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Title: The impact of alternative land and yield assumptions in herbaceous biomass supply modeling: one-size-fits-all resource assessment?: One-size-fits-all resource assessment?

Abstract

The Billion-ton Reports series has addressed the technical economic potential of supplying additional biomass from farmland and forests.Underlying each of the reports and supporting scenarios is a series of assumptions that drive the modeled output. The assumptions have developed over time with the support of technical experts from industry, academia, and government. Energy crops have not yet reached commodity scale, and only exist in commercial production in a limited number of regions, so many of the key assumptions of biomass potential are not supported by commercial demonstrations across multiple regions. This report examines the biomass potential of herbaceous energy crops from US farmland when alternative assumptions concerning production are modeled. In particular, the assumption of energy grasses, both perennial and annual, is modified with respect to land eligibility, annual rotations, and yield growth. The results of these changes are presented in six scenarios – three of which are modifications to the base-case scenario and three to the high-yield scenario. Finally, the impact on land enrolled and biomass supply are discussed with respect to the most recent 2016 Billion-ton Report results.

Authors:
 [1];  [1];  [1]
  1. Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). Environmental Sciences Division
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE)
OSTI Identifier:
1490718
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC05-00OR22725
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Biofuels, Bioproducts & Biorefining
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 13; Journal Issue: 1; Journal ID: ISSN 1932-104X
Publisher:
Wiley
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
09 BIOMASS FUELS; biomass; resource assessment; economics; herbaceous energy crops; biomass sorghum; miscanthus; switchgrass; energycane

Citation Formats

Eaton, Laurence, Langholtz, Matthew, and Davis, Maggie. The impact of alternative land and yield assumptions in herbaceous biomass supply modeling: one-size-fits-all resource assessment?: One-size-fits-all resource assessment?. United States: N. p., 2018. Web. doi:10.1002/bbb.1946.
Eaton, Laurence, Langholtz, Matthew, & Davis, Maggie. The impact of alternative land and yield assumptions in herbaceous biomass supply modeling: one-size-fits-all resource assessment?: One-size-fits-all resource assessment?. United States. doi:10.1002/bbb.1946.
Eaton, Laurence, Langholtz, Matthew, and Davis, Maggie. Thu . "The impact of alternative land and yield assumptions in herbaceous biomass supply modeling: one-size-fits-all resource assessment?: One-size-fits-all resource assessment?". United States. doi:10.1002/bbb.1946. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1490718.
@article{osti_1490718,
title = {The impact of alternative land and yield assumptions in herbaceous biomass supply modeling: one-size-fits-all resource assessment?: One-size-fits-all resource assessment?},
author = {Eaton, Laurence and Langholtz, Matthew and Davis, Maggie},
abstractNote = {The Billion-ton Reports series has addressed the technical economic potential of supplying additional biomass from farmland and forests.Underlying each of the reports and supporting scenarios is a series of assumptions that drive the modeled output. The assumptions have developed over time with the support of technical experts from industry, academia, and government. Energy crops have not yet reached commodity scale, and only exist in commercial production in a limited number of regions, so many of the key assumptions of biomass potential are not supported by commercial demonstrations across multiple regions. This report examines the biomass potential of herbaceous energy crops from US farmland when alternative assumptions concerning production are modeled. In particular, the assumption of energy grasses, both perennial and annual, is modified with respect to land eligibility, annual rotations, and yield growth. The results of these changes are presented in six scenarios – three of which are modifications to the base-case scenario and three to the high-yield scenario. Finally, the impact on land enrolled and biomass supply are discussed with respect to the most recent 2016 Billion-ton Report results.},
doi = {10.1002/bbb.1946},
journal = {Biofuels, Bioproducts & Biorefining},
number = 1,
volume = 13,
place = {United States},
year = {2018},
month = {11}
}

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