gerald A.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 93, Issue 4
How Well does BCC_CSM1.1 Reproduce the 20th Century Climate Change over China?
journal, January 2013
- Xiao-Ge, Xin; Tong-Wen, Wu; Jiang-Long, Li
- Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, Vol. 6, Issue 1
Future dryness in the southwest US and the hydrology of the early 21st century drought
journal, December 2010
- Cayan, D. R.; Das, T.; Pierce, D. W.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 107, Issue 50
A description of the global land-surface precipitation data products of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre with sample applications including centennial (trend) analysis from 1901–present
journal, January 2013
- Becker, A.; Finger, P.; Meyer-Christoffer, A.
- Earth System Science Data, Vol. 5, Issue 1
Climate Impact of Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
journal, August 1981
- Hansen, J.; Johnson, D.; Lacis, A.
- Science, Vol. 213, Issue 4511
Global Surface Temperature Change
journal, January 2010
- Hansen, J.; Ruedy, R.; Sato, M.
- Reviews of Geophysics, Vol. 48, Issue 4
The Atmospheric Bridge: The Influence of ENSO Teleconnections on Air–Sea Interaction over the Global Oceans
journal, August 2002
- Alexander, Michael A.; Bladé, Ileana; Newman, Matthew
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 15, Issue 16
Advancing decadal-scale climate prediction in the North Atlantic sector
journal, May 2008
- Keenlyside, N. S.; Latif, M.; Jungclaus, J.
- Nature, Vol. 453, Issue 7191
Will the tropical land biosphere dominate the climate–carbon cycle feedback during the twenty-first century?
journal, April 2007
- Raddatz, T. J.; Reick, C. H.; Knorr, W.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 29, Issue 6
Time Scales of Layered Soil Moisture Memory in the Context ofLand–Atmosphere Interaction
journal, July 2004
- Wu, Wanru; Dickinson, Robert E.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 17, Issue 14
The influence of soil moisture anomalies on variability of the North American Monsoon System
journal, January 2001
- Small, Eric E.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 28, Issue 1
Tree-ring reconstructed megadroughts over North America since a.d. 1300
journal, March 2007
- Stahle, David W.; Fye, Falko K.; Cook, Edward R.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 83, Issue 1-2
Dominant Factors Responsible for Interannual Variability of the Summer Monsoon in the Southwestern United States
journal, February 2000
- Higgins, R. W.; Shi, W.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 13, Issue 4
Decadal Prediction: Can It Be Skillful?
journal, October 2009
- Meehl, Gerald A.; Goddard, Lisa; Murphy, James
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 90, Issue 10
Variability in Large-Scale Water Balance with Land Surface-Atmosphere Interaction
journal, August 1992
- Entekhabi, Dara; Rodriguez-Iturbe, Ignacio; Bras, Rafael L.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 5, Issue 8
A strategy for climate change stabilization experiments
journal, May 2007
- Hibbard, Kathy A.; Meehl, Gerald A.; Cox, Peter M.
- Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, Vol. 88, Issue 20
On North American Decadal Climate for 2011–20
journal, August 2011
- Hoerling, Martin; Hurrell, James; Kumar, Arun
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 24, Issue 16
The HadGEM2 family of Met Office Unified Model climate configurations
journal, January 2011
- Bellouin, N.; Collins, W. J.; Culverwell, I. D.
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 4, Issue 3
Atmospheric Processes Associated with Summer Floods and Droughts in the Central United States
journal, December 1997
- Mo, Kingtse C.; Paegle, J. Nogues; Higgins, R. Wayne
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 10, Issue 12
ENSO-like Interdecadal Variability: 1900–93
journal, May 1997
- Zhang, Yuan; Wallace, John M.; Battisti, David S.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 10, Issue 5
Improved Surface Temperature Prediction for the Coming Decade from a Global Climate Model
journal, August 2007
- Smith, D. M.; Cusack, S.; Colman, A. W.
- Science, Vol. 317, Issue 5839
Links between Snow Cover, Surface Skin Temperature, and Rainfall Variability in the North American Monsoon System
journal, June 2003
- Matsui, Toshi; Lakshmi, Venkat; Small, Eric
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 16, Issue 11
The Norwegian Earth System Model, NorESM1-M – Part 1: Description and basic evaluation
journal, January 2012
- Bentsen, M.; Bethke, I.; Debernard, J. B.
- Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, Vol. 5, Issue 3
Physical Processes Involved in the 1988 Drought and 1993 Floods in North America
journal, June 1996
- Trenberth, Kevin E.; Guillemot, Christian J.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 9, Issue 6
Extreme and persistent drought in California and Patagonia during mediaeval time
journal, June 1994
- Stine, Scott
- Nature, Vol. 369, Issue 6481
A New Metric for Estimating the Influence of Evaporation on Seasonal Precipitation Rates
journal, June 2008
- Anderson, Bruce T.; Salvucci, Guido; Ruane, Alex C.
- Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 9, Issue 3
Megadroughts in the Indian Monsoon Region and Southwest North America and a Mechanism for Associated Multidecadal Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies
journal, May 2006
- Meehl, Gerald A.; Hu, Aixue
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, Issue 9
Feasibility of a 100-Year Reanalysis Using Only Surface Pressure Data
journal, February 2006
- Compo, Gilbert P.; Whitaker, Jeffrey S.; Sardeshmukh, Prashant D.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 87, Issue 2
Soil Moisture and the Persistence of North American Drought
journal, November 1989
- Oglesby, Robert J.; Erickson, David J.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 2, Issue 11
Interannual Variability of the U.S. Summer Precipitation Regime with Emphasis on the Southwestern Monsoon
journal, October 1998
- Higgins, R. W.; Mo, K. C.; Yao, Y.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 11, Issue 10
The HadGEM2-ES implementation of CMIP5 centennial simulations
journal, January 2011
- Jones, C. D.; Hughes, J. K.; Bellouin, N.
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 4, Issue 3
North American monsoon precipitation reconstructed from tree-ring latewood: NA MONSOON PRECIPITATION RECONSTRUCTION
journal, March 2013
- Griffin, Daniel; Woodhouse, Connie A.; Meko, David M.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 40, Issue 5
Improved Climate Simulation by MIROC5: Mean States, Variability, and Climate Sensitivity
journal, December 2010
- Watanabe, Masahiro; Suzuki, Tatsuo; O’ishi, Ryouta
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 23, Issue 23
Development and evaluation of an Earth-system model – HadGEM2
journal, January 2011
- Collins, W. J.; Bellouin, N.; Doutriaux-Boucher, M.
- Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, Vol. 4, Issue 2
MIROC-ESM 2010: model description and basic results of CMIP5-20c3m experiments
journal, January 2011
- Watanabe, S.; Hajima, T.; Sudo, K.
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 4, Issue 4
A multimodel ensemble approach to assessment of climate change impacts on the hydrology and water resources of the Colorado River Basin
journal, January 2007
- Christensen, N. S.; Lettenmaier, D. P.
- Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 11, Issue 4
Interdecadal Modulation of ENSO Teleconnections
journal, December 1998
- Gershunov, Alexander; Barnett, Tim P.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 79, Issue 12
GISS analysis of surface temperature change
journal, December 1999
- Hansen, J.; Ruedy, R.; Glascoe, J.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 104, Issue D24
On the Cause of the 1930s Dust Bowl
journal, March 2004
- Schubert, S. D.
- Science, Vol. 303, Issue 5665
Covariabilities of Winter U.S. Precipitation and Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures
journal, October 2000
- Wang, Hui; Ting, Mingfang
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 13, Issue 20
Mechanisms of Tropical Atlantic SST Influence on North American Precipitation Variability*
journal, November 2010
- Kushnir, Yochanan; Seager, Richard; Ting, Mingfang
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 23, Issue 21
Influence of Atlantic sea surface temperatures on persistent drought in North America
journal, May 2010
- Feng, Song; Hu, Qi; Oglesby, Robert J.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 37, Issue 3-4
The impact of combined ENSO and PDO on the PNA climate: a 1,000-year climate modeling study
journal, June 2007
- Yu, B.; Zwiers, F. W.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 29, Issue 7-8
Model Projections of an Imminent Transition to a More Arid Climate in Southwestern North America
journal, May 2007
- Seager, R.; Ting, M.; Held, I.
- Science, Vol. 316, Issue 5828
Surges of Maritime Tropical Air Northward Over the Gulf of California
journal, April 1972
- Hales, John E.
- Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 100, Issue 4
The North American Monsoon
journal, October 1997
- Adams, David K.; Comrie, Andrew C.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 78, Issue 10
Covariability of Spring Snowpack and Summer Rainfall across the Southwest United States
journal, November 2000
- Gutzler, David S.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 13, Issue 22
2000 Years of Drought Variability in the Central United States
journal, December 1998
- Woodhouse, Connie A.; Overpeck, Jonathan T.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 79, Issue 12
Pacific and Atlantic Ocean influences on multidecadal drought frequency in the United States
journal, March 2004
- McCabe, G. J.; Palecki, M. A.; Betancourt, J. L.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 101, Issue 12
Toward a Unified View of the American Monsoon Systems
journal, October 2006
- Vera, C.; Higgins, W.; Amador, J.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, Issue 20
Influence of the North American Monsoon System on the U.S. Summer Precipitation Regime
journal, October 1997
- Higgins, R. W.; Yao, Y.; Wang, X. L.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 10, Issue 10
Potential Predictability of Long-Term Drought and Pluvial Conditions in the U.S. Great Plains
journal, February 2008
- Schubert, Siegfried D.; Suarez, Max J.; Pegion, Philip J.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 21, Issue 4
A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments
journal, August 2012
- Goddard, L.; Kumar, A.; Solomon, A.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 40, Issue 1-2
Equatorial Atlantic variability and its relation to mean state biases in CMIP5
journal, December 2012
- Richter, Ingo; Xie, Shang-Ping; Behera, Swadhin K.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 42, Issue 1-2
The Initialization of the MIROC Climate Models with Hydrographic Data Assimilation for Decadal Prediction
journal, January 2012
- Tatebe, Hiroaki; Ishii, Masayoshi; Mochizuki, Takashi
- Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, Vol. 90A, Issue 0
Seasonal and Long-Term Coupling between Wintertime Storm Tracks and Sea Surface Temperature in the North Pacific
journal, August 2013
- Gan, Bolan; Wu, Lixin
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, Issue 16
Relationship between Precipitation in the Great Plains of the United States and Global SSTs: Insights from the IPCC AR4 Models
journal, June 2010
- Capotondi, Antonietta; Alexander, Michael A.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 23, Issue 11
The Continuum of Hydroclimate Variability in Western North America during the Last Millennium
journal, August 2013
- Ault, Toby R.; Cole, Julia E.; Overpeck, Jonathan T.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, Issue 16
Global characteristics of pluvial and dry multi-year episodes, with emphasis on megadroughts
journal, June 2010
- Hunt, B. G.
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 31, Issue 10
The Max-Planck-Institute global ocean/sea ice model with orthogonal curvilinear coordinates
journal, January 2003
- Marsland, S. J.; Haak, H.; Jungclaus, J. H.
- Ocean Modelling, Vol. 5, Issue 2
A Soil Moisture-Rainfall Feedback Mechanism: 1. Theory and observations
journal, April 1998
- Eltahir, Elfatih A. B.
- Water Resources Research, Vol. 34, Issue 4
Observed Influence of North Pacific SST Anomalies on the Atmospheric Circulation
journal, February 2007
- Frankignoul, Claude; Sennéchael, Nathalie
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 20, Issue 3
The Enhanced PNA-Like Climate Response to Pacific Interannual and Decadal Variability
journal, November 2007
- Yu, B.; Shabbar, A.; Zwiers, F. W.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 20, Issue 21
Role of Antecedent Land Surface Conditions on North American Monsoon Rainfall Variability
journal, August 2005
- Zhu, Chunmei; Lettenmaier, Dennis P.; Cavazos, Tereza
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 18, Issue 16
Variance and Predictability of Precipitation at Seasonal-to-Interannual Timescales
journal, February 2000
- Koster, Randal D.; Suarez, Max J.; Heiser, Mark
- Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 1, Issue 1
Natural climate variability and teleconnections to precipitation over the Pacific-North American region in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models: CLIMATE VARIABILITY IN CMIP5 MODELS
journal, May 2013
- Polade, Suraj D.; Gershunov, Alexander; Cayan, Daniel R.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 40, Issue 10
Long-Term Aridity Changes in the Western United States
journal, November 2004
- Cook, E. R.
- Science, Vol. 306, Issue 5698
On the Relationship between Tropical and North Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Variations
journal, June 1995
- Deser, Clara; Blackmon, Maurice L.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 8, Issue 6
A U.S. CLIVAR Project to Assess and Compare the Responses of Global Climate Models to Drought-Related SST Forcing Patterns: Overview and Results
journal, October 2009
- Schubert, Siegfried; Gutzler, David; Wang, Hailan
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 22, Issue 19
The ERA-40 re-analysis
journal, October 2005
- Uppala, S. M.; KÅllberg, P. W.; Simmons, A. J.
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 131, Issue 612
The internal climate variability of HadCM3, a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments
journal, January 2001
- Collins, M.; Tett, S. F. B.; Cooper, C.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 17, Issue 1
Atlantic Warm Pool Variability in the CMIP5 Simulations
journal, August 2013
- Liu, Hailong; Wang, Chunzai; Lee, Sang-Ki
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, Issue 15
ENSO, Pacific Decadal Variability, and U.S. Summertime Precipitation, Drought, and Stream Flow
journal, May 2001
- Barlow, M.; Nigam, S.; Berbery, E. H.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 14, Issue 9
Characterizing decadal to centennial variability in the equatorial Pacific during the last millennium: TROPICAL PACIFIC DEC-CEN VARIABILITY
journal, July 2013
- Ault, T. R.; Deser, C.; Newman, M.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 40, Issue 13
Influence of Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies on the Precipitation Regimes over the Southwest United States
journal, October 2000
- Mo, Kingtse C.; Paegle, Julia Nogues
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 13, Issue 20
Interactions between Global SST Anomalies and the Midlatitude Atmospheric Circulation
journal, January 1997
- Lau, Ngar-Cheung
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 78, Issue 1
Simulating present-day climate with the INMCM4.0 coupled model of the atmospheric and oceanic general circulations
journal, August 2010
- Volodin, E. M.; Dianskii, N. A.; Gusev, A. V.
- Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, Vol. 46, Issue 4
The Mexican Monsoon
journal, August 1993
- Douglas, Michael W.; Maddox, Robert A.; Howard, Kenneth
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 6, Issue 8
MIROC4h^|^mdash;A New High-Resolution Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled General Circulation Model
journal, January 2012
- T. Sakamoto, Takashi; Komuro, Yoshiki; Nishimura, Teruyuki
- Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II, Vol. 90, Issue 3
The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project
journal, January 2011
- Compo, G. P.; Whitaker, J. S.; Sardeshmukh, P. D.
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 137, Issue 654
The Norwegian Earth System Model, NorESM1-M – Part 2: Climate response and scenario projections
journal, January 2012
- Iversen, T.; Bentsen, M.; Bethke, I.
- Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, Vol. 5, Issue 3
Relationships between soil moisture and summer precipitation over the Great Plains and the Southwest
journal, January 2003
- Mo, Kingtse C.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 108, Issue D16
Origins of the 1988 North American Drought
journal, December 1988
- Trenberth, K. E.; Branstator, G. W.; Arkin, P. A.
- Science, Vol. 242, Issue 4886
Evidence for a relationship between spring snow cover in North America and summer rainfall in New Mexico
journal, September 1997
- Gutzler, David S.; Preston, Jessica W.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 24, Issue 17
Causes of Long-Term Drought in the U.S. Great Plains
journal, February 2004
- Schubert, Siegfried D.; Suarez, Max J.; Pegion, Philip J.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 17, Issue 3
Influence of ENSO and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on Drought over the United States
journal, November 2009
- Mo, Kingtse C.; Schemm, Jae-Kyung E.; Yoo, Soo-Hyun
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 22, Issue 22
Modeling of Tropical Forcing of Persistent Droughts and Pluvials over Western North America: 1856–2000
journal, October 2005
- Seager, Richard; Kushnir, Yochanan; Herweijer, Celine
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 18, Issue 19
Relationships between Spring Snow Mass and Summer Precipitation in the Southwestern United States Associated with the North American Monsoon System
journal, June 2002
- Lo, Fiona; Clark, Martyn P.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 15, Issue 11
Do extreme climate events require extreme forcings?: EXTREME CLIMATE EVENTS
journal, July 2013
- Kumar, Arun; Chen, Mingyue; Hoerling, Martin
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 40, Issue 13
Forced and unforced variability of twentieth century North American droughts and pluvials
journal, August 2010
- Cook, Benjamin I.; Cook, Edward R.; Anchukaitis, Kevin J.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 37, Issue 5-6
The climate of the US Southwest
journal, January 2002
- Sheppard, Pr; Comrie, Ac; Packin, Gd
- Climate Research, Vol. 21
Decadal Variations of North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature in Observations and CMIP3 Simulations*
journal, September 2010
- Jamison, Nathan; Kravtsov, Sergey
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 23, Issue 17
Summertime U.S. Precipitation Variability and Its Relation toPacific Sea Surface Temperature
journal, August 1997
- Ting, Mingfang; Wang, Hui
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 10, Issue 8
The CNRM-CM5.1 global climate model: description and basic evaluation
journal, January 2012
- Voldoire, A.; Sanchez-Gomez, E.; Salas y. Mélia, D.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 40, Issue 9-10
Adjustment of the atmospheric circulation to tropical Pacific SST anomalies: Variability of transient eddy propagation in the Pacific-North America sector: Adjustment of SST Anomalies
journal, January 2010
- Seager, R.; Naik, N.; Ting, M.
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 136, Issue 647
Works referencing / citing this record:
Soil Moisture Effects on Afternoon Precipitation Occurrence in Current Climate Models
journal, February 2019
- Moon, Heewon; Guillod, Benoit P.; Gudmundsson, Lukas
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 3
Comparison of CMIP3 and CMIP5 projected hydrologic conditions over the Upper Colorado River Basin: CMIP3-CMIP5 UPPER COLORADO RIVER PROJECTIONS
journal, January 2016
- Ayers, Jessica; Ficklin, Darren L.; Stewart, Iris T.
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 36, Issue 11
Land carbon models underestimate the severity and duration of drought’s impact on plant productivity
journal, February 2019
- Kolus, Hannah R.; Huntzinger, Deborah N.; Schwalm, Christopher R.
- Scientific Reports, Vol. 9, Issue 1
Ocean‐Atmosphere Trajectories of Extended Drought in Southwestern North America
journal, August 2019
- Parsons, Luke A.; Coats, Sloan
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 124, Issue 16
Winter‐to‐summer precipitation phasing in southwestern North America: A multicentury perspective from paleoclimatic model‐data comparisons
journal, August 2015
- Coats, Sloan; Smerdon, Jason E.; Seager, Richard
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 120, Issue 16
Comparing proxy and model estimates of hydroclimate variability and change over the Common Era
text, January 2017
- PAGES Hydro2k, Consortium; Raible, Christoph
- Copernicus Publications
Intercomparison of daily precipitation persistence in multiple global observations and climate models
text, January 2019
- Heewon, Moon,; Lukas, Gudmundsson,; Benoît, Guillod,
- ETH Zurich
Soil Moisture Memory and Its Effect on the Surface Water and Heat Fluxes on Seasonal and Interannual Time Scales
journal, October 2019
- Song, Y. M.; Wang, Z. F.; Qi, L. L.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 124, Issue 20
Winter-to-summer precipitation phasing in southwestern North America: A multicentury perspective from paleoclimatic model-data comparisons
text, January 2015
- Coats, Sloan John; Smerdon, Jason E.; Seager, Richard
- Columbia University
Advancements in decadal climate predictability: The role of nonoceanic drivers
journal, April 2015
- Bellucci, A.; Haarsma, R.; Bellouin, N.
- Reviews of Geophysics, Vol. 53, Issue 2
Intercomparison of daily precipitation persistence in multiple global observations and climate models
journal, October 2019
- Moon, Heewon; Gudmundsson, Lukas; Guillod, Benoit P.
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 14, Issue 10
Atlantic Inflow to the North Sea Modulated by the Subpolar Gyre in a Historical Simulation With MPI‐ESM
journal, March 2019
- Koul, V.; Schrum, C.; Düsterhus, A.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Vol. 124, Issue 3
Evaluation of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 historical simulations in the Colorado River basin
journal, April 2018
- Gautam, Jenita; Mascaro, Giuseppe
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 38, Issue 10
Climate Change Made Major Contributions to Soil Water Storage Decline in the Southwestern US during 2003–2014
journal, September 2019
- Liu, Jianzhao; Gao, Liping; Yuan, Fenghui
- Water, Vol. 11, Issue 9
Soil Moisture Effects on Afternoon Precipitation Occurrence in Current Climate Models
text, January 2019
- Moon, Heewon; Guillod, Benoît; Gudmundsson, Lukas
- ETH Zurich
Comparing proxy and model estimates of hydroclimate variability and change over the Common Era
journal, December 2017
- McGregor, H. V.; Francus, P.; Abram, N.
- Climate of the Past 2000 years: regional and trans-regional syntheses, Vol. 13, Issue 12, p. 1851-1900
Decadal predictability of soil water, vegetation, and wildfire frequency over North America
journal, January 2015
- Chikamoto, Yoshimitsu; Timmermann, Axel; Stevenson, Samantha
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 45, Issue 7-8
Figures / Tables found in this record:
Figures/Tables have been extracted from DOE-funded journal article accepted manuscripts.