Global energetics and local physics as drivers of past, present and future monsoons
Abstract
Global constraints on momentum and energy govern the variability of the rainfall belt in the intertropical convergence zone and the structure of the zonal mean tropical circulation. The continental-scale monsoon systems are also facets of a momentum- and energy-constrained global circulation, but their modern and palaeo variability deviates substantially from that of the intertropical convergence zone. The mechanisms underlying deviations from expectations based on the longitudinal mean budgets are neither fully understood nor simulated accurately. We argue that a framework grounded in global constraints on energy and momentum yet encompassing the complexities of monsoon dynamics is needed to identify the causes of the mismatch between theory, models and observations, and ultimately to improve regional climate projections. In a first step towards this goal, disparate regional processes must be distilled into gross measures of energy flow in and out of continents and between the surface and the tropopause, so that monsoon dynamics may be coherently diagnosed across modern and palaeo observations and across idealized and comprehensive simulations. Accounting for zonal asymmetries in the circulation, land/ocean differences in surface fluxes, and the character of convective systems, such a monsoon framework would integrate our understanding at all relevant scales: from the fine detailsmore »
- Authors:
-
[5];
[6];
[8];
- Columbia Univ., New York, NY (United States). Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
- Columbia Univ., New York, NY (United States). Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory; Karlsruhe Inst. of Technology (KIT) (Germany). Inst. of Meteorology and Climate Research
- Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA (United States). Dept. of Earth and Planetary Science
- Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex (France)
- Blue Skies Research, Settle (United Kingdom)
- Univ. of Reading, Reading (United Kingdom). School of Archaeology, Geography and Environmental Science
- Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan (South Korea). School of Urban and Environmental Engineering
- Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL (United States)
- Univ. of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC (United States). Dept. of Geography and Earth Sciences
- Texas A & M Univ., College Station, TX (United States). Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences
- Columbia Univ., New York, NY (United States). Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory; Columbia Univ., New York, NY (United States). Dept. of Earth and Environmental Sciences and Dept. of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics
- Univ. of California, San Diego, CA (United States). Scripps Inst. of Oceanography
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Office of Science (SC)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1561892
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC02-05CH11231
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Nature Geoscience
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 11; Journal Issue: 6; Journal ID: ISSN 1752-0894
- Publisher:
- Nature Publishing Group
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Citation Formats
Biasutti, Michela, Voigt, Aiko, Boos, William R., Braconnot, Pascale, Hargreaves, Julia C., Harrison, Sandy P., Kang, Sarah M., Mapes, Brian E., Scheff, Jacob, Schumacher, Courtney, Sobel, Adam H., and Xie, Shang-Ping. Global energetics and local physics as drivers of past, present and future monsoons. United States: N. p., 2018.
Web. doi:10.1038/s41561-018-0137-1.
Biasutti, Michela, Voigt, Aiko, Boos, William R., Braconnot, Pascale, Hargreaves, Julia C., Harrison, Sandy P., Kang, Sarah M., Mapes, Brian E., Scheff, Jacob, Schumacher, Courtney, Sobel, Adam H., & Xie, Shang-Ping. Global energetics and local physics as drivers of past, present and future monsoons. United States. doi:10.1038/s41561-018-0137-1.
Biasutti, Michela, Voigt, Aiko, Boos, William R., Braconnot, Pascale, Hargreaves, Julia C., Harrison, Sandy P., Kang, Sarah M., Mapes, Brian E., Scheff, Jacob, Schumacher, Courtney, Sobel, Adam H., and Xie, Shang-Ping. Thu .
"Global energetics and local physics as drivers of past, present and future monsoons". United States. doi:10.1038/s41561-018-0137-1. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1561892.
@article{osti_1561892,
title = {Global energetics and local physics as drivers of past, present and future monsoons},
author = {Biasutti, Michela and Voigt, Aiko and Boos, William R. and Braconnot, Pascale and Hargreaves, Julia C. and Harrison, Sandy P. and Kang, Sarah M. and Mapes, Brian E. and Scheff, Jacob and Schumacher, Courtney and Sobel, Adam H. and Xie, Shang-Ping},
abstractNote = {Global constraints on momentum and energy govern the variability of the rainfall belt in the intertropical convergence zone and the structure of the zonal mean tropical circulation. The continental-scale monsoon systems are also facets of a momentum- and energy-constrained global circulation, but their modern and palaeo variability deviates substantially from that of the intertropical convergence zone. The mechanisms underlying deviations from expectations based on the longitudinal mean budgets are neither fully understood nor simulated accurately. We argue that a framework grounded in global constraints on energy and momentum yet encompassing the complexities of monsoon dynamics is needed to identify the causes of the mismatch between theory, models and observations, and ultimately to improve regional climate projections. In a first step towards this goal, disparate regional processes must be distilled into gross measures of energy flow in and out of continents and between the surface and the tropopause, so that monsoon dynamics may be coherently diagnosed across modern and palaeo observations and across idealized and comprehensive simulations. Accounting for zonal asymmetries in the circulation, land/ocean differences in surface fluxes, and the character of convective systems, such a monsoon framework would integrate our understanding at all relevant scales: from the fine details of how moisture and energy are lifted in the updrafts of thunderclouds, up to the global circulations.},
doi = {10.1038/s41561-018-0137-1},
journal = {Nature Geoscience},
number = 6,
volume = 11,
place = {United States},
year = {2018},
month = {5}
}
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Figure 1: (a) Rainfall (color) on July 27th, 2015 and the high atmospheric moisture enveloping it (indicated by the 45mm contour of column-integrated water vapour, the full field is in gray); (b) zonal-mean rainfall for the same day (dark green) and climatological values for the same period (light green). (c)more »
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Works referencing / citing this record:
Theories for Past and Future Monsoon Rainfall Changes
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- Hill, Spencer A.
- Current Climate Change Reports, Vol. 5, Issue 3
The response of precipitation characteristics to global warming from climate projections
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- Giorgi, Filippo; Raffaele, Francesca; Coppola, Erika
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- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 123, Issue 21
Theories for Past and Future Monsoon Rainfall Changes
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- Hill, Spencer A.
- Current Climate Change Reports, Vol. 5, Issue 3
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- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 8
Understanding Monsoonal Water Cycle Changes in a Warmer Climate in E3SMv1 Using a Normalized Gross Moist Stability Framework
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- Harrop, Bryce E.; Ma, Po‐Lun; Rasch, Philip J.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 124, Issue 20
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- Current Climate Change Reports, Vol. 5, Issue 2
Diversity of ENSO Events Unified by Convective Threshold Sea Surface Temperature: A Nonlinear ENSO Index
journal, September 2018
- Williams, Ian N.; Patricola, Christina M.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 45, Issue 17
A Window into Africa’s Past Hydroclimates: The SISAL_v1 Database Contribution
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- Braun, Kerstin; Nehme, Carole; Pickering, Robyn
- Quaternary, Vol. 2, Issue 1
Understanding Monsoonal Water Cycle Changes in a Warmer Climate in E3SMv1 Using a Normalized Gross Moist Stability Framework
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- Harrop, Bryce E.; Ma, Po‐Lun; Rasch, Philip J.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 124, Issue 20
Northern Hemisphere Monsoon Response to Mid‐Holocene Orbital Forcing and Greenhouse Gas‐Induced Global Warming
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- D'Agostino, Roberta; Bader, Jürgen; Bordoni, Simona
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 3
Rainfall trends in the African Sahel: Characteristics, processes, and causes
journal, June 2019
- Biasutti, Michela
- Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
Modulation of Indian monsoon by water vapor and cloud feedback over the past 22,000 years
journal, December 2019
- Jalihal, Chetankumar; Srinivasan, Jayaraman; Chakraborty, Arindam
- Nature Communications, Vol. 10, Issue 1
Figures / Tables found in this record:
Figures/Tables have been extracted from DOE-funded journal article accepted manuscripts.