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Title: Spatial–temporal changes in runoff and terrestrial ecosystem water retention under 1.5 and 2°C warming scenarios across China

Abstract

The Paris Agreement set a long-term temperature goal of holding the global average temperature increase to below 2.0 °C above pre-industrial levels, pursuing efforts to limit this to 1.5 °C; it is therefore important to understand the impacts of climate change under 1.5 and 2.0 °C warming scenarios for climate adaptation and mitigation. Here, climate scenarios from four global circulation models (GCMs) for the baseline (2006–2015), 1.5, and 2.0 °C warming scenarios (2106–2115) were used to drive the validated Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrological model to investigate the impacts of global warming on runoff and terrestrial ecosystem water retention (TEWR) across China at a spatial resolution of 0.5°. This study applied ensemble projections from multiple GCMs to provide more comprehensive and robust results.

Authors:
 [1];  [2];  [3]
  1. Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing (China); Univ. of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing (China)
  2. Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing (China); Univ. of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing (China); Natural Resources Inst. Finland (Luke), Helsinki (Finland)
  3. Information Center of Yellow River Conservancy Commission, Zhengzhou (China)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States). National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
1544105
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Earth System Dynamics (Online)
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: Earth System Dynamics (Online); Journal Volume: 9; Journal Issue: 2; Journal ID: ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher:
European Geosciences Union
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; Geology

Citation Formats

Zhai, Ran, Tao, Fulu, and Xu, Zhihui. Spatial–temporal changes in runoff and terrestrial ecosystem water retention under 1.5 and 2°C warming scenarios across China. United States: N. p., 2018. Web. doi:10.5194/esd-9-717-2018.
Zhai, Ran, Tao, Fulu, & Xu, Zhihui. Spatial–temporal changes in runoff and terrestrial ecosystem water retention under 1.5 and 2°C warming scenarios across China. United States. doi:10.5194/esd-9-717-2018.
Zhai, Ran, Tao, Fulu, and Xu, Zhihui. Thu . "Spatial–temporal changes in runoff and terrestrial ecosystem water retention under 1.5 and 2°C warming scenarios across China". United States. doi:10.5194/esd-9-717-2018. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1544105.
@article{osti_1544105,
title = {Spatial–temporal changes in runoff and terrestrial ecosystem water retention under 1.5 and 2°C warming scenarios across China},
author = {Zhai, Ran and Tao, Fulu and Xu, Zhihui},
abstractNote = {The Paris Agreement set a long-term temperature goal of holding the global average temperature increase to below 2.0 °C above pre-industrial levels, pursuing efforts to limit this to 1.5 °C; it is therefore important to understand the impacts of climate change under 1.5 and 2.0 °C warming scenarios for climate adaptation and mitigation. Here, climate scenarios from four global circulation models (GCMs) for the baseline (2006–2015), 1.5, and 2.0 °C warming scenarios (2106–2115) were used to drive the validated Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrological model to investigate the impacts of global warming on runoff and terrestrial ecosystem water retention (TEWR) across China at a spatial resolution of 0.5°. This study applied ensemble projections from multiple GCMs to provide more comprehensive and robust results.},
doi = {10.5194/esd-9-717-2018},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics (Online)},
number = 2,
volume = 9,
place = {United States},
year = {2018},
month = {6}
}

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