Constraining a Historical Black Carbon Emission Inventory of the United States for 1960–2000
Abstract
Abstract We present an observationally constrained United States black carbon emission inventory with explicit representation of activity and technology between 1960 and 2000. We compare measured coefficient of haze data in California and New Jersey between 1965 and 2000 with predicted concentration trends and attribute discrepancies between observations and predicted concentrations among several sources based on seasonal and weekly patterns in observations. Emission factors for sources with distinct fuel trends are then estimated by comparing fuel and concentration trends and further substantiated by in‐depth examination of emission measurements. We recommend (1) increasing emission factors for preregulation vehicles by 80–250%; (2) increasing emission factors for residential heating stoves and boilers by 70% to 200% for 1980s and before; (3) explicitly representing naturally aspired off‐road engines for 1980s and before; and (4) explicitly representing certified wood stoves after 1985. We also evaluate other possible sources for discrepancy between model and measurement, including bias in modeled meteorology, subgrid spatial heterogeneity of concentrations, and inconsistencies in reported fuel consumption. The updated U.S. emissions are higher than the a priori estimate by 80% between 1960 and 1980, totaling 690 Gg/year in 1960 and 620 Gg/year in 1970 (excluding open burning). The revised inventory shows amore »
- Authors:
-
[1];
[2];
[1]
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering University of Illinois at Urbana‐Champaign Urbana IL USA
- Department of Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering University of Michigan Ann Arbor MI USA
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering University of California Berkeley CA USA, Energy Technologies Area Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Berkeley CA USA
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering University of California Berkeley CA USA
- Department of Mechanical Science and Engineering University of Illinois at Urbana‐Champaign Urbana IL USA
- Publication Date:
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1504799
- Resource Type:
- Publisher's Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Name: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Journal Volume: 124 Journal Issue: 7; Journal ID: ISSN 2169-897X
- Publisher:
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
Citation Formats
Sun, T., Liu, L., Flanner, M. G., Kirchstetter, T. W., Jiao, C., Preble, C. V., Chang, W. L., and Bond, T. C. Constraining a Historical Black Carbon Emission Inventory of the United States for 1960–2000. United States: N. p., 2019.
Web. doi:10.1029/2018JD030201.
Sun, T., Liu, L., Flanner, M. G., Kirchstetter, T. W., Jiao, C., Preble, C. V., Chang, W. L., & Bond, T. C. Constraining a Historical Black Carbon Emission Inventory of the United States for 1960–2000. United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD030201
Sun, T., Liu, L., Flanner, M. G., Kirchstetter, T. W., Jiao, C., Preble, C. V., Chang, W. L., and Bond, T. C. Wed .
"Constraining a Historical Black Carbon Emission Inventory of the United States for 1960–2000". United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD030201.
@article{osti_1504799,
title = {Constraining a Historical Black Carbon Emission Inventory of the United States for 1960–2000},
author = {Sun, T. and Liu, L. and Flanner, M. G. and Kirchstetter, T. W. and Jiao, C. and Preble, C. V. and Chang, W. L. and Bond, T. C.},
abstractNote = {Abstract We present an observationally constrained United States black carbon emission inventory with explicit representation of activity and technology between 1960 and 2000. We compare measured coefficient of haze data in California and New Jersey between 1965 and 2000 with predicted concentration trends and attribute discrepancies between observations and predicted concentrations among several sources based on seasonal and weekly patterns in observations. Emission factors for sources with distinct fuel trends are then estimated by comparing fuel and concentration trends and further substantiated by in‐depth examination of emission measurements. We recommend (1) increasing emission factors for preregulation vehicles by 80–250%; (2) increasing emission factors for residential heating stoves and boilers by 70% to 200% for 1980s and before; (3) explicitly representing naturally aspired off‐road engines for 1980s and before; and (4) explicitly representing certified wood stoves after 1985. We also evaluate other possible sources for discrepancy between model and measurement, including bias in modeled meteorology, subgrid spatial heterogeneity of concentrations, and inconsistencies in reported fuel consumption. The updated U.S. emissions are higher than the a priori estimate by 80% between 1960 and 1980, totaling 690 Gg/year in 1960 and 620 Gg/year in 1970 (excluding open burning). The revised inventory shows a strongly decreasing trend that was present in the observations but missing in the a priori inventory.},
doi = {10.1029/2018JD030201},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},
number = 7,
volume = 124,
place = {United States},
year = {Wed Apr 03 00:00:00 EDT 2019},
month = {Wed Apr 03 00:00:00 EDT 2019}
}
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